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Arch Capital Group Ltd. - Depos (ACGLO) Stock Analysis

Range Bound setup

HoldModerate Confidence

Financial Services · Insurance - Diversified

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $20.34, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reason: mixed signals — some dimensions strong, others weak.

Arch Capital Group is a Bermuda-based specialty insurer and reinsurer writing insurance, reinsurance, and mortgage insurance worldwide through wholly owned subsidiaries. In 2025, Arch wrote $16.5 billion of net premiums with approximately $26.9 billion in capital; the company... Read more

$20.34-0.3% A.UpsideScore 6.5/10#2 of 12 Insurance - Diversified
Stop $19.98Target $20.27(resistance)A.R:R 0.0:1

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $20.34, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reason: mixed signals — some dimensions strong, others weak. Chart setup: RSI 57 mid-range, Bollinger mid-band. Maintain position. Not compelling to add more. Score 6.5/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 5/8 gates (positive momentum, clean insider activity, news events none recent, earnings proximity no date, semi cycle peak clear). Suitability: moderate.

Thesis

Rewards
Attractive valuation
Margin of safety: 71%
Risks
No bear case signals

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)4.3
P/E (Fwd)
Mkt Cap
EV/EBITDA1.2
Profit Mgn24.6%
ROE21.3%
Rev Growth-3.3%
Beta0.38
Dividend6.70%
Rating analysts27

Quality Signals

Piotroski F7/9

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

2 ceiling hits

GatesMomentum 5.1<5.5 (soft — BUY_NOW allowed but watch)A.R:R UPSIDE_EXHAUSTED (upside=0.0%)Executive change: officer departure/appointmentMomentum 5.1>=4.5Insider activity: OKNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY NO DATESEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARRange BoundSuitability: Moderate
RSI
57 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MADEATH CROSSSupport $19.57Resistance $20.68

Price Targets

$20
$20
A.Upside-0.3%
A.R:R0.0:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeCautious

Analyst Consensus

Analysts27
Consensus3.7/5
Avg Target

Earnings

We could not retrieve earnings history for ACGLO.
The company may be recently listed, pre-revenue, or its beat/miss record wasn't available from our source this run. Earnings signals feed the Growth and Catalyst score dimensions — absence here doesn't affect other dimensions.

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is ACGLO stock a buy right now?

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $20.34, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reason: mixed signals — some dimensions strong, others weak. Chart setup: RSI 57 mid-range, Bollinger mid-band. Maintain position. Not compelling to add more. Target $20.27 (-0.3%), stop $19.98 (−1.8%), A.R:R 0.0:1. Score 6.5/10, moderate confidence.

What is the ACGLO stock price target?

Take-profit target: $20.27 (-0.3% upside). Target $20.27 (-0.3%), stop $19.98 (−1.8%), A.R:R 0.0:1. Stop-loss: $19.98.

Is ACGLO overvalued or undervalued?

Arch Capital Group Ltd. - Depos trades at a P/E of 4.3 (forward N/A). TrendMatrix value score: 10.0/10. Verdict: Hold.

What do analysts say about ACGLO?

27 analysts cover ACGLO with a consensus score of 3.7/5.

What does Arch Capital Group Ltd. - Depos do?Arch Capital Group is a Bermuda-based specialty insurer and reinsurer writing insurance, reinsurance, and mortgage...

Arch Capital Group is a Bermuda-based specialty insurer and reinsurer writing insurance, reinsurance, and mortgage insurance worldwide through wholly owned subsidiaries. In 2025, Arch wrote $16.5 billion of net premiums with approximately $26.9 billion in capital; the company focuses on specialty lines and avoids commodity insurance.

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