Arch Capital Group Ltd. - Depos (ACGLO) Stock Analysis

Q: What is the ACGLO stock price target?

Take-profit $20.23 (+1.5% upside). Target $20.23 (+1.7%), stop $19.57 (−1.7%), A.R:R 0.0:1.

Q: What are the risks of investing in ACGLO?

Negative momentum; Momentum score 3.0/10 — below 4.5 minimum.

Q: Is ACGLO overvalued or undervalued?

Arch Capital Group Ltd. - Depos trades at a P/E of 4.3 (forward N/A). TrendMatrix value score: 10.0/10. Overall verdict: Hold.

Q: What do analysts say about ACGLO?

28 analysts cover ACGLO with a consensus score of 3.8/5.

Falling Knife setup

HoldModerate ConfidenceUpdated 16 hr ago (May 20, 2026, 1:31 AM ET)

Financial Services · Insurance - Diversified

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $19.90, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reason: Negative momentum.

Arch Capital Group is a Bermuda-based specialty insurer, reinsurer, and mortgage insurer with approximately $26.9 billion in capital, operating across insurance, reinsurance, and mortgage segments in Bermuda, the U.S., U.K., Europe, Canada, and Australia. It wrote $16.5 billion... Read more

$19.90+1.5% A.UpsideScore 6.5/10#3 of 12 Insurance - Diversified

QualityF-score7 / 9FCF yield—

IncomeYield6.76%(5y avg 6.03%)Payout—

Stop $19.57Target $20.23(resistance)A.R:R 0.0:1

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $19.90, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reason: Negative momentum. Chart setup: Death cross, below all MAs, RSI 38, MACD bearish. Maintain position. Not compelling to add more. Score 6.5/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 5/8 gates (clean insider activity, news events none recent, earnings proximity no date, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum. Suitability: moderate.

Thesis

Rewards

Sector modifier (Financial Services): +1.0

Attractive valuation

Margin of safety: 71%

Risks

Negative momentum

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)4.3

P/E (Fwd)—

Mkt Cap—

EV/EBITDA1.2

Profit Mgn24.6%

ROE21.3%

Rev Growth-3.3%

Beta0.33

Dividend6.76%

Rating analysts28

Quality Signals

Piotroski F7/9MoatNarrow

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

1 floor-breaker·3 ceiling hits

Overall = weighted sum of the 10 dimension scores. Fundamentals (Value/Quality/Growth) carry 45%; market signals (Momentum/Sentiment/Insider/Peer) carry 40%; structure (Technical/Risk/Catalyst) carries 15%.

DimensionScoreWeightContribution

Value10.015%1.50

Quality6.415%0.96

Growth5.815%0.87

Momentum3.010%0.30

Sentiment5.210%0.52

Insider Activity4.810%0.48

Peer Rank5.910%0.59

Technical Setup9.35%0.47

Risk Profile9.95%0.50

Catalyst5.55%0.28

Overall (Σ contributions)6.46

Small float-rounding may cause last-digit differences between this sum and the displayed Overall.

Price action weak — below key moving averages, no momentum carry. Needs a base before trend-continuation setups apply.static

Obv

1.0

Ma Position

2.2

Macd

3.2

Rsi

3.5

Volume

5.3

Volume distribution (falling OBV)Below 200-MA but MA still rising (+0.5%/30d) — pullback in uptrend, not confirmed weakness

GatesMomentum 3.0<4.5A.R:R UPSIDE_EXHAUSTED (upside=0.0%)Executive change: officer departure/appointmentInsider activity: OKNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY NO DATESEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARFalling KnifeSuitability: Moderate

RSI

38 · Neutral

↓ 20D MA↓ 50D MA↓ 200D MADEATH CROSSSupport $19.88Resistance $20.64

Price Targets

$20

A.Upside+1.7%

A.R:R0.0:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone

Suggested %0.5%

Max %1%

RegimeRisk-Off

Risk Alerts

! Momentum score 3.0/10 — below 4.5 minimum

Earnings

We could not retrieve earnings history for ACGLO.

The company may be recently listed, pre-revenue, or its beat/miss record wasn't available from our source this run. Earnings signals feed the Growth and Catalyst score dimensions — absence here doesn't affect other dimensions.

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first

Loading history...

Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.

Frequently Asked Questions

Is ACGLO stock a buy right now?

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $19.90, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reason: Negative momentum. Chart setup: Death cross, below all MAs, RSI 38, MACD bearish. Maintain position. Not compelling to add more. Target $20.23 (+1.7%), stop $19.57 (−1.7%), A.R:R 0.0:1. Score 6.5/10, moderate confidence.

What is the ACGLO stock price target?

Take-profit target: $20.23 (+1.5% upside). Target $20.23 (+1.7%), stop $19.57 (−1.7%), A.R:R 0.0:1. Stop-loss: $19.57.

What are the risks of investing in ACGLO?

Negative momentum.

Is ACGLO overvalued or undervalued?

Arch Capital Group Ltd. - Depos trades at a P/E of 4.3 (forward N/A). TrendMatrix value score: 10.0/10. Verdict: Hold.

What do analysts say about ACGLO?

28 analysts cover ACGLO with a consensus score of 3.8/5.

What does Arch Capital Group Ltd. - Depos do?Arch Capital Group is a Bermuda-based specialty insurer, reinsurer, and mortgage insurer with approximately $26.9...