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AAPAdvance Auto Parts Inc.Sell5.1·$46.79

Advance Auto Parts (AAP) Q3 2026 earnings — TrendMatrix coverage

BEAT+1.8% vs estimateEPS $0.79 vs $0.78 estCurrent verdict Sell 5.1/10

Reported

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. How we score · Full disclosure · Editorial policy

Event detail · Q3 2026

Key numbers

Adjusted EPS
$0.79
Estimate
$0.78
Surprise
+1.8%
Revenue (period 2026-10-10)
$2.01B
Score today
5.1/10

Revenue source: xbrl.

Report record · Q3 2026

How the report landed

Advance Auto Parts (AAP) beat the $0.78 estimate with adjusted EPS of $0.79 — a modest 1.8% upside surprise.

Around the report

Coverage in the report window

  • AutoTuff Launches Nationwide Retail Expansion with Advance Auto Parts — fiscal.ai, 2026-11-06
  • Advance Auto Parts Q3 2026 Earnings Call Transcript — benzinga, 2026-11-05
  • Advance Auto Parts Narrows 2026 Outlook, Stock Falls — benzinga, 2026-11-05
Current read · as of 2026-11-06

Where TrendMatrix's rating stands now

TrendMatrix currently rates AAP Sell at 5.1/10; no pre/post engine snapshot brackets this report.

3 of the last 4 quarters beat the estimate; this quarter's +1.8% surprise compares with a +62.3% four-quarter average.

What argues against it

  • Target reached (-6.2% upside)
  • Quality below floor (3.2 < 4.0)
  • Value-trap signals (2/5): High leverage (D/E 1.8), Material insider selling (4 sells, 0.07% of cap)

This section and the ones below it reflect TrendMatrix’s latest engine read — they update after the report date and are not frozen to it.

Current engine read

The levels TrendMatrix's engine tracks

Current price
$46.79
Stop
$43.51

The stock trades at 23.7× trailing but 12.6× forward earnings — consensus estimates already build in a substantial earnings recovery.

Model outputs from TrendMatrix’s engine as of 2026-11-06 — shown for context, not personalized investment advice.

Consumer Cyclical context

AAP at TrendMatrix's latest read

Cyclical consumer names live and die on demand momentum — same-quarter comps and guidance carry more weight than the headline surprise.

Industry
Auto Parts
Market cap
$2.91B
P/E (fwd)
12.6
P/E (ttm)
23.7
52-week range
$37.89–$65.20
Off 52-week high
28.2%
RSI (14)
60
Volume vs avg
0.23×
Score today
5.1/10

EPS and the estimate come from Yahoo Finance’s earnings calendar, captured around the report date. That EPS is the adjusted figure analysts forecast, so it can differ from the GAAP diluted EPS in the company’s filing, and consensus estimates vary between data providers. Revenue comes from SEC XBRL company facts where available, yfinance-provisional otherwise. Not a buy/sell rating, a price target, or investment advice — see the current verdict on the stock’s main page for TrendMatrix’s live read.

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