Advance Auto Parts (AAP) Q2 2026 earnings — TrendMatrix coverage
Reported
Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. How we score · Full disclosure
Key numbers
- Reported EPS
- —
- Estimate
- $0.80
- Surprise
- —
- Revenue (period 2026-07-18)
- $2.00B
- Score today
- 5.2/10
Revenue source: xbrl.
Coverage in the report window
- Citigroup Maintains Neutral on Advance Auto Parts, Lowers Price Target to $45 — benzinga, 2026-08-21
- Advance Auto Parts Posts Disappointing Q2 Comp on High Exposure to Lower-End Customers — benzinga, 2026-08-21
- Goldman Sachs Maintains Sell on Advance Auto Parts, Lowers Price Target to $40 — benzinga, 2026-08-21
Where TrendMatrix's rating stands now
TrendMatrix currently rates AAP Sell at 5.2/10; no pre/post engine snapshot brackets this report.
4 of the last 4 quarters beat the estimate. Next scheduled report: 2026-11-05.
What argues against it
- Target reached (2.3% upside)
- Quality below floor (3.2 < 4.0)
- Value-trap signals (2/5): High leverage (D/E 2.0), Material insider selling (3 sells, 0.08% of cap)
This section and the ones below it reflect TrendMatrix’s latest engine read — they update after the report date and are not frozen to it.
The levels TrendMatrix's engine tracks
- Current price
- $44.05
- Price target
- $45.19
- Stop
- $41.09
- Upside to target
- +2.6%
- Reward-to-risk
- 0.2:1
The stock trades at 24.7× trailing but 11.3× forward earnings — consensus estimates already build in a substantial earnings recovery.
Risk check: RSI 19 — a level conventionally read as oversold.
Model outputs from TrendMatrix’s engine as of 2026-09-06 — shown for context, not personalized investment advice.
AAP at TrendMatrix's latest read
Cyclical consumer names live and die on demand momentum — same-quarter comps and guidance carry more weight than the headline surprise.
- Industry
- Auto Parts
- Market cap
- $2.67B
- P/E (fwd)
- 11.3
- P/E (ttm)
- 24.7
- 52-week range
- $37.89–$65.21
- Off 52-week high
- 32.4%
- RSI (14)
- 19
- Volume vs avg
- 0.51×
- Score today
- 5.2/10