Skip to main content
AAPAdvance Auto Parts Inc.Sell5.2·$44.26

Advance Auto Parts (AAP) Q2 2026 earnings — TrendMatrix coverage

IN LINEEPS — vs $0.80 estCurrent verdict Sell 5.2/10

Reported

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. How we score · Full disclosure

Event detail · Q2 2026

Key numbers

Adjusted EPS
—
Estimate
$0.80
Surprise
—
Revenue (period 2026-07-18)
$2.00B
Score today
5.2/10

Revenue source: xbrl.

Around the report

Coverage in the report window

  • Citigroup Maintains Neutral on Advance Auto Parts, Lowers Price Target to $45 — benzinga, 2026-08-21
  • Advance Auto Parts Posts Disappointing Q2 Comp on High Exposure to Lower-End Customers — benzinga, 2026-08-21
  • Goldman Sachs Maintains Sell on Advance Auto Parts, Lowers Price Target to $40 — benzinga, 2026-08-21
Current read · as of 2026-10-16

Where TrendMatrix's rating stands now

TrendMatrix currently rates AAP Sell at 5.2/10; no pre/post engine snapshot brackets this report.

3 of the last 4 quarters beat the estimate. Next scheduled report: 2026-11-05.

What argues against it

  • Target reached (1.6% upside)
  • Quality below floor (3.2 < 4.0)
  • Value-trap signals (2/5): High leverage (D/E 2.0), Material insider selling (4 sells, 0.07% of cap)

This section and the ones below it reflect TrendMatrix’s latest engine read — they update after the report date and are not frozen to it.

Current engine read

The levels TrendMatrix's engine tracks

Current price
$44.26
Price target
$44.95
Stop
$41.28
Upside to target
+1.6%
Reward-to-risk
0.1:1

The stock trades at 24.4× trailing but 11.3× forward earnings — consensus estimates already build in a substantial earnings recovery.

Risk check: RSI 77 — a level conventionally read as overbought; gains at these levels often lean on momentum.

Model outputs from TrendMatrix’s engine as of 2026-10-16 — shown for context, not personalized investment advice.

Consumer Cyclical context

AAP at TrendMatrix's latest read

Cyclical consumer names live and die on demand momentum — same-quarter comps and guidance carry more weight than the headline surprise.

Industry
Auto Parts
Market cap
$2.65B
P/E (fwd)
11.3
P/E (ttm)
24.4
52-week range
$37.89–$65.20
Off 52-week high
32.1%
RSI (14)
77
Volume vs avg
0.23×
Score today
5.2/10

EPS and the estimate come from Yahoo Finance’s earnings calendar, captured around the report date. That EPS is the adjusted figure analysts forecast, so it can differ from the GAAP diluted EPS in the company’s filing, and consensus estimates vary between data providers. Revenue comes from SEC XBRL company facts where available, yfinance-provisional otherwise. Not a buy/sell rating, a price target, or investment advice — see the current verdict on the stock’s main page for TrendMatrix’s live read.

Home › Stocks › AAP › Earnings › Q2 2026 earnings