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AADXApplied Aerospace & Defense, InSell6.1·$13.06-1.80%
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Applied Aerospace & Defense, In (AADX) Stock Analysis

SellGrowthQualityModerate Confidence

Industrials · Aerospace & Defense

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $13.06: Quality below floor (3.7 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 6.1/10 and A.R:R 4.5:1 is above the 1.5:1 BUY gate. Specifically: Elevated put/call ratio: 1.50; Below-average business quality; Negative price momentum.

Applied Aerospace & Defense, Inc. designs, engineers, and manufactures integrated aerospace and defense subsystems for space and defense applications. The company provides Space and launch Systems, which include propellant tanks and engine nozzles; nose cones, fairings, and... Read more

$13.06+67.5% A.UpsideScore 6.1/10#11 of 66 Aerospace & Defense
QualityF-score6 / 9FCF yield
Stop $12.48Target $21.87(analyst − 13%)A.R:R 4.5:1
Analyst target$25.14+92.5%7 analysts
$21.87our TP
$13.06price
$25.14mean
$30

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $13.06: Quality below floor (3.7 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 6.1/10 and A.R:R 4.5:1 is above the 1.5:1 BUY gate. Specifically: Elevated put/call ratio: 1.50; Below-average business quality; Negative price momentum. Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Score 6.1/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 7/8 gates (favorable risk/reward ratio, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, earnings proximity 71d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum. Suitability: speculative.

TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Wed, Nov 11, 202671d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
No bull case signals
Risks
Quality below floor (3.7 < 4.0)

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)
P/E (Fwd)33.3
Mkt Cap$2.3B
EV/EBITDA-147.7
Profit Mgn-30.2%
ROE
Rev Growth47.4%
Beta
DividendNone
Rating analysts7

Quality Signals

Piotroski F6/9MoatNarrow

Options Flow

P/C1.50bearish
IV78%elevated

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

3 floor-breakers·2 ceiling hits

Price action weak — below key moving averages, no momentum carry. Needs a base before trend-continuation setups apply.static

Macd
0.0
Volume
0.3
Obv
1.0
Ma Position
2.5
Rsi
3.0
Capitulation risk (RSI 4, below 200MA)Volume distribution (falling OBV)

No near-term catalyst priced in. Thesis progression will come from fundamentals grinding, not event reaction.static

Earnings History
0.0
Surprise Avg
0.0
Earnings Timing
5.0

Unprofitable operations — net margin -30.2%. Quality floor flags this regardless of sector context.static

Operating Margin
0.0
Net Margin
0.0
Gross Margin
1.1
Moat
5.8
Piotroski F
6.7
Current Ratio
8.5
GatesMomentum 1.4<4.5A.R:R 4.5 ≥ 1.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY 71d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARSuitability: Speculative
RSI
4 · Oversold
20D MA 50D MA 200D MASupport $12.87Resistance $22.63

Price Targets

$12
$22
A.Upside+67.5%
A.R:R4.5:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! Quality below floor (3.7 < 4.0)
! momentum at 1.4 (below the engine's 4.5 threshold)

Earnings

M
M
M
M
0/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-11-11 (71d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is AADX stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $13.06: Quality below floor (3.7 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 6.1/10 and A.R:R 4.5:1 is above the 1.5:1 BUY gate. Specifically: Elevated put/call ratio: 1.50; Below-average business quality; Negative price momentum. Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Prior stop was $12.48. Score 6.1/10, moderate confidence.

What is the AADX stock price target?

Take-profit target: $21.87 (+67.5% upside). Prior stop was $12.48. Stop-loss: $12.48.

What are the risks of investing in AADX?

Quality below floor (3.7 < 4.0).

Is AADX overvalued or undervalued?

Applied Aerospace & Defense, In trades at a P/E of N/A (forward 33.3). TrendMatrix value score: 7.5/10. Verdict: Sell.

What does Applied Aerospace & Defense, In do?Applied Aerospace & Defense, Inc. designs, engineers, and manufactures integrated aerospace and defense subsystems for...

Applied Aerospace & Defense, Inc. designs, engineers, and manufactures integrated aerospace and defense subsystems for space and defense applications. The company provides Space and launch Systems, which include propellant tanks and engine nozzles; nose cones, fairings, and payload adapters; solar arrays and deployable systems; satellite bus and payload assemblies; Spinnaker® de-orbit systems; antennas and precision platforms; and landing legs, tubes, and booms; Defense Aviation and Airborne Systems, which support airborne mission platforms for air dominance, ground attack, electronic warfare, air-to-air refueling, transport, and autonomous collaborative combat, and include wings and control surfaces, landing gear and arresters, engine shafts, gears, and transmissions; fuel tanks and refueling booms; and fuselage structures; C5ISR and Precision Strike Systems, which support land and maritime based integrated defense systems for intelligence, surveillance, reconnaissance, forward presence, and stand-off missions, and include radar and communications antennas; missile bodies and launchers; directed energy systems; and electronic enclosures; detection and tracking platforms; and maritime sensors and propulsion. It also provides design, prototyping and manufacturing of hardware and assemblies using composite, metallic, and polymer manufacturing. The company uses IP-enabled processes and production supported by specialized equipment and experience. It offers in-house testing and inspection along with materials and testing services to support performance and verification requirements. The company also provides Spinnaker® Deorbit Systems with configurations for satellites and launch vehicle components to support de-orbit applications. The company was formerly known as GB Eagle Topco, Inc. and changed its name to Applied Aerospace & Defense, Inc. in November 2025. Applied Aerospace & Defense, Inc. was incorporated in 2022 and is headquartered in Huntsville, Alabama. Applied Aerospace & Defense, Inc. is a subsidiary of AA&D Holdings, LP.

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