Zillow Group, Inc. (Z) Stock Analysis

Q: What is the Z stock price target?

Take-profit $62.49 (+44.4% upside). Prior stop was $40.25.

Q: What are the risks of investing in Z?

Concentration risk — Product: Residential revenue (66.0%); Leverage penalty (D/E 9.4): -1.5; Earnings in 6 days (event risk); Momentum score 2.9/10 — below 4.5 minimum; Death cross — 50-day MA below 200-day MA.

Q: Is Z overvalued or undervalued?

Zillow Group, Inc. trades at a P/E of 482.3 (forward 14.6). TrendMatrix value score: 7.9/10. Overall verdict: Sell.

Q: What do analysts say about Z?

31 analysts cover Z with a consensus score of 3.7/5. Average price target: $72.

Recovery setup

SellVALUE-TRAP 2/5High ConfidenceUpdated 2026-04-30

Communication Services · Internet Content & Information

Earnings in 6 days (2026-05-06). Expect elevated volatility around the report — consider waiting for post-earnings price action before new entries.

Sell if holding. Momentum 2.9/10 is below the 5.0 floor at $43.24 — engine's falling-knife protection flags exit rather than catching a breakdown. Specifics: Leverage penalty (D/E 9.4): -1.5; Concentration risk — Product: Residential revenue (66.0%).

Zillow operates the most-visited U.S. real estate marketplace, connecting buyers, renters, and sellers via a database of ~173M homes and the Zestimate AVM. Revenue comes from real estate partner advertising (residential 66%, rentals 24% of 2025 total revenue) and mortgage... Read more

$43.24+44.4% A.UpsideScore 5.2/10#18 of 27 Internet Content & Information

Stop $40.25Target $62.49(analyst − 13%)A.R:R 4.5:1

Analyst target$71.83+66.1%6 analysts

$62.49our TP

$43.24price

$71.83mean

$85

Passes 5/8 gates (favorable risk/reward ratio, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, semi cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum and death cross (50MA < 200MA) and earnings proximity 6d<=7d. Suitability: aggressive.

Thesis

Rewards

Attractive valuation

Strong growth profile

Analyst upside: 44%

Risks

Concentration risk — Product: Residential revenue (66.0%)

Leverage penalty (D/E 9.4): -1.5

Earnings in 6 days (event risk)

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)482.3

P/E (Fwd)14.6

Mkt Cap$10.4B

EV/EBITDA138.7

Profit Mgn0.9%

ROE0.5%

Rev Growth18.1%

Beta2.11

DividendNone

Rating analysts31

Quality Signals

Piotroski F6/9

Options Flow

P/C2.77bearish

IV91%elevated

Max Pain$130+200.6% vs spot

Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)

HIGHProductResidential revenue66%
10-K Item 1A: 'Residential revenue accounted for 66% of total revenue for the year ended December 31, 2025'
LOWProductRentals revenue24%
10-K Item 1A: 'Rentals revenue accounted for 24% of total revenue for the same period'

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

4 floor-breakers

Overall = weighted sum of the 10 dimension scores. Fundamentals (Value/Quality/Growth) carry 45%; market signals (Momentum/Sentiment/Insider/Peer) carry 40%; structure (Technical/Risk/Catalyst) carries 15%.

DimensionScoreWeightContribution

Value7.915%1.19

Quality4.515%0.67

Growth7.015%1.05

Momentum2.910%0.29

Sentiment6.510%0.65

Insider Activity5.010%0.50

Peer Rank2.910%0.29

Technical Setup3.55%0.18

Risk Profile3.15%0.16

Catalyst3.35%0.17

Overall (Σ contributions)5.13

Small float-rounding may cause last-digit differences between this sum and the displayed Overall.

Price action weak — below key moving averages, no momentum carry. Needs a base before trend-continuation setups apply.static

Volume

0.0

Obv

1.0

Ma Position

1.0

Rsi

3.7

Macd

9.0

Volume distribution (falling OBV)Below 200-MA, MA slope -6.0%/30d — confirmed downtrend

Ranks in the bottom of its industry peers on the composite signal. Better names in the same sector exist.static

Value Rank

1.9

Quality Rank

2.2

Growth Rank

7.7

No near-term catalyst priced in. Thesis progression will come from fundamentals grinding, not event reaction.static

Earnings History

1.1

Surprise Avg

2.2

Erm

5.0

Earnings Timing

5.0

Earnings concerns: 1B/2MEarnings in 6 days

Technicals below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

52w Position

0.0

Bollinger

5.1

Support Resistance

5.5

GatesMomentum 2.9<4.5Death cross (50MA < 200MA)EARNINGS PROXIMITY 6d<=7dA.R:R 4.5 ≥ 1.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARRecoverySuitability: Aggressive

RSI

63 · Neutral

↓ 20D MA↓ 50D MA↓ 200D MADEATH CROSSSupport $39.05Resistance $48.44

Price Targets

$40

$62

A.Upside+44.5%

A.R:R4.5:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone

Suggested %0.5%

Max %1%

RegimeCautious

Risk Alerts

! Momentum score 2.9/10 — below 4.5 minimum

! Death cross — 50-day MA below 200-day MA

! EARNINGS_PROXIMITY:6d<=7d

Earnings

1/4 beats

Next Earnings2026-05-06 (6d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first

Loading history...

Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.

Frequently Asked Questions

Is Z stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Momentum 2.9/10 is below the 5.0 floor at $43.24 — engine's falling-knife protection flags exit rather than catching a breakdown. Specifics: Leverage penalty (D/E 9.4): -1.5; Concentration risk — Product: Residential revenue (66.0%). Chart setup: Death cross but MACD improving, RSI 63. Prior stop was $40.25. Score 5.2/10, high confidence.

What is the Z stock price target?

Take-profit target: $62.49 (+44.4% upside). Prior stop was $40.25. Stop-loss: $40.25.

What are the risks of investing in Z?

Concentration risk — Product: Residential revenue (66.0%); Leverage penalty (D/E 9.4): -1.5; Earnings in 6 days (event risk).

Is Z overvalued or undervalued?

Zillow Group, Inc. trades at a P/E of 482.3 (forward 14.6). TrendMatrix value score: 7.9/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about Z?

31 analysts cover Z with a consensus score of 3.7/5. Average price target: $72.

What does Zillow Group, Inc. do?Zillow operates the most-visited U.S. real estate marketplace, connecting buyers, renters, and sellers via a database...