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WTFCWintrust Financial CorporationHold5.8·$155.57
HoldModerate Confidence
Investment thesis

Wintrust Financial is a well-run regional bank trading at an attractive forward price-to-earnings of 11.3x with a perfect Piotroski score of 8/9, four consecutive earnings beats, and strong net interest margins of 32% — though limited upside to the analyst target and volume distribution in the stock suggest the near-term price appreciation may already be priced in.

Thesis pillars

  • Four Consecutive Earnings Beats↓Deteriorating
  • Attractive Bank Valuation→Stable
  • Strong Margin Quality Profile→Stable
  • +1 more pillar — see the Why tab for full reasoning

Pillars as of Jul 3, 2026, based on the 10-K filed Feb 26, 2026· older than 90 days

Full reasoning →

Open full analysis

Wintrust Financial Corporation (WTFC) Stock Analysis

HoldGrowthModerate Confidence

Financial Services · Banks - Regional

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $155.57, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=5.4).

Wintrust Financial is a $71.1 billion asset bank holding company based in Rosemont, Illinois, operating 16 banking subsidiaries with 209 locations serving the Chicago metropolitan area, southern Wisconsin, northwest Indiana, and west Michigan. Community banking accounts for... Read more

$155.57+1.1% A.UpsideScore 5.8/10#131 of 222 Banks - Regional
QualityF-score7 / 9FCF yield—
IncomeYield1.41%(5y avg 1.55%)Payout16.87%sustainable
Stop $148.49Analyst target $157.28(−10% haircut)A.R:R 0.1:1
Analyst consensus$174.75+12.3%16 analysts with price targets
$157.28Analyst target
$155.57price
$174.75mean
$195

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $155.57, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=5.4). Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Maintain position. Not compelling to add more. Score 5.8/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 7/9 gates (positive momentum, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news boost analyst 0.50, earnings proximity 77d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: moderate.

10-K grounded · weekly refresh

About Wintrust Financial Corporation

About Wintrust Financial Corporation

Wintrust Financial served the Chicago metropolitan area, southern Wisconsin, northwest Indiana, and west Michigan through 16 banking subsidiaries and 209 locations at December 31, 2025, holding $71.1 billion in total assets. Three reportable segments produced combined net revenues: community banking at 74.7%, specialty finance at 18.4%, and wealth management at 6.9% for the year ended December 31, 2025. All 16 nationally chartered banks are supervised and regularly examined by the Office of the Comptroller of the Currency (OCC).

Community banking generates net interest income and fee revenue from commercial and industrial loans, real estate loans, consumer loans, and a deposit franchise anchored by MaxSafe accounts that spread customer deposits across all 16 bank charters for expanded FDIC coverage. The specialty finance segment runs insurance premium financing nationally through FIRST Insurance Funding (48% commercial P&C) and Wintrust Life Finance (28% life insurance premium finance), along with accounts receivable financing (22%) and equipment leasing (2%). Wintrust Asset Finance carried a $4.5 billion leasing portfolio at December 31, 2025. Wealth management—through WPT, Wintrust Investments, GLA, and CDEC—held approximately $46.5 billion of assets under administration at year-end. Wintrust Mortgage operates retail origination offices, with the largest concentration in Chicago, Minneapolis, Salt Lake City, and Los Angeles, selling originated loans into the secondary market.

Show full overview

Wintrust's community banking operations are geographically concentrated in the Chicago metropolitan, southern Wisconsin, and west Michigan footprint—the 10-K explicitly notes that, unlike larger national or regional banks, Wintrust provides banking to customers "primarily in the Chicago metropolitan, southern Wisconsin and west Michigan market areas." The State of Illinois has experienced fiscal difficulties in recent years; the 10-K flags that businesses may be encouraged to leave the state or new employers discouraged from locating there, which could weigh on loan demand and deposit growth. Net charge-offs totaled $72.3 million in 2025, down from $94.4 million in 2024, while non-performing loans stood at $185.8 million at December 31, 2025.

See also: Financial Services · Banks - Regional

From Wintrust Financial Corporation's most recent 10-K filing, extracted June 16, 2026.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated Oct 28, 2026

Recent Developments — Wintrust Financial Corporation

Latest item Oct 28, 2026 · Generated 2026-11-05T11:44:09Z.

TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Thu, Jan 21, 202777d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
Sector modifier (Financial Services): +1.0
Strong earnings beat streak (4/4)
Positive news sentiment (+0.67)
Risks
Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining
V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=5.4)

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)12.0
P/E (Fwd)11.0
Mkt Cap$10.5B
EV/EBITDA—
Profit Mgn32.8%
ROE12.9%
Rev Growth8.2%
Beta0.86
Dividend1.41%
Analysts with ratings22

Quality Signals

Piotroski F7/9

Options Flow

P/C1.29bearish
IV38%normal
Max Pain$130-16.4% vs spot

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. How we score · Editorial policy

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About TrendMatrix. TrendMatrix is a publisher of general securities research and market commentary. We publish on a regular schedule. All content is the same for every subscriber in a tier — we do not provide personalized investment advice and we do not take into account any individual subscriber's financial situation, investment objectives, risk tolerance, tax situation, or holdings.

Not investment advice. TrendMatrix is not a registered investment adviser. Our content is for informational and educational purposes only. Consult your own licensed investment adviser, broker, or tax professional before making any investment decision.

Conflicts and positions. People who build TrendMatrix, or entities they control, may hold positions, long or short, in securities it covers, and may trade them at any time. Positions are not disclosed individually. Verdicts are generated by an automated model applied by the same rules to every covered stock, and are not adjusted for any position held by the people who build TrendMatrix. We do not accept payment from issuers for coverage.

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No fiduciary duty. No fiduciary, advisory, or agency relationship is created between you and TrendMatrix by reading our content or subscribing to our service.

Performance. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Performance figures reflect the published model only and do not reflect any individual subscriber's actual results.

Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

10 dimensions · all in-band

GatesA.R:R 0.1 < 1.5@spotMomentum 5.3<5.5 (soft — BUY_NOW allowed but watch)Momentum 5.3>=4.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS BOOST ANALYST 0.50EARNINGS PROXIMITY 77d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARSuitability: Moderate
RSI
75 · Overbought
↑ 20D MA↑ 50D MA↑ 200D MADEATH CROSSSupport $139.95Resistance $160.51

Price Targets

$148
$157
A.Upside+1.1%
A.R:R0.1:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0%
Max %0%
RegimeRisk-Off

Risk Alerts

! Target reached (1.1% upside)
! News modifier suppressed: positive news (+2) cannot lift HOLD to buy-class with analyst upside 1.1% (lift floor +1.5%)
! asymmetry at 0.1 (below the engine's 1.5 threshold)@spot

Earnings

B
B
B
B
4/4 beats
Next Earnings2027-01-21 (77d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is WTFC stock a buy right now?

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $155.57, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=5.4). Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Maintain position. Not compelling to add more. Analyst target $157.28 (+1.1%), stop $148.49 (−4.8%), A.R:R 0.1:1. Score 5.8/10, moderate confidence.

What is the WTFC stock price target?

Analyst target: $157.28 (+1.1% upside). Analyst target $157.28 (+1.1%), stop $148.49 (−4.8%), A.R:R 0.1:1. Stop-loss: $148.49.

What are the risks of investing in WTFC?

Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=5.4).

Is WTFC overvalued or undervalued?

Wintrust Financial Corporation trades at a P/E of 12.0 (forward 11.0). TrendMatrix value score: 8.1/10. Verdict: Hold.

What do analysts say about WTFC?

22 analysts rate WTFC, with a consensus score of 3.9/5. 16 analysts publish price targets averaging $175.

What does Wintrust Financial Corporation do?Wintrust Financial is a $71.1 billion asset bank holding company based in Rosemont, Illinois, operating 16 banking...

Wintrust Financial is a $71.1 billion asset bank holding company based in Rosemont, Illinois, operating 16 banking subsidiaries with 209 locations serving the Chicago metropolitan area, southern Wisconsin, northwest Indiana, and west Michigan. Community banking accounts for ~74.7% of net revenues, specialty finance (national insurance premium financing) contributes 18.4%, and wealth management ($46.5B AUM) adds 6.9%.

Related stocks: MBIN (Merchants Bancorp) · BHRB (Burke & Herbert Financial Servi) · COLB (Columbia Banking System, Inc.) · CCNE (CNB Financial Corporation) · NBN (Northeast Bank)
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