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WBWeibo CorporationBuy Wait5.6·$7.36+0.41%
WB · Why this verdict

Why Weibo (WB) is rated BUY WAIT

Updated

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

VerdictBUY WAIT
Overall score5.6/10
ConfidenceMEDIUM
MacroNEUTRAL

Per-dimension breakdown

Value

8.1/10data confidence 100%
ComponentSub-score
P/E10.0
P/S9.6
EV/EBITDA10.0
Fwd P/E10.0
PEG5.0
Analyst target6.0
  • Forward P/E: 5.0x
  • PEG: 1.52
  • Attractively valued

Quality

7.8/10data confidence 100%
ComponentSub-score
ROE3.5
ROA2.8
Gross margin10.0
Op margin10.0
Net margin10.0
Current ratio10.0
Moat6.5
Piotroski F10.0
  • Strong margins: 21%
  • Strong Piotroski F-Score: 9/9
  • High-quality business

Growth

3.4/10data confidence 67%
ComponentSub-score
Rev growth4.0
EPS growth2.7

Momentum

2.7/10data confidence 100%
ComponentSub-score
RSI3.0
MACD3.4
OBV1.0
MA position1.0
Volume4.9
  • Capitulation risk (RSI 15, below 200MA)
  • Volume distribution (falling OBV)
  • Below 200-MA, MA slope -3.1%/30d — confirmed downtrend

Sentiment

6.9/10data confidence 100%
ComponentSub-score
Analyst rating7.3
Price target8.0
erm sentiment5.0
  • Analyst upside: 23%

Insider

5.0/10data confidence 50%
ComponentSub-score
materiality5.0
holder change5.0
  • No net insider activity — $0 (0.000% of mkt cap)

Peer rank

4.3/10data confidence 80%
ComponentSub-score
value rank8.4
quality rank5.8
growth rank3.1
  • Attractive P/E vs peers

Technical

6.9/10data confidence 100%
ComponentSub-score
bollinger9.1
support resistance9.3
52w position2.2

Risk (lower is worse)

5.9/10data confidence 100%
ComponentSub-score
short interest1.1
days to cover0.0
volatility7.2
put call10.0
implied vol8.1
max pain risk3.0
beta10.0
debt equity8.1
  • High short interest: 18%
  • Above max pain $2

Catalyst

3.8/10data confidence 100%
ComponentSub-score
erm5.0
earnings history1.1
earnings timing5.0
surprise avg2.6
dividend safety5.5
  • Earnings concerns: 1B/2M
  • Dividend: 832.0%

How the verdict was assembled

Engine trigger

Deep value: 66% margin of safety. Extreme undervaluation. | News modifier -1 (STRONG_BUY_NOW → STRONG_BUY_WAIT).

Engine technical detail
verdict_path: L4:PATH_A_DEEP_VALUE|L3:NEWS_MOD=-1|ENTRY_STICKY:PRIOR_STILL_VIABLE
Passed (7)
  • ASYMMETRY:2.1>=1.5
  • INSIDER:OK
  • 8K:CLEAN
  • NEWS_EVENTS:NONE_RECENT
  • EARNINGS_PROXIMITY:52d clear
  • SEMI_CYCLE_PEAK:CLEAR
  • MATERIALS_CYCLE_PEAK:CLEAR
Failed (2)
  • MOMENTUM:2.7<4.5
  • DEATH_CROSS:HARD_BLOCK
Warning (0)

none

Reward-to-Risk
2.10
Upside
+10.5%
Downside
5.0%
Sizing output
STARTER

SetupFALLING_KNIFE Death cross, below all MAs, RSI 15, MACD bearish

EdgeTEMP_HEADWIND High quality (7.8) with weak momentum (2.7)

SuitabilityAGGRESSIVE MCap $1.8B<$5B

Investment implication

The STRONG_BUY_WAIT verdict reflects the MOMENTUM gate's 2.7<4.5 outcome against Value at 8.1 and asymmetric R:R of 2.10.

The strongest dimensions are Value at 8.1, Quality at 7.8, and Sentiment at 6.9; the weakest are Momentum at 2.7, Growth at 3.4, and Catalyst at 3.8. The V9 engine flagged 2 failed gates, producing an asymmetric reward-to-risk of 2.10 and an engine sizing output of STARTER.

Engine reasoning is mechanically derived from pipeline gate outputs. See decision view.

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