USA Rare Earth, Inc. (USAR) Stock Analysis
Basic Materials · Other Industrial Metals & Mining
Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $21.40: Quality below floor (1.8 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 5.2/10 and A.R:R 3.5:1 is above the 1.5:1 BUY gate. Specifically: High short interest: 12%; Below-average business quality; Negative price momentum.
USA Rare Earth is an early-stage company building an integrated rare earth mine-to-magnet value chain, including the Round Top HREE deposit in Texas, Less Common Metals metal-making operations in the UK, and a magnet manufacturing facility in Stillwater, Oklahoma. Revenue in... Read more
Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $21.40: Quality below floor (1.8 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 5.2/10 and A.R:R 3.5:1 is above the 1.5:1 BUY gate. Specifically: High short interest: 12%; Below-average business quality; Negative price momentum. Chart setup: No recognized chart pattern (not a breakout, bounce, continuation, recovery, falling knife, or range) — technicals mixed. Score 5.2/10, moderate confidence.
Passes 7/8 gates (favorable risk/reward ratio, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news boost analyst 0.50, earnings proximity 84d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum. Suitability: aggressive.
Recent Developments — USA Rare Earth, Inc.
Latest news
- USA Rare Earth Shares Fall As Broad Market Selloff Overshadows Bullish Outlook — benzinga May 15, 2026 negative
- USA Rare Earth Gets An Upgrade As Government Redefines Sector Risk — benzinga May 14, 2026 positive
- Wedbush Reiterates Outperform on USA Rare Earth, Maintains $35 Price Target — benzinga May 14, 2026 positive
- Cantor Fitzgerald Maintains Overweight on USA Rare Earth, Raises Price Target to $35 — benzinga May 14, 2026 positive
- Transcript: USA Rare Earth Q1 2026 Earnings Conference Call — benzinga May 13, 2026 positive
Generated 2026-05-20T21:06:21Z.
Thesis
Key Metrics
Quality Signals
Options Flow
Material Events(8-K, last 90d)
- 2026-04-23Item 5.02LOWOn April 20, 2026, directors Mordechai Gutnick and General Paul Kern notified the Board they would not stand for reelection at the June 3, 2026 annual meeting. The Board voted to reduce its size to six directors effective immediately before the annual meeting.SEC filing →
- 2026-03-12Item 5.02LOWOn March 9, 2026, Tready Smith resigned from the Board; no disagreement cited. The Board appointed Thomas Caulfield (Executive Chairman of GlobalFoundries) to fill the vacancy, also assigning him to Compensation and Nominating/Governance Committees.SEC filing →
Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full disclaimer
Rating Breakdown
3 floor-breakers·1 ceiling hit
Quality below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static
Momentum below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static
No near-term catalyst priced in. Thesis progression will come from fundamentals grinding, not event reaction.static
Price Targets
Position Sizing
Risk Alerts
Earnings
Verdict History
Frequently Asked Questions
Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $21.40: Quality below floor (1.8 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 5.2/10 and A.R:R 3.5:1 is above the 1.5:1 BUY gate. Specifically: High short interest: 12%; Below-average business quality; Negative price momentum. Chart setup: No recognized chart pattern (not a breakout, bounce, continuation, recovery, falling knife, or range) — technicals mixed. Prior stop was $20.20. Score 5.2/10, moderate confidence.
Take-profit target: $32.56 (+53.0% upside). Prior stop was $20.20. Stop-loss: $20.20.
Quality below floor (1.8 < 4.0).
USA Rare Earth, Inc. trades at a P/E of N/A (forward -21.4). TrendMatrix value score: 9.0/10. Verdict: Sell.
13 analysts cover USAR with a consensus score of 4.2/5. Average price target: $37.
What does USA Rare Earth, Inc. do?USA Rare Earth is an early-stage company building an integrated rare earth mine-to-magnet value chain, including the...
USA Rare Earth is an early-stage company building an integrated rare earth mine-to-magnet value chain, including the Round Top HREE deposit in Texas, Less Common Metals metal-making operations in the UK, and a magnet manufacturing facility in Stillwater, Oklahoma. Revenue in 2025 was solely from Less Common Metals for a partial year; the company had a net loss of $298.5M and accumulated deficit of $387.4M as of December 31, 2025.