USA Rare Earth, Inc. (USAR) Stock Analysis
Basic Materials · Other Industrial Metals & Mining
Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $24.92: Quality below floor (1.8 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 5.1/10 and A.R:R 1.6:1 is above the 1.5:1 BUY gate. Specifically: High short interest: 13%; Below-average business quality.
USA Rare Earth is building an integrated rare earth mine-to-magnet value chain with assets including the Round Top HREE deposit in Sierra Blanca, Texas, a magnet manufacturing facility in Stillwater, Oklahoma, and Less Common Metals (acquired November 2025). 2025 revenues... Read more
Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $24.92: Quality below floor (1.8 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 5.1/10 and A.R:R 1.6:1 is above the 1.5:1 BUY gate. Specifically: High short interest: 13%; Below-average business quality. Chart setup: No recognized chart pattern (not a breakout, bounce, continuation, recovery, falling knife, or range) — technicals mixed. Score 5.1/10, moderate confidence.
Passes 6/7 gates (positive momentum, favorable risk/reward ratio, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, semi cycle peak clear). Suitability: aggressive.
Thesis
Key Metrics
Quality Signals
Options Flow
Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)
- HIGHCommodityneo magnets10-K Item 1A: 'our revenue is, and will for the foreseeable future be, derived from the production and sale of neo magnets'
Material Events(8-K, last 90d)
- 2026-04-20Item 1.01HIGHUSAR entered into Agreement and Plan of Merger with SVRE Holdings Ltd./Serra Verde Rare Earths Ltd. for SVRE to merge as an indirect wholly-owned subsidiary of USAR. Expected to close Q3 2026 subject to regulatory approvals.SEC filing →
- 2026-04-23Item 5.02LOWDirectors Mordechai Gutnick and General Paul Kern will not stand for reelection at June 3, 2026 annual meeting. Board size reduced to 6 directors. No disagreement cited.SEC filing →
- 2026-03-12Item 5.02LOWDirector Tready Smith resigned; Thomas Caulfield (Executive Chairman of GlobalFoundries) appointed as replacement director. Board remains at 8 directors. No disagreement cited for resignation.SEC filing →
Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full disclaimer
Rating Breakdown
3 floor-breakers
Quality below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static
Technicals below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static
Ranks in the bottom of its industry peers on the composite signal. Better names in the same sector exist.static
Price Targets
Position Sizing
Risk Alerts
Earnings
Verdict History
Frequently Asked Questions
Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $24.92: Quality below floor (1.8 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 5.1/10 and A.R:R 1.6:1 is above the 1.5:1 BUY gate. Specifically: High short interest: 13%; Below-average business quality. Chart setup: No recognized chart pattern (not a breakout, bounce, continuation, recovery, falling knife, or range) — technicals mixed. Prior stop was $23.23. Score 5.1/10, moderate confidence.
Take-profit target: $31.07 (+24.4% upside). Prior stop was $23.23. Stop-loss: $23.23.
Concentration risk — Commodity: neo magnets; Quality below floor (1.8 < 4.0).
USA Rare Earth, Inc. trades at a P/E of N/A (forward -16.4). TrendMatrix value score: 7.5/10. Verdict: Sell.
11 analysts cover USAR with a consensus score of 4.2/5. Average price target: $36.
What does USA Rare Earth, Inc. do?USA Rare Earth is building an integrated rare earth mine-to-magnet value chain with assets including the Round Top HREE...
USA Rare Earth is building an integrated rare earth mine-to-magnet value chain with assets including the Round Top HREE deposit in Sierra Blanca, Texas, a magnet manufacturing facility in Stillwater, Oklahoma, and Less Common Metals (acquired November 2025). 2025 revenues derived solely from Less Common Metals; net loss $298.5M with accumulated deficit of $387.4M.