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TRMKTrustmark CorporationHold6.0·$47.42-1.02%
HoldModerate Confidence
Investment thesis

Trustmark Corporation has delivered three earnings beats in the last four quarters with strong momentum indicators including a golden cross and rising volume accumulation, but the stock is priced above analyst targets with negative asymmetry, limiting near-term upside relative to downside.

Thesis pillars

  • Regulatory Concentration RiskImproving
  • Earnings Beat Streak QualityDeteriorating
  • Price Momentum BreakoutDeteriorating
  • +1 more pillar — see the Why tab for full reasoning

Full reasoning →

Open full analysis

Trustmark Corporation (TRMK) Stock Analysis

Breakout setup

HoldValueModerate Confidence

Financial Services · Banks - Regional

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $47.42, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Concentration risk — Regulatory: FRBA and MDBCF supervision; Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining.

Trustmark Corporation is a Mississippi bank holding company with $18.9 billion in total assets and $799.8 million in revenue in 2025, operating Trustmark Bank across Alabama, Florida (Panhandle), Georgia, Mississippi, Tennessee, and Texas. The bank converted from a national to a... Read more

$47.42-9.6% A.UpsideScore 6.0/10#114 of 224 Banks - Regional
QualityF-score7 / 9FCF yield
IncomeYield2.09%(5y avg 2.98%)Payout24.94%sustainable
Stop $45.74Target $54.53(default +15%)A.R:R -1.9:1
Analyst target$49.25+3.9%5 analysts
$54.53our TP
$47.42price
$49.25mean
$55

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $47.42, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Concentration risk — Regulatory: FRBA and MDBCF supervision; Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining. Chart setup: Golden cross, above all MAs, RSI 59, MACD bullish. Maintain position. Not compelling to add more. Score 6.0/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 6/8 gates (positive momentum, clean insider activity, news events none recent, earnings proximity 80d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: aggressive.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated 2026-08-09
TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Tue, Oct 27, 202680d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
Strong earnings beat streak (3/4)
Attractive valuation
Risks
Concentration risk — Regulatory: FRBA and MDBCF supervision
Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining
Near 52-week high (3.2% away)

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)12.2
P/E (Fwd)11.5
Mkt Cap$2.8B
EV/EBITDA
Profit Mgn28.7%
ROE11.1%
Rev Growth10.5%
Beta0.64
Dividend2.09%
Rating analysts12

Quality Signals

Piotroski F7/9

Options Flow

P/C1.50bearish
IV51%elevated

Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)

  • HIGHregulatoryFRBA and MDBCF supervision
    10-K Item 1: 'TB is a member bank of the Federal Reserve System and is supervised by the Federal Reserve Bank of Atlanta (FRBA)'

Material Events(8-K, last 90d)

  • 2026-05-19Item 5.02MEDIUM
    Wayne A. Stevens, President - Retail Banking of Trustmark Bank, notified the Board of his retirement effective July 3, 2026. RSU vesting accelerated; no severance. Executive Officer since 2009; no successor named.
    SEC filing →
  • 2026-03-30Item 5.02LOW
    Thomas C. Owens appointed COO of Trustmark Bank effective May 1, 2026, while retaining his existing roles as Treasurer, Principal Financial Officer, and CFO of the Bank. Salary set at $550,000. No prior officer departure involved.
    SEC filing →

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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About TrendMatrix. TrendMatrix is a publisher of general securities research and market commentary. We publish on a regular schedule. All content is the same for every subscriber in a tier — we do not provide personalized investment advice and we do not take into account any individual subscriber's financial situation, investment objectives, risk tolerance, tax situation, or holdings.

Not investment advice. TrendMatrix is not a registered investment adviser. Our content is for informational and educational purposes only. Consult your own licensed investment adviser, broker, or tax professional before making any investment decision.

Conflicts and positions. The TrendMatrix editorial team frequently holds personal long-term positions in securities discussed. We disclose positions held at the time of publication on each piece. We maintain a trading-window policy: we do not initiate or close positions in the same direction as a TrendMatrix publication within 24 hours before or 72 hours after publication.

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Performance. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Performance figures reflect the published model only and do not reflect any individual subscriber's actual results.

Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

10 dimensions · all in-band

GatesA.R:R -1.9=NEGATIVEExecutive change: officer departure/appointmentMomentum 6.4>=5.5Insider activity: OKNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY 80d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARBreakoutSuitability: Aggressive
RSI
59 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $45.38Resistance $49.00

Price Targets

$46
$55
A.Upside-9.6%
A.R:R-1.9:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! Target reached (-9.6% upside)
! Negative risk/reward — downside exceeds upside

Earnings

B
B
B
M
3/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-10-27 (80d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is TRMK stock a buy right now?

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $47.42, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Concentration risk — Regulatory: FRBA and MDBCF supervision; Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining. Chart setup: Golden cross, above all MAs, RSI 59, MACD bullish. Maintain position. Not compelling to add more. Target $54.53 (+15.0%), stop $45.74 (−3.7%), A.R:R -1.9:1. Score 6.0/10, moderate confidence.

What is the TRMK stock price target?

Take-profit target: $54.53 (-9.6% upside). Target $54.53 (+15.0%), stop $45.74 (−3.7%), A.R:R -1.9:1. Stop-loss: $45.74.

What are the risks of investing in TRMK?

Concentration risk — Regulatory: FRBA and MDBCF supervision; Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Near 52-week high (3.2% away).

Is TRMK overvalued or undervalued?

Trustmark Corporation trades at a P/E of 12.2 (forward 11.5). TrendMatrix value score: 7.7/10. Verdict: Hold.

What do analysts say about TRMK?

12 analysts cover TRMK with a consensus score of 3.7/5. Average price target: $49.

What does Trustmark Corporation do?Trustmark Corporation is a Mississippi bank holding company with $18.9 billion in total assets and $799.8 million in...

Trustmark Corporation is a Mississippi bank holding company with $18.9 billion in total assets and $799.8 million in revenue in 2025, operating Trustmark Bank across Alabama, Florida (Panhandle), Georgia, Mississippi, Tennessee, and Texas. The bank converted from a national to a Mississippi state-chartered bank on August 4, 2025, shifting primary federal supervision to the Federal Reserve Bank of Atlanta, and serves customers through General Banking and Wealth Management segments.

Related stocks: PKBK (Parke Bancorp, Inc.) · PLBC (Plumas Bancorp) · INTR (Inter & Co. Inc.) · BHB (Bar Harbor Bankshares, Inc.) · CARE (Carter Bankshares, Inc.)
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