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TRAXFirst Tracks Biotherapeutics, ISell5.1·$19.80+6.51%
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First Tracks Biotherapeutics, I (TRAX) Stock Analysis

Inst Constrain edge

SellVALUE-TRAP 3/5Moderate Confidence

Healthcare · Biotechnology

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $19.80: Quality below floor (2.1 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 5.1/10 and A.R:R 4.8:1 is above the 1.5:1 BUY gate. Specifically: Below-average business quality.

First Tracks Biotherapeutics, Inc. operates a clinical-stage biotechnology company focused on delivering immunology therapeutics for autoimmune and inflammatory diseases in United States. Its products includes ANB033, a novel anti-CD122 antagonist that targets the shared beta... Read more

$19.80+71.9% A.UpsideScore 5.1/10#122 of 258 Biotechnology
QualityF-score3 / 9FCF yield
Stop $17.95Target $33.17(analyst − 13%)A.R:R 4.8:1
Analyst target$38.13+92.6%8 analysts
$33.17our TP
$19.80price
$38.13mean
$54

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $19.80: Quality below floor (2.1 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 5.1/10 and A.R:R 4.8:1 is above the 1.5:1 BUY gate. Specifically: Below-average business quality. Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Score 5.1/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 7/8 gates (positive momentum, favorable risk/reward ratio, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, earnings proximity no date, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on clean insider activity. Suitability: speculative.

Thesis

Rewards
No bull case signals
Risks
Quality below floor (2.1 < 4.0)
Value-trap signals (3/5): Margin compression (op margin -39.8%), Material insider selling (3 sells, 0.04% of cap), Negative free cash flow

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)
P/E (Fwd)-6.2
Mkt Cap$673M
EV/EBITDA-2.1
Profit Mgn0.0%
ROE
Rev Growth
Beta
DividendNone
Rating analysts12

Quality Signals

Piotroski F3/9

Options Flow

P/C0.75neutral
IV167%elevated

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

2 floor-breakers·1 ceiling hit

Quality below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Gross Margin
0.0
Operating Margin
0.0
Net Margin
0.0
Piotroski F
3.3
Moat
4.5
Current Ratio
5.0
No competitive moatWeak Piotroski F-Score: 3/9Quality concerns

Technicals below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Bollinger
0.9
Support Resistance
1.7
52w Position
4.4
GatesINSIDER 9.65%=EXTREMEMomentum 6.8>=5.5A.R:R 4.8 ≥ 1.5No SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY NO DATESEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARSuitability: Speculative
RSI
59 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MASupport $14.90Resistance $20.22

Price Targets

$18
$33
A.Upside+67.5%
A.R:R4.8:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! Quality below floor (2.1 < 4.0)
! Value-trap signals (3/5): Margin compression (op margin -39.8%), Material insider selling (3 sells, 0.04% of cap), Negative free cash flow
! Insider activity: 9.65%=extreme

Earnings

We could not retrieve earnings history for TRAX.
The company may be recently listed, pre-revenue, or its beat/miss record wasn't available from our source this run. Earnings signals feed the Growth and Catalyst score dimensions — absence here doesn't affect other dimensions.

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is TRAX stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $19.80: Quality below floor (2.1 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 5.1/10 and A.R:R 4.8:1 is above the 1.5:1 BUY gate. Specifically: Below-average business quality. Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Prior stop was $17.95. Score 5.1/10, moderate confidence.

What is the TRAX stock price target?

Take-profit target: $33.17 (+71.9% upside). Prior stop was $17.95. Stop-loss: $17.95.

What are the risks of investing in TRAX?

Quality below floor (2.1 < 4.0); Value-trap signals (3/5): Margin compression (op margin -39.8%), Material insider selling (3 sells, 0.04% of cap), Negative free cash flow.

Is TRAX overvalued or undervalued?

First Tracks Biotherapeutics, I trades at a P/E of N/A (forward -6.2). TrendMatrix value score: 9.0/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about TRAX?

12 analysts cover TRAX with a consensus score of 4.3/5. Average price target: $38.

What does First Tracks Biotherapeutics, I do?First Tracks Biotherapeutics, Inc. operates a clinical-stage biotechnology company focused on delivering immunology...

First Tracks Biotherapeutics, Inc. operates a clinical-stage biotechnology company focused on delivering immunology therapeutics for autoimmune and inflammatory diseases in United States. Its products includes ANB033, a novel anti-CD122 antagonist that targets the shared beta subunit of the IL-15 and IL-2 receptors; Rosnilimab, a antibody engineered to selectively deplete pathogenic T cells in both the periphery and inflamed tissues; and ANB101, a BDCA2-modulating antibody designed to specifically target plasmacytoid dendritic cells (pDCs). First Tracks Biotherapeutics, Inc. was formerly known as Biopharma Co., Inc. and changed its name to First Tracks Biotherapeutics, Inc. in February 2026. First Tracks Biotherapeutics, Inc. was founded in 2019 and is based in San Diego, California.

Related stocks: CRMD (CorMedix Inc.) · ZVRA (Zevra Therapeutics, Inc.) · AUPH (Aurinia Pharmaceuticals Inc) · HRMY (Harmony Biosciences Holdings, I) · SLN (Silence Therapeutics Plc - Amer)
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First Tracks Biotherapeutics, I (TRAX) Stock Sell: $19.80 | Jul 2026 | TrendMatrix