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TBBKThe Bancorp, Inc.Sell5.6·$55.99-0.12%
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The Bancorp, Inc. (TBBK) Stock Analysis

Recovery setup

SellModerate Confidence

Financial Services · Banks - Regional

Sell if holding. At $55.99, A.R:R 1.4:1 is below the 1.5:1 minimum. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Concentration risk — Loan Portfolio: Fintech Solutions deposits (91.0%); Concentration risk — Regulatory: OCC.

The Bancorp is a Delaware fintech-focused bank holding company operating through The Bancorp Bank, N.A. (OCC-regulated) in Sioux Falls, South Dakota, partnering with fintech companies to issue prepaid/debit cards, process payments, and originate sponsored loans. The bank earned... Read more

$55.99+10.3% A.UpsideScore 5.6/10#102 of 142 Banks - Regional
QualityF-score8 / 9FCF yield
Stop $52.65Target $61.77(analyst − 15%)A.R:R 1.4:1
Analyst target$72.67+29.8%3 analysts
$61.77our TP
$55.99price
$72.67mean
$76

Sell if holding. At $55.99, A.R:R 1.4:1 is below the 1.5:1 minimum. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Concentration risk — Loan Portfolio: Fintech Solutions deposits (91.0%); Concentration risk — Regulatory: OCC. Chart setup: Death cross but MACD improving, RSI 52. Score 5.6/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 7/9 gates (positive momentum, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, earnings proximity 37d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: aggressive.

10-K grounded · weekly refresh

About The Bancorp, Inc.

About The Bancorp, Inc.

The Bancorp Bank, N.A., the wholly-owned banking subsidiary of The Bancorp, Inc., held $9.35 billion in total assets at December 31, 2025, with 91% of deposits sourced from its Fintech Solutions partners — primarily millions of small prepaid and debit card account balances held under program sponsorship arrangements. Supervised by the OCC as primary federal regulator and the FDIC as deposit insurer, the bank operates two revenue-generating divisions: Fintech Solutions and Credit Solutions, with 733 full-time employees.

Fintech Solutions generates the majority of fee income, totaling $141.1 million in 2025 — a 21% increase from $116.8 million in 2024 — through prepaid and debit card program sponsorship ($103.5 million), ACH and payment processing ($21.0 million), and sponsored lending ($16.6 million). Gross dollar volume on prepaid and debit cards reached $178.21 billion in 2025, up 17% from $152.64 billion in 2024, with the fintech loan portfolio growing 142% to $1.10 billion (15% of total loans). Credit Solutions provides balance sheet diversification through real estate bridge lending ($2.26 billion, 31% of total loans), institutional banking including SBLOCs and IBLOCs ($1.96 billion, 27%), small business lending ($1.01 billion, 14%), and fleet leasing ($685.4 million, 9%). Competitors in prepaid and debit card banking include Pathward Financial and Coastal Community Bank.

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Funding stability at The Bancorp is tightly linked to its fintech partner network, with 91% of deposits sourced from those relationships. A critical regulatory boundary sits at $10 billion in total assets: at $9.35 billion at December 31, 2025, the company manages its balance sheet to remain below this threshold and retain its small-issuer Durbin Amendment exemption. If total assets exceed $10 billion at calendar year-end, the company would face reduced interchange fee caps, CFPB direct examination authority, and the loss of fee-sharing provisions in certain prepaid card partner agreements that include termination rights upon crossing the threshold.

See also: Financial Services · Banks - Regional

From The Bancorp, Inc.'s most recent 10-K filing, extracted June 11, 2026.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated 2026-06-17
TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Thu, Jul 23, 202637d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
Attractive valuation
Risks
Concentration risk — Loan Portfolio: Fintech Solutions deposits (91.0%)
Concentration risk — Regulatory: OCC
Consecutive earnings misses (3)

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)10.9
P/E (Fwd)6.9
Mkt Cap$2.3B
EV/EBITDA
Profit Mgn43.5%
ROE30.3%
Rev Growth4.1%
Beta1.22
DividendNone
Rating analysts9

Quality Signals

Piotroski F8/9

Options Flow

P/C5.63bearish
IV65%elevated
Max Pain$45-19.6% vs spot

Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)

  • HIGHloan_portfolioFintech Solutions deposits91%
    10-K Item 1: '91% of our total deposits were sourced from Fintech Solutions business, primarily from Program sponsorship.'
  • MEDIUMloan_portfolioreal estate bridge lending31%
    10-K Item 1: 'Real estate bridge lending ("REBL") is $2.26 billion of loans, or 31% of our total loan portfolio'
  • HIGHregulatoryOCC
    10-K Item 1: 'supervised and examined by the Office of the Comptroller of the Currency ("OCC") as its primary regulator'

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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About TrendMatrix. TrendMatrix is a publisher of general securities research and market commentary. We publish on a regular schedule. All content is the same for every subscriber in a tier — we do not provide personalized investment advice and we do not take into account any individual subscriber's financial situation, investment objectives, risk tolerance, tax situation, or holdings.

Not investment advice. TrendMatrix is not a registered investment adviser. Our content is for informational and educational purposes only. Consult your own licensed investment adviser, broker, or tax professional before making any investment decision.

Conflicts and positions. The TrendMatrix editorial team frequently holds personal long-term positions in securities discussed. We disclose positions held at the time of publication on each piece. We maintain a trading-window policy: we do not initiate or close positions in the same direction as a TrendMatrix publication within 24 hours before or 72 hours after publication.

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Performance. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Performance figures reflect the published model only and do not reflect any individual subscriber's actual results.

Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

2 floor-breakers

No near-term catalyst priced in. Thesis progression will come from fundamentals grinding, not event reaction.static

Earnings History
0.0
Surprise Avg
0.1
Erm
5.0
Earnings Timing
5.0
Earnings concerns: 1B/3M

Technicals below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Bollinger
2.8
52w Position
3.7
Support Resistance
4.3
GatesA.R:R 1.4 < 1.5@spotDeath cross (50MA < 200MA)Momentum 5.6>=5.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY 37d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARRecoverySuitability: Aggressive
RSI
52 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MADEATH CROSSSupport $51.95Resistance $59.04

Price Targets

$53
$62
A.Upside+10.3%
A.R:R1.4:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! NEWS_MOD=-1: HOLD_IF_HOLDING → SELL_IF_HOLDING
! asymmetry at 1.4 (below the engine's 1.5 threshold)@spot

Earnings

B
M
M
M
1/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-07-23 (37d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is TBBK stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. At $55.99, A.R:R 1.4:1 is below the 1.5:1 minimum. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Concentration risk — Loan Portfolio: Fintech Solutions deposits (91.0%); Concentration risk — Regulatory: OCC. Chart setup: Death cross but MACD improving, RSI 52. Prior stop was $52.65. Score 5.6/10, moderate confidence.

What is the TBBK stock price target?

Take-profit target: $61.77 (+10.3% upside). Prior stop was $52.65. Stop-loss: $52.65.

What are the risks of investing in TBBK?

Concentration risk — Loan Portfolio: Fintech Solutions deposits (91.0%); Concentration risk — Regulatory: OCC; Consecutive earnings misses (3).

Is TBBK overvalued or undervalued?

The Bancorp, Inc. trades at a P/E of 10.9 (forward 6.9). TrendMatrix value score: 8.4/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about TBBK?

9 analysts cover TBBK with a consensus score of 4.1/5. Average price target: $73.

What does The Bancorp, Inc. do?The Bancorp is a Delaware fintech-focused bank holding company operating through The Bancorp Bank, N.A. (OCC-regulated)...

The Bancorp is a Delaware fintech-focused bank holding company operating through The Bancorp Bank, N.A. (OCC-regulated) in Sioux Falls, South Dakota, partnering with fintech companies to issue prepaid/debit cards, process payments, and originate sponsored loans. The bank earned $141.1 million in total fintech fee income in 2025 with $9.35 billion in total assets, with 91% of deposits sourced from fintech partner relationships.

Related stocks: CUBI (Customers Bancorp, Inc) · IFS (Intercorp Financial Services In) · SSB (SouthState Bank Corporation) · GABC (German American Bancorp, Inc.) · INTR (Inter & Co. Inc.)
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