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The Bancorp, Inc. (TBBK) Stock Analysis

Falling Knife setup

SellVALUE-TRAP 1/5Moderate Confidence

Financial Services · Banks - Regional

Sell if holding. Momentum 3.4/10 is below the 5.0 floor at $53.62 — engine's falling-knife protection flags exit rather than catching a breakdown. Specifics: Concentration risk — Loan Portfolio: Fintech Solutions deposits (91.0%); Concentration risk — Loan Portfolio: real estate bridge lending (31.0%).

The Bancorp is a fintech-focused national bank (OCC-regulated) that partners with fintech companies to provide prepaid/debit cards, payment processing, and sponsored lending, with $9.35B total assets as of Dec 31, 2025. Fintech Solutions generates 91% of deposits, deployed into... Read more

$53.62+15.2% A.UpsideScore 5.7/10#88 of 142 Banks - Regional
QualityF-score8 / 9FCF yield
Stop $50.72Target $61.77(analyst − 15%)A.R:R 2.2:1
Analyst target$72.67+35.5%3 analysts
$61.77our TP
$53.62price
$72.67mean
$76

Sell if holding. Momentum 3.4/10 is below the 5.0 floor at $53.62 — engine's falling-knife protection flags exit rather than catching a breakdown. Specifics: Concentration risk — Loan Portfolio: Fintech Solutions deposits (91.0%); Concentration risk — Loan Portfolio: real estate bridge lending (31.0%). Chart setup: Death cross, below all MAs, RSI 28, MACD bearish. Score 5.7/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 7/9 gates (favorable risk/reward ratio, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, earnings proximity 65d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum and death cross (50MA < 200MA). Suitability: aggressive.

Recent Developments — The Bancorp, Inc.

Generated 2026-05-20T21:06:21Z.

Thesis

Rewards
Sector modifier (Financial Services): +1.0
Attractive valuation
Risks
Concentration risk — Loan Portfolio: Fintech Solutions deposits (91.0%)
Concentration risk — Loan Portfolio: real estate bridge lending (31.0%)
Consecutive earnings misses (3)

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)10.6
P/E (Fwd)6.7
Mkt Cap$2.3B
EV/EBITDA
Profit Mgn43.5%
ROE30.3%
Rev Growth4.1%
Beta1.26
DividendNone
Rating analysts9

Quality Signals

Piotroski F8/9

Options Flow

P/C0.67bullish
IV52%elevated

Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)

  • HIGHloan_portfolioFintech Solutions deposits91%
    10-K Item 1: 'As of December 31, 2025, 91% of our total deposits were sourced from Fintech Solutions business, primarily from Program sponsorship.'
  • HIGHloan_portfolioreal estate bridge lending31%
    10-K Item 1: 'Real estate bridge lending ("REBL") is $2.26 billion of loans, or 31% of our total loan portfolio'
  • MEDIUMregulatoryOCC
    10-K Item 1: 'The Bancorp Bank, National Association...supervised and examined by the Office of the Comptroller of the Currency ("OCC") as its primary regulator'

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

2 floor-breakers·1 ceiling hit

No near-term catalyst priced in. Thesis progression will come from fundamentals grinding, not event reaction.static

Earnings History
0.0
Surprise Avg
0.1
Erm
5.0
Earnings Timing
5.0
Earnings concerns: 1B/3M

Price action weak — below key moving averages, no momentum carry. Needs a base before trend-continuation setups apply.static

Macd
0.0
Ma Position
1.5
Volume
2.7
Rsi
3.0
Obv
10.0
Capitulation risk (RSI 28, below 200MA)Volume accumulation (rising OBV)Below 200-MA, MA slope flat
GatesMomentum 3.4<4.5Death cross (50MA < 200MA)A.R:R 2.2 ≥ 1.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY 65d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARFalling KnifeSuitability: Aggressive
RSI
28 · Oversold
20D MA 50D MA 200D MADEATH CROSSSupport $52.29Resistance $61.37

Price Targets

$51
$62
A.Upside+15.2%
A.R:R2.2:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeRisk-Off

Risk Alerts

! NEWS_MOD=-1: HOLD_IF_HOLDING → SELL_IF_HOLDING
! Momentum score 3.4/10 — below 4.5 minimum
! Death cross — 50-day MA below 200-day MA

Earnings

B
M
M
M
1/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-07-23 (65d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is TBBK stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Momentum 3.4/10 is below the 5.0 floor at $53.62 — engine's falling-knife protection flags exit rather than catching a breakdown. Specifics: Concentration risk — Loan Portfolio: Fintech Solutions deposits (91.0%); Concentration risk — Loan Portfolio: real estate bridge lending (31.0%). Chart setup: Death cross, below all MAs, RSI 28, MACD bearish. Prior stop was $50.72. Score 5.7/10, moderate confidence.

What is the TBBK stock price target?

Take-profit target: $61.77 (+15.2% upside). Prior stop was $50.72. Stop-loss: $50.72.

What are the risks of investing in TBBK?

Concentration risk — Loan Portfolio: Fintech Solutions deposits (91.0%); Concentration risk — Loan Portfolio: real estate bridge lending (31.0%); Consecutive earnings misses (3).

Is TBBK overvalued or undervalued?

The Bancorp, Inc. trades at a P/E of 10.6 (forward 6.7). TrendMatrix value score: 8.7/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about TBBK?

9 analysts cover TBBK with a consensus score of 4.1/5. Average price target: $73.

What does The Bancorp, Inc. do?The Bancorp is a fintech-focused national bank (OCC-regulated) that partners with fintech companies to provide...

The Bancorp is a fintech-focused national bank (OCC-regulated) that partners with fintech companies to provide prepaid/debit cards, payment processing, and sponsored lending, with $9.35B total assets as of Dec 31, 2025. Fintech Solutions generates 91% of deposits, deployed into specialty lending (REBL 31%, institutional banking 27%, fintech loans 15% of loan portfolio). Total fintech fee income was $141.1M in 2025.

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