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The Bancorp, Inc. (TBBK) Stock Analysis

Range Bound setup

SellModerate Confidence

Financial Services · Banks - Regional

Sell if holding. At $60.69, A.R:R 0.2:1 is below the 1.5:1 minimum. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Concentration risk — Loan Portfolio: Fintech Solutions deposits (91.0%); Concentration risk — Loan Portfolio: real estate bridge lending (31.0%).

The Bancorp is a fintech-focused national bank (OCC-regulated) that partners with fintech companies to provide prepaid/debit cards, payment processing, and sponsored lending, with $9.35B total assets as of Dec 31, 2025. Fintech Solutions generates 91% of deposits, deployed into... Read more

$60.69+2.1% A.UpsideScore 5.7/10#91 of 142 Banks - Regional
Stop $56.79Target $61.77(analyst − 15%)A.R:R 0.2:1
Analyst target$72.67+19.7%3 analysts
$61.77our TP
$60.69price
$72.67mean
$76

Sell if holding. At $60.69, A.R:R 0.2:1 is below the 1.5:1 minimum. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Concentration risk — Loan Portfolio: Fintech Solutions deposits (91.0%); Concentration risk — Loan Portfolio: real estate bridge lending (31.0%). Chart setup: RSI 58 mid-range, Bollinger mid-band. Score 5.7/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 5/7 gates (positive momentum, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, earnings proximity 84d clear, semi cycle peak clear). Fails on favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: aggressive.

Thesis

Rewards
Attractive valuation
Risks
Concentration risk — Loan Portfolio: Fintech Solutions deposits (91.0%)
Concentration risk — Loan Portfolio: real estate bridge lending (31.0%)
Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)11.7
P/E (Fwd)7.4
Mkt Cap$2.5B
EV/EBITDA
Profit Mgn43.5%
ROE30.3%
Rev Growth4.1%
Beta1.28
DividendNone
Rating analysts9

Quality Signals

Piotroski F7/9

Options Flow

P/C2.23bearish
IV47%normal
Max Pain$115+89.5% vs spot

Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)

  • HIGHloan_portfolioFintech Solutions deposits91%
    10-K Item 1: 'As of December 31, 2025, 91% of our total deposits were sourced from Fintech Solutions business, primarily from Program sponsorship.'
  • HIGHloan_portfolioreal estate bridge lending31%
    10-K Item 1: 'Real estate bridge lending ("REBL") is $2.26 billion of loans, or 31% of our total loan portfolio'
  • MEDIUMregulatoryOCC
    10-K Item 1: 'The Bancorp Bank, National Association...supervised and examined by the Office of the Comptroller of the Currency ("OCC") as its primary regulator'

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

2 floor-breakers

Technicals below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Support Resistance
2.9
Bollinger
3.0
52w Position
4.8

No near-term catalyst priced in. Thesis progression will come from fundamentals grinding, not event reaction.static

Earnings History
0.0
Surprise Avg
0.1
Erm
5.0
Earnings Timing
5.0
News Activity
8.0
Earnings concerns: 1B/3M
GatesA.R:R 0.2 < 1.5@spotMomentum 5.1<5.5 (soft — BUY_NOW allowed but watch)Momentum 5.1>=4.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsEARNINGS PROXIMITY 84d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARRange BoundSuitability: Aggressive
RSI
58 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MADEATH CROSSSupport $53.27Resistance $63.40

Price Targets

$57
$62
A.Upside+1.8%
A.R:R0.2:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeCautious

Risk Alerts

! Target reached (2.1% upside)
! NEWS_MOD=-1: HOLD_IF_HOLDING → SELL_IF_HOLDING
! Reward/Risk 0.2:1 at current price — below 1.5:1 minimum

Earnings

B
M
M
M
1/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-07-23 (84d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
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Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is TBBK stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. At $60.69, A.R:R 0.2:1 is below the 1.5:1 minimum. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Concentration risk — Loan Portfolio: Fintech Solutions deposits (91.0%); Concentration risk — Loan Portfolio: real estate bridge lending (31.0%). Chart setup: RSI 58 mid-range, Bollinger mid-band. Prior stop was $56.79. Score 5.7/10, moderate confidence.

What is the TBBK stock price target?

Take-profit target: $61.77 (+2.1% upside). Prior stop was $56.79. Stop-loss: $56.79.

What are the risks of investing in TBBK?

Concentration risk — Loan Portfolio: Fintech Solutions deposits (91.0%); Concentration risk — Loan Portfolio: real estate bridge lending (31.0%); Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining.

Is TBBK overvalued or undervalued?

The Bancorp, Inc. trades at a P/E of 11.7 (forward 7.4). TrendMatrix value score: 8.1/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about TBBK?

9 analysts cover TBBK with a consensus score of 4.1/5. Average price target: $73.

What does The Bancorp, Inc. do?The Bancorp is a fintech-focused national bank (OCC-regulated) that partners with fintech companies to provide...

The Bancorp is a fintech-focused national bank (OCC-regulated) that partners with fintech companies to provide prepaid/debit cards, payment processing, and sponsored lending, with $9.35B total assets as of Dec 31, 2025. Fintech Solutions generates 91% of deposits, deployed into specialty lending (REBL 31%, institutional banking 27%, fintech loans 15% of loan portfolio). Total fintech fee income was $141.1M in 2025.

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