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Stevanato Group S.p.A. (STVN) Stock Analysis

SellVALUE-TRAP 1/5Moderate Confidence

Healthcare · Medical Instruments & Supplies

Sell if holding. At $18.01, A.R:R 1.3:1 is below the 1.5:1 minimum. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=4.5); Weak overall score: 4.9/10.

Stevanato Group S.p.A. engages in the design, production, and distribution of products and processes to provide solutions for biopharma and healthcare industries in Europe, the Middle East, Africa, North America, South America, and the Asia Pacific. It operates through two... Read more

$18.01+19.9% A.UpsideScore 4.9/10#18 of 25 Medical Instruments & Supplies
QualityF-score8 / 9FCF yield-1.16%
IncomeYield0.35%Payout10.59%sustainable
Stop $16.75Target $21.60(analyst − 13%)A.R:R 1.3:1
Analyst target$24.83+37.9%9 analysts
$21.60our TP
$18.01price
$24.83mean
$32

Sell if holding. At $18.01, A.R:R 1.3:1 is below the 1.5:1 minimum. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=4.5); Weak overall score: 4.9/10. Chart setup: No recognized chart pattern (not a breakout, bounce, continuation, recovery, falling knife, or range) — technicals mixed. Score 4.9/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 6/9 gates (clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, earnings proximity 78d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum and favorable risk/reward ratio and death cross (50MA < 200MA). Suitability: aggressive.

Recent Developments — Stevanato Group S.p.A.

Generated 2026-05-20T21:06:21Z.

Thesis

Rewards
Sector modifier (Healthcare): +0.5
Strong earnings beat streak (3/4)
Risks
V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=4.5)
Weak overall score: 4.9/10
Weak growth

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)30.0
P/E (Fwd)21.1
Mkt Cap$4.9B
EV/EBITDA18.2
Profit Mgn11.7%
ROE9.6%
Rev Growth6.6%
Beta0.76
Dividend0.35%
Rating analysts17

Quality Signals

Piotroski F8/9MoatNarrow

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

2 floor-breakers

Growth below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Earnings Growth
2.6
Revenue Growth
4.1

Technicals below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Support Resistance
2.5
52w Position
2.9
Bollinger
3.4
Gap
6.0
GatesMomentum 4.4<4.5A.R:R 1.3 < 1.5@spotDeath cross (50MA < 200MA)Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY 78d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARSuitability: Aggressive
RSI
70 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MADEATH CROSSSupport $14.91Resistance $19.05

Price Targets

$17
$22
A.Upside+19.9%
A.R:R1.3:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeRisk-Off

Risk Alerts

! Momentum score 4.4/10 — below 4.5 minimum
! Reward/Risk 1.3:1 at current price — below 1.5:1 minimum
! Death cross — 50-day MA below 200-day MA

Earnings

B
B
B
M
3/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-08-04 (78d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is STVN stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. At $18.01, A.R:R 1.3:1 is below the 1.5:1 minimum. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=4.5); Weak overall score: 4.9/10. Chart setup: No recognized chart pattern (not a breakout, bounce, continuation, recovery, falling knife, or range) — technicals mixed. Prior stop was $16.75. Score 4.9/10, moderate confidence.

What is the STVN stock price target?

Take-profit target: $21.60 (+19.9% upside). Prior stop was $16.75. Stop-loss: $16.75.

What are the risks of investing in STVN?

V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=4.5); Weak overall score: 4.9/10; Weak growth.

Is STVN overvalued or undervalued?

Stevanato Group S.p.A. trades at a P/E of 30.0 (forward 21.1). TrendMatrix value score: 4.7/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about STVN?

17 analysts cover STVN with a consensus score of 4.2/5. Average price target: $25.

What does Stevanato Group S.p.A. do?Stevanato Group S.p.A. engages in the design, production, and distribution of products and processes to provide...

Stevanato Group S.p.A. engages in the design, production, and distribution of products and processes to provide solutions for biopharma and healthcare industries in Europe, the Middle East, Africa, North America, South America, and the Asia Pacific. It operates through two segments, Biopharmaceutical and Diagnostic Solutions; and Engineering. The company offers drug containment solutions comprising pre-fillable syringes, cartridges, vials, and ampoules; in-vitro diagnostic solutions; drug delivery systems, including pen injectors, auto-injectors, and wearable injectors; diagnostic laboratory consumables; analytical and regulatory support services; medical devices; pharmaceutical visual inspection machines; assembling and packaging machines; glass converting machines; and after-sales services, such as line optimization and line conversions, training, logistics, spare parts and maintenance services. It also provides contract development and manufacturing services for customer-owned drug delivery devices. The company serves pharmaceutical, biotechnology, diagnostics, and life sciences companies; and drug products, glass packaging, and fill and finish contract manufacturers. The company was founded in 1949 and is headquartered in Piombino Dese, Italy. Stevanato Group S.p.A. is a subsidiary of Stevanato Holding S.R.L.

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