Skip to main content

S&T Bancorp, Inc. (STBA) Stock Analysis

Range Bound setup

SellModerate Confidence

Financial Services · Banks - Regional

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $44.25 — A.R:R is negative (-2.0) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Near 52-week high (1.8% away).

S&T Bancorp is a Pennsylvania bank holding company with approximately $9.9B in assets, $8.1B in loans, and 72 branches in Pennsylvania and Ohio as of December 31, 2025. Revenue from net interest income on commercial and consumer loans and trust/wealth advisory fees ($2.1B AUA).

$44.25-0.3% A.UpsideScore 5.2/10#124 of 142 Banks - Regional
Stop $42.29Target $43.98(resistance)A.R:R -2.0:1
Analyst target$44.83+1.3%6 analysts
$43.98our TP
$44.25price
$44.83mean
$40
$48

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $44.25 — A.R:R is negative (-2.0) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Near 52-week high (1.8% away). Chart setup: RSI 53 mid-range, Bollinger mid-band. Score 5.2/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 5/6 gates (positive momentum, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, earnings proximity 83d clear, semi cycle peak clear). Fails on favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: aggressive.

Thesis

Rewards
Strong earnings beat streak (4/4)
Risks
Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining
Near 52-week high (1.8% away)
Weak growth

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)12.3
P/E (Fwd)11.4
Mkt Cap$1.6B
EV/EBITDA
Profit Mgn34.1%
ROE9.5%
Rev Growth4.1%
Beta0.85
Dividend3.29%
Rating analysts13

Quality Signals

Piotroski F7/9

Options Flow

IV85%elevated

Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)

  • MEDIUMloan_portfoliocommercial loans (C&I, CRE, construction)
    10-K Item 1A: 'The majority of our loans are to commercial borrowers including C&I, Commercial Real Estate, or CRE, and construction loans.'
  • MEDIUMGeographicmarket area geographic concentration
    10-K Item 1A: 'Our loan portfolio is concentrated within our market area, and our lack of geographic diversification increases our risk profile.'

Material Events(8-K, last 90d)

  • 2026-04-07Item 5.02LOW
    S&T Bancorp and CEO Christopher McComish entered amended employment agreement effective January 1, 2026 with four-year term; base salary no less than $785,000 and 67% bonus target. Compensatory arrangement update, no departure.
    SEC filing →

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

1 floor-breaker

Growth below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Revenue Growth
3.5
Earnings Growth
3.6
GatesA.R:R -2.0=NEGATIVEMomentum 5.6>=5.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsEARNINGS PROXIMITY 83d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARRange BoundSuitability: Aggressive
RSI
53 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $41.59Resistance $44.88

Price Targets

$42
$44
A.Upside-0.6%
A.R:R-2.0:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! Target reached (-11.6% upside)
! Negative risk/reward — downside exceeds upside

Earnings

B
B
B
B
4/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-07-23 (83d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is STBA stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $44.25 — A.R:R is negative (-2.0) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Near 52-week high (1.8% away). Chart setup: RSI 53 mid-range, Bollinger mid-band. Prior stop was $42.29. Score 5.2/10, moderate confidence.

What is the STBA stock price target?

Take-profit target: $43.98 (-0.3% upside). Prior stop was $42.29. Stop-loss: $42.29.

What are the risks of investing in STBA?

Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Near 52-week high (1.8% away); Weak growth.

Is STBA overvalued or undervalued?

S&T Bancorp, Inc. trades at a P/E of 12.3 (forward 11.4). TrendMatrix value score: 6.7/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about STBA?

13 analysts cover STBA with a consensus score of 3.6/5. Average price target: $45.

What does S&T Bancorp, Inc. do?S&T Bancorp is a Pennsylvania bank holding company with approximately $9.9B in assets, $8.1B in loans, and 72 branches...

S&T Bancorp is a Pennsylvania bank holding company with approximately $9.9B in assets, $8.1B in loans, and 72 branches in Pennsylvania and Ohio as of December 31, 2025. Revenue from net interest income on commercial and consumer loans and trust/wealth advisory fees ($2.1B AUA).

Related stocks: CUBI (Customers Bancorp, Inc) · PNFP (Pinnacle Financial Partners, In) · SSB (SouthState Bank Corporation) · VLYPO (Valley National Bancorp - 5.5% ) · VLY (Valley National Bancorp)