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SPTXSeaport Therapeutics, Inc.Sell5.8·$21.10-3.83%
SellModerate Confidence
Investment thesis

Seaport Therapeutics is backed by heavy insider buying and a favorable engine-calculated risk/reward setup, but weak fundamental quality, a large recent earnings miss, and falling volume distribution introduce meaningful near-term risk.

Thesis pillars

  • Large Earnings MissDeteriorating
  • Heavy Insider BuyingStable
  • Favorable Risk Reward AsymmetryStable
  • +2 more pillars — see the Why tab for full reasoning

Full reasoning →

Open full analysis

Seaport Therapeutics, Inc. (SPTX) Stock Analysis

Range Bound setup · Inst Constrain edge

SellQualityModerate Confidence

Healthcare · Biotechnology

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $21.10: Quality below floor (2.5 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 5.8/10 and A.R:R 3.8:1 is above the 1.5:1 BUY gate. Specifically: Below-average business quality.

Seaport Therapeutics, Inc., a clinical-stage therapeutics company, focuses on inventing and developing new medicines for patients with depression, anxiety, and other debilitating neuropsychiatric disorders. It is leveraging its proprietary Glyph platform to advance a pipeline of... Read more

$21.10+56.7% A.UpsideScore 5.8/10#46 of 254 Biotechnology
QualityF-score4 / 9FCF yield
Stop $19.62Target $33.06(analyst − 13%)A.R:R 3.8:1
Analyst target$38.00+80.1%5 analysts
$33.06our TP
$21.10price
$38.00mean
$50

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $21.10: Quality below floor (2.5 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 5.8/10 and A.R:R 3.8:1 is above the 1.5:1 BUY gate. Specifically: Below-average business quality. Chart setup: RSI 57 mid-range, Bollinger mid-band. Score 5.8/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 8/8 gates (positive momentum, favorable risk/reward ratio, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, earnings proximity no date, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Suitability: speculative.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated 2026-07-24

Recent Developments — Seaport Therapeutics, Inc.

Generated 2026-07-25T09:22:36Z.

Thesis

Rewards
No bull case signals
Risks
Quality below floor (2.5 < 4.0)

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)
P/E (Fwd)-8.9
Mkt Cap$1.2B
EV/EBITDA-13.8
Profit Mgn0.0%
ROE
Rev Growth
Beta
DividendNone
Rating analysts9

Quality Signals

Piotroski F4/9MoatNarrow

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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Performance. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Performance figures reflect the published model only and do not reflect any individual subscriber's actual results.

Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

2 floor-breakers·1 ceiling hit

No near-term catalyst priced in. Thesis progression will come from fundamentals grinding, not event reaction.static

Earnings History
0.0
Surprise Avg
0.0
Erm
6.5

Quality below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Gross Margin
0.0
Operating Margin
0.0
Net Margin
0.0
Piotroski F
4.4
Current Ratio
5.0
Moat
5.5
Quality concerns
GatesMomentum 5.7>=5.5A.R:R 3.8 ≥ 1.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY NO DATESEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARRange BoundSuitability: Speculative
RSI
57 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MASupport $17.89Resistance $22.98

Price Targets

$20
$33
A.Upside+56.7%
A.R:R3.8:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! Quality below floor (2.5 < 4.0)

Earnings

M
M
M
M
0/4 beats

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is SPTX stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $21.10: Quality below floor (2.5 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 5.8/10 and A.R:R 3.8:1 is above the 1.5:1 BUY gate. Specifically: Below-average business quality. Chart setup: RSI 57 mid-range, Bollinger mid-band. Prior stop was $19.62. Score 5.8/10, moderate confidence.

What is the SPTX stock price target?

Take-profit target: $33.06 (+56.7% upside). Prior stop was $19.62. Stop-loss: $19.62.

What are the risks of investing in SPTX?

Quality below floor (2.5 < 4.0).

Is SPTX overvalued or undervalued?

Seaport Therapeutics, Inc. trades at a P/E of N/A (forward -8.9). TrendMatrix value score: 9.0/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about SPTX?

9 analysts cover SPTX with a consensus score of 4.3/5. Average price target: $38.

What does Seaport Therapeutics, Inc. do?Seaport Therapeutics, Inc., a clinical-stage therapeutics company, focuses on inventing and developing new medicines...

Seaport Therapeutics, Inc., a clinical-stage therapeutics company, focuses on inventing and developing new medicines for patients with depression, anxiety, and other debilitating neuropsychiatric disorders. It is leveraging its proprietary Glyph platform to advance a pipeline of therapies to address the unmet needs in depression and anxiety. The company's lead product candidate, GlyphAllo (SPT-300 or Glyph Allopregnanolone), is a novel, Glyphed oral prodrug of allopregnanolone, an endogenous molecule that has been clinically validated in third-party trials for the treatment of postpartum depression. Its second product candidate, GlyphAgo (SPT-320 or Glyph Agomelatine), is a novel, Glyphed oral prodrug of agomelatine, a clinically validated anxiolytic and antidepressant that is approved for the treatment of generalized anxiety disorder in Australia and major depressive disorder in Australia and the European Union. The company was founded in 2024 and is based in Boston, Massachusetts.

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