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SHGShinhan Financial Group Co LtdHold6.5·$82.28-2.59%
HoldModerate Confidence
Investment thesis

Shinhan Financial Group is an attractively valued Korean bank trading at 7.8x forward earnings with a 31% analyst upside and strong breakout momentum, but quality metrics including a Piotroski F-Score of only 4.4 and lack of competitive moat constrain the upside conviction.

Thesis pillars

  • Quality Concerns Low PiotroskiDeteriorating
  • Deep Value Peer Leading PeStable
  • Strong Breakout Momentum PatternStable
  • +1 more pillar — see the Why tab for full reasoning

Full reasoning →

Open full analysis

Shinhan Financial Group Co Ltd (SHG) Stock Analysis

Breakout setup

HoldValueGrowthModerate Confidence

Financial Services · Banks - Regional

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $82.28, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Thin upside margin: 3.3%; Near 52-week high (2.8% away).

Shinhan Financial Group Co., Ltd. provides financial products and services in South Korea, Vietnam, and Japan. The company operates in six segments: Banking, Credit card, Securities, Insurance, Credit, and Others. It offers credit, lending and receiving deposits; credit cards,... Read more

$82.28+3.3% A.UpsideScore 6.5/10#44 of 223 Banks - Regional
QualityF-score7 / 9FCF yield
IncomeYield2.46%(5y avg 3.75%)Payout24.73%sustainable
Stop $78.22Target $85.00(analyst − 15%)A.R:R 0.3:1
Analyst target$100.00+21.5%1 analysts
Range unavailable (1 analysts)

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $82.28, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Thin upside margin: 3.3%; Near 52-week high (2.8% away). Chart setup: Golden cross, above all MAs, RSI 67, MACD bullish. Maintain position. Not compelling to add more. Score 6.5/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 7/8 gates (positive momentum, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, earnings proximity 53d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: moderate.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated 2026-09-05
TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Tue, Oct 27, 202653d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
Sector modifier (Financial Services): +1.0
Strong earnings beat streak (3/4)
Attractive valuation
Risks
Thin upside margin: 3.3%
Near 52-week high (2.8% away)
V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=5.2)

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)10.2
P/E (Fwd)9.0
Mkt Cap$39.8B
EV/EBITDA
Profit Mgn32.5%
ROE8.9%
Rev Growth14.1%
Beta0.64
Dividend2.46%
Rating analysts29

Quality Signals

Piotroski F7/9

Options Flow

P/C1.00neutral
IV44%normal

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

1 ceiling hit

GatesA.R:R 0.2 < 1.5@spotMomentum 7.7>=5.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY 53d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARBreakoutSuitability: Moderate
RSI
67 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $71.46Resistance $84.65

Price Targets

$78
$85
A.Upside+3.3%
A.R:R0.3:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeRisk-Off

Risk Alerts

! asymmetry at 0.2 (below the engine's 1.5 threshold)@spot

Earnings

B
B
B
M
3/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-10-27 (53d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is SHG stock a buy right now?

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $82.28, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Thin upside margin: 3.3%; Near 52-week high (2.8% away). Chart setup: Golden cross, above all MAs, RSI 67, MACD bullish. Maintain position. Not compelling to add more. Target $85.00 (+3.3%), stop $78.22 (−5.2%), A.R:R 0.3:1. Score 6.5/10, moderate confidence.

What is the SHG stock price target?

Take-profit target: $85.00 (+3.3% upside). Target $85.00 (+3.3%), stop $78.22 (−5.2%), A.R:R 0.3:1. Stop-loss: $78.22.

What are the risks of investing in SHG?

Thin upside margin: 3.3%; Near 52-week high (2.8% away); V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=5.2).

Is SHG overvalued or undervalued?

Shinhan Financial Group Co Ltd trades at a P/E of 10.2 (forward 9.0). TrendMatrix value score: 9.6/10. Verdict: Hold.

What do analysts say about SHG?

29 analysts cover SHG with a consensus score of 4.2/5. Average price target: $100.

What does Shinhan Financial Group Co Ltd do?Shinhan Financial Group Co., Ltd. provides financial products and services in South Korea, Vietnam, and Japan. The...

Shinhan Financial Group Co., Ltd. provides financial products and services in South Korea, Vietnam, and Japan. The company operates in six segments: Banking, Credit card, Securities, Insurance, Credit, and Others. It offers credit, lending and receiving deposits; credit cards, short-term and long-term card loan services, installment financing, and leases; securities trading, consignment trading, and underwriting; life and non-life insurance business; facility rental and new technology business financing; and real estate trust, investment advisory services, venture business investment, and other businesses. Shinhan Financial Group Co., Ltd. was founded in 1982 and is based in Seoul, South Korea.

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