Value
7.9/10data confidence 100%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| P/E | 8.5 |
| P/S | 9.8 |
| EV/EBITDA | 8.4 |
| Fwd P/E | 9.5 |
| PEG | 6.3 |
| Analyst target | 6.0 |
- ▸Forward P/E: 8.6x
- ▸PEG: 1.18
- ▸Attractively valued
SHEL · Why this verdict
Why Shell (SHEL) is rated BUY WAIT
Updated
Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.
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VerdictBUY WAIT
Overall score5.6/10
ConfidenceMEDIUM
MacroNEUTRAL
Per-dimension breakdown
Quality
4.5/10data confidence 100%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| ROE | 3.6 |
| ROA | 3.3 |
| Gross margin | 1.2 |
| Op margin | 5.9 |
| Net margin | 3.5 |
| Current ratio | 4.8 |
| FCF quality | 6.2 |
| Moat | 4.5 |
| Piotroski F | 7.8 |
- ▸No competitive moat
- ▸Strong Piotroski F-Score: 7/9
Growth
5.0/10data confidence 67%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| Rev growth | 2.7 |
| EPS growth | 7.3 |
Momentum
2.4/10data confidence 100%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| RSI | 3.0 |
| MACD | 0.0 |
| OBV | 1.0 |
| MA position | 2.2 |
| Volume | 5.9 |
- ▸Capitulation risk (RSI 19, below 200MA)
- ▸Volume distribution (falling OBV)
- ▸Below 200-MA but MA still rising (+2.8%/30d) — pullback in uptrend, not confirmed weakness
Sentiment
7.3/10data confidence 100%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| Analyst rating | 7.2 |
| Price target | 8.1 |
| erm sentiment | 6.6 |
- ▸Analyst upside: 25%
Insider
5.0/10data confidence 50%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| materiality | 5.0 |
| holder change | 5.0 |
- ▸No net insider activity — $0 (0.000% of mkt cap)
Peer rank
4.4/10data confidence 80%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| value rank | 5.3 |
| quality rank | 3.2 |
| growth rank | 4.1 |
Technical
8.0/10data confidence 100%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| bollinger | 10.0 |
| support resistance | 9.5 |
| 52w position | 6.5 |
| gap | 6.0 |
Risk (lower is worse)
7.0/10data confidence 100%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| short interest | 9.1 |
| days to cover | 7.1 |
| volatility | 6.7 |
| put call | 3.9 |
| implied vol | 6.7 |
| debt equity | 8.3 |
Catalyst
5.8/10data confidence 100%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| erm | 6.5 |
| earnings history | 6.7 |
| earnings timing | 5.0 |
| surprise avg | 4.9 |
| dividend safety | 6.0 |
- ▸Strong earnings: 3B/1M
- ▸Dividend: 393.0%
How the verdict was assembled
Engine trigger
Mixed signals. Hold existing position. | News modifier +1 (HOLD_IF_HOLDING → STRONG_BUY_WAIT).
Engine technical detail
verdict_path:
L4:PATH_F_HOLD_DEFAULT|L3:NEWS_MOD=+1|ENTRY_STICKY:WITHIN_BANDPassed (7)
- ASYMMETRY:1.7>=1.5
- INSIDER:OK
- 8K:CLEAN
- NEWS_EVENTS:NONE_RECENT
- EARNINGS_PROXIMITY:35d clear
- SEMI_CYCLE_PEAK:CLEAR
- MATERIALS_CYCLE_PEAK:CLEAR
Failed (1)
- MOMENTUM:2.4<4.5
Warning (0)
none
Reward-to-Risk
1.68
Upside
+8.4%
Downside
5.0%
Sizing output
STARTER
SetupOVERSOLD_BOUNCE — Oversold RSI 19, near Bollinger lower, volume surge
EdgeNO_EDGE — No clear edge identified
SuitabilityMODERATE — Balanced profile
Investment implication
The default F-path HOLD fired without any positive-conviction gate triggering — no momentum acceleration, no quality+value crossover, no setup recognition. Highest-clear gate: ASYMMETRY:1.7>=1.5. Top dim: Technical at 8.0; weakest: Momentum at 2.4. The engine's read is one of pattern absence — no directional conviction in either direction at current asymmetry.
The strongest dimensions are Technical at 8.0, Value at 7.9, and Sentiment at 7.3; the weakest are Momentum at 2.4, Peer rank at 4.4, and Quality at 4.5. The V9 engine flagged 1 failed gate, producing an asymmetric reward-to-risk of 1.68 and an engine sizing output of STARTER.