Value
6.7/10data confidence 67%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| P/S | 5.7 |
| Fwd P/E | 3.3 |
| PEG | 10.0 |
| Analyst target | 9.0 |
- ▸Forward P/E: 33.4x
- ▸PEG: 0.13
SAIL · Why this verdict
Why SailPoint (SAIL) is rated HOLD
Updated
Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.
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VerdictHOLD
Overall score5.9/10
ConfidenceMEDIUM
MacroNEUTRAL
Per-dimension breakdown
Quality
4.6/10data confidence 100%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| ROE | 0.0 |
| ROA | 0.0 |
| Gross margin | 9.3 |
| Op margin | 0.0 |
| Net margin | 0.0 |
| Current ratio | 5.2 |
| FCF quality | 9.2 |
| Moat | 7.2 |
| Rule of 40 | 8.3 |
| Piotroski F | 6.7 |
- ▸FCF-positive despite GAAP loss (FCF margin 29%, FCF yield 4.3%)
- ▸Rule of 40: 50 (pass)
Growth
8.9/10data confidence 67%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| Rev growth | 7.9 |
| EPS growth | 10.0 |
- ▸Strong growth: 22% YoY
Momentum
2.0/10data confidence 100%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| RSI | 3.0 |
| MACD | 0.0 |
| OBV | 1.0 |
| MA position | 1.0 |
| Volume | 4.9 |
- ▸Capitulation risk (RSI 18, below 200MA)
- ▸Volume distribution (falling OBV)
- ▸Below 200-MA, MA slope -4.3%/30d — confirmed downtrend
Sentiment
7.8/10data confidence 100%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| LLM sentiment | 6.7 |
| Analyst rating | 7.5 |
| Price target | 9.3 |
- ▸LLM news sentiment: +0.33 (n=5)
- ▸Analyst upside: 43%
Insider
5.2/10data confidence 100%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| materiality | 4.5 |
| insider conviction | 2.0 |
| holder change | 7.3 |
| notable moves | 7.0 |
- ▸Modest insider selling — $6,570,122 (0.087% of mkt cap)
Peer rank
4.8/10data confidence 80%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| value rank | 3.0 |
| quality rank | 1.3 |
| growth rank | 5.7 |
- ▸Conservative debt levels
Technical
5.9/10data confidence 100%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| bollinger | 8.4 |
| support resistance | 9.5 |
| 52w position | 0.7 |
| gap | 5.0 |
Risk (lower is worse)
4.5/10data confidence 100%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| short interest | 1.7 |
| days to cover | 6.3 |
| volatility | 0.0 |
| put call | 10.0 |
| implied vol | 0.4 |
| debt equity | 8.9 |
- ▸High short interest justified: 18%
- ▸High IV: 78%
Catalyst
7.6/10data confidence 100%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| erm | 5.0 |
| earnings history | 10.0 |
| earnings timing | 5.0 |
| surprise avg | 10.0 |
| news activity | 8.0 |
- ▸Strong earnings: 3B/0M
How the verdict was assembled
Engine trigger
Mixed signals. Hold existing position.
Engine technical detail
verdict_path:
L4:PATH_F_HOLD_DEFAULTPassed (7)
- ASYMMETRY:1.9>=1.5
- INSIDER:OK
- 8K:CLEAN
- NEWS_BOOST:ANALYST:0.70
- EARNINGS_PROXIMITY:80d clear
- SEMI_CYCLE_PEAK:CLEAR
- MATERIALS_CYCLE_PEAK:CLEAR
Failed (2)
- MOMENTUM:2.0<4.5
- DEATH_CROSS:HARD_BLOCK
Warning (0)
none
Reward-to-Risk
1.93
Upside
+29.0%
Downside
15.0%
Sizing output
AVOID
SetupFALLING_KNIFE — Death cross, below all MAs, RSI 18, MACD bearish
EdgeNO_EDGE — No clear edge identified
SuitabilityMODERATE — Balanced profile
Investment implication
The default F-path HOLD fired without any positive-conviction gate triggering — no momentum acceleration, no quality+value crossover, no setup recognition. Highest-clear gate: ASYMMETRY:1.9>=1.5. Top dim: Growth at 8.9; weakest: Momentum at 2.0. The engine's read is one of pattern absence — no directional conviction in either direction at current asymmetry.
The strongest dimensions are Growth at 8.9, Sentiment at 7.8, and Catalyst at 7.6; the weakest are Momentum at 2.0, Risk (lower is worse) at 4.5, and Quality at 4.6. The V9 engine flagged 2 failed gates, producing an asymmetric reward-to-risk of 1.93 and an engine sizing output of AVOID.