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Pinterest, Inc. (PINS) Stock Analysis

Recovery setup

SellVALUE-TRAP 1/5High Confidence

Communication Services · Internet Content & Information

Earnings in 4 days (2026-05-04). Expect elevated volatility around the report — consider waiting for post-earnings price action before new entries.

Sell if holding. At $19.66, A.R:R 0.7:1 is below the 1.5:1 minimum. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Concentration risk — Product: advertising revenue; Concentration risk — Supplier: AWS.

Pinterest is an AI-powered visual search and discovery platform with 619 million monthly active users, generating revenue almost entirely from digital advertising by brands targeting high-intent consumers. Revenue comes from auction-based ad formats (image, video, shopping,... Read more

$19.66+8.4% A.UpsideScore 4.9/10#22 of 27 Internet Content & Information
Stop $18.30Target $21.33(analyst − 8%)A.R:R 0.7:1
Analyst target$23.18+17.9%37 analysts
$21.33our TP
$19.66price
$23.18mean
$15
$36

Sell if holding. At $19.66, A.R:R 0.7:1 is below the 1.5:1 minimum. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Concentration risk — Product: advertising revenue; Concentration risk — Supplier: AWS. Chart setup: Death cross but MACD improving, RSI 69. Score 4.9/10, high confidence.

Passes 3/7 gates (clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, semi cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum and favorable risk/reward ratio and death cross (50MA < 200MA) and earnings proximity 4d<=7d. Suitability: moderate.

Thesis

Rewards
No bull case signals
Risks
Concentration risk — Product: advertising revenue
Concentration risk — Supplier: AWS
Thin upside margin: 8.4%

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)32.3
P/E (Fwd)9.0
Mkt Cap$12.6B
EV/EBITDA31.6
Profit Mgn9.9%
ROE8.8%
Rev Growth14.3%
Beta0.88
DividendNone
Rating analysts45

Quality Signals

Piotroski F7/9

Options Flow

P/C0.54bullish
IV92%elevated
Max Pain$5-74.6% vs spot

Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)

  • HIGHProductadvertising revenue
    10-K Item 1A: 'our dependence on advertising for substantially all of our revenue'
  • HIGHSupplierAWS
    10-K Item 1A: 'our dependence on AWS for the vast majority of our compute, storage, data transfer, and other services'

Material Events(8-K, last 90d)

  • 2026-02-09Item 5.02LOW
    Kecia Steelman appointed as Class II director effective February 16, 2026, also to Talent Development and Compensation Committee. No arrangements or understandings, no family relationships, no material transactions.
    SEC filing →
  • 2026-01-27Item 2.05MEDIUM
    Board-approved global restructuring plan announced January 22, 2026 affecting less than 15% of workforce plus office space reductions. Pre-tax charges of $35-45M expected (primarily cash). Actions prioritize AI-focused roles and products. Expected completion by end of Q3 2026.
    SEC filing →

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

4 floor-breakers

Technicals below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

52w Position
0.0
Support Resistance
3.8
Bollinger
4.2

Growth below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Earnings Growth
0.0
Revenue Growth
6.1

Momentum below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Volume
0.0
Obv
1.0
Rsi
3.1
Ma Position
6.0
Macd
6.8
Volume distribution (falling OBV)Below 200-MA, MA slope -8.0%/30d — confirmed downtrend

Ranks in the bottom of its industry peers on the composite signal. Better names in the same sector exist.static

Value Rank
3.1
Quality Rank
4.2
Growth Rank
6.2
GatesMomentum 3.4<4.5A.R:R 0.7 < 1.5@spotDeath cross (50MA < 200MA)EARNINGS PROXIMITY 4d<=7dInsider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARRecoverySuitability: Moderate
RSI
69 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MADEATH CROSSSupport $17.33Resistance $21.14

Price Targets

$18
$21
A.Upside+8.5%
A.R:R0.7:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeCautious

Risk Alerts

! Momentum score 3.4/10 — below 4.5 minimum
! Reward/Risk 0.7:1 at current price — below 1.5:1 minimum
! Death cross — 50-day MA below 200-day MA

Earnings

B
M
M
M
1/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-05-04 (4d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is PINS stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. At $19.66, A.R:R 0.7:1 is below the 1.5:1 minimum. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Concentration risk — Product: advertising revenue; Concentration risk — Supplier: AWS. Chart setup: Death cross but MACD improving, RSI 69. Prior stop was $18.30. Score 4.9/10, high confidence.

What is the PINS stock price target?

Take-profit target: $21.33 (+8.4% upside). Prior stop was $18.30. Stop-loss: $18.30.

What are the risks of investing in PINS?

Concentration risk — Product: advertising revenue; Concentration risk — Supplier: AWS; Thin upside margin: 8.4%.

Is PINS overvalued or undervalued?

Pinterest, Inc. trades at a P/E of 32.3 (forward 9.0). TrendMatrix value score: 6.7/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about PINS?

45 analysts cover PINS with a consensus score of 3.7/5. Average price target: $23.

What does Pinterest, Inc. do?Pinterest is an AI-powered visual search and discovery platform with 619 million monthly active users, generating...

Pinterest is an AI-powered visual search and discovery platform with 619 million monthly active users, generating revenue almost entirely from digital advertising by brands targeting high-intent consumers. Revenue comes from auction-based ad formats (image, video, shopping, collection) across retail, CPG, financial services, travel, and auto verticals. AWS hosts the vast majority of the company's compute, storage, and data transfer infrastructure.

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