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PHARPharming Group N.V.Sell5.2·$11.23-2.01%
SellModerate Confidence
Investment thesis

Pharming Group is a small-cap biotech below the minimum investable market cap of $1 billion, with declining revenue of -8% but an exceptional Piotroski score of 8 out of 9, strong free cash flow conversion, and analyst targets implying 128% upside if momentum recovers.

Thesis pillars

  • Below Investable Market CapImproving
  • Revenue Decline Momentum WeaknessDeteriorating
  • High Piotroski Cashflow QualityStable
  • +1 more pillar — see the Why tab for full reasoning

Full reasoning →

Open full analysis

Pharming Group N.V. (PHAR) Stock Analysis

SellVALUE-TRAP 1/5GrowthShortModerate Confidence

Healthcare · Biotechnology

Sell if holding. Momentum 2.1/10 is below the 5.0 floor at $11.23 — engine's falling-knife protection flags exit rather than catching a breakdown. Specifics: Negative momentum; V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=5.3).

Pharming Group N.V., a biopharmaceutical company, develops and commercializes protein replacement therapies and precision medicines for the treatment of rare diseases in the United States, Europe, and internationally. The company's lead product is RUCONEST, a recombinant C1... Read more

$11.23+16.2% A.UpsideScore 5.2/10#154 of 259 Biotechnology
QualityF-score8 / 9FCF yield4.74%
Stop $10.44Target $13.05(resistance)A.R:R 0.0:1
Analyst target$34.35+205.9%4 analysts
$13.05our TP
$11.23price
$34.35mean
$39

Sell if holding. Momentum 2.1/10 is below the 5.0 floor at $11.23 — engine's falling-knife protection flags exit rather than catching a breakdown. Specifics: Negative momentum; V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=5.3). Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Score 5.2/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 6/9 gates (clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, earnings proximity no date, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum and death cross (50MA < 200MA). Suitability: speculative.

Thesis

Rewards
Sector modifier (Healthcare): +0.5
Risks
V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=5.3)
Negative momentum
Below 200-MA, MA slope -3.0%/30d (confirmed downtrend)

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)80.2
P/E (Fwd)36.6
Mkt Cap$795M
EV/EBITDA22.8
Profit Mgn2.5%
ROE3.6%
Rev Growth-3.2%
Beta0.07
DividendNone
Rating analysts14

Quality Signals

Piotroski F8/9

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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Performance. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Performance figures reflect the published model only and do not reflect any individual subscriber's actual results.

Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

1 floor-breaker

Price action weak — below key moving averages, no momentum carry. Needs a base before trend-continuation setups apply.static

Volume
0.0
Obv
1.0
Ma Position
1.0
Macd
3.9
Rsi
4.5
Volume distribution (falling OBV)Below 200-MA, MA slope -3.0%/30d — confirmed downtrend
GatesMomentum 2.1<4.5Death cross (50MA < 200MA)A.R:R UPSIDE_EXHAUSTED (upside=0.0%)Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY NO DATESEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARSuitability: Speculative
RSI
40 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MADEATH CROSSSupport $10.54Resistance $13.32

Price Targets

$10
$13
A.R:R0.0:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeRisk-Off

Risk Alerts

! DATA_ISSUE: analyst_target_implausible (raw $34.35 vs price $11.23 — ratio 3.1×). Rejected, falling back to technical TP.
! momentum at 2.1 (below the engine's 4.5 threshold)
! Death cross — 50-day MA below 200-day MA

Earnings

B
M
M
M
1/4 beats

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is PHAR stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Momentum 2.1/10 is below the 5.0 floor at $11.23 — engine's falling-knife protection flags exit rather than catching a breakdown. Specifics: Negative momentum; V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=5.3). Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Prior stop was $10.44. Score 5.2/10, moderate confidence.

What is the PHAR stock price target?

Take-profit target: $13.05 (+16.2% upside). Prior stop was $10.44. Stop-loss: $10.44.

What are the risks of investing in PHAR?

V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=5.3); Negative momentum; Below 200-MA, MA slope -3.0%/30d (confirmed downtrend).

Is PHAR overvalued or undervalued?

Pharming Group N.V. trades at a P/E of 80.2 (forward 36.6). TrendMatrix value score: 5.2/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about PHAR?

14 analysts cover PHAR with a consensus score of 4.4/5. Average price target: $34.

What does Pharming Group N.V. do?Pharming Group N.V., a biopharmaceutical company, develops and commercializes protein replacement therapies and...

Pharming Group N.V., a biopharmaceutical company, develops and commercializes protein replacement therapies and precision medicines for the treatment of rare diseases in the United States, Europe, and internationally. The company's lead product is RUCONEST, a recombinant C1 esterase inhibitor for the treatment of acute attacks in adult and adolescent patients with acute hereditary angioedema (HAE); and Joenja (leniolisib), an oral small molecule PI3K? inhibitor for the treatment of activated phosphoinositide 3-kinase delta syndrome. It also develops Joenja, an oral small molecule PI3K? inhibitor. It has a development collaboration and license agreement with Novartis. Pharming Group N.V. was incorporated in 1988 and is headquartered in Leiden, the Netherlands.

Related stocks: HRMY (Harmony Biosciences Holdings, I) · ZVRA (Zevra Therapeutics, Inc.) · AUPH (Aurinia Pharmaceuticals Inc) · CRMD (CorMedix Inc.) · INVA (Innoviva, Inc.)
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