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PHARPharming Group N.V.Sell5.0·$14.31+3.92%
SellModerate Confidence
Investment thesis

Pharming Group is a small-cap biotech below the minimum investable market cap of $1 billion, with declining revenue of -8% but an exceptional Piotroski score of 8 out of 9, strong free cash flow conversion, and analyst targets implying 128% upside if momentum recovers.

Thesis pillars

  • Below Investable Market CapStable
  • Revenue Decline Momentum WeaknessStable
  • High Piotroski Cashflow QualityStable
  • +1 more pillar — see the Why tab for full reasoning

Full reasoning →

Open full analysis

Pharming Group N.V. (PHAR) Stock Analysis

Recovery setup

SellVALUE-TRAP 2/5Moderate Confidence

Healthcare · Biotechnology

Sell if holding. Multiple concerning factors at $14.31: Earnings expected to decline ~66% (cyclical peak); Weak growth.

Pharming Group N.V., a biopharmaceutical company, develops and commercializes protein replacement therapies and precision medicines for the treatment of rare diseases in the United States, Europe, and internationally. The company's lead product is RUCONEST, a recombinant C1... Read more

$14.31+104.1% A.UpsideScore 5.0/10#132 of 253 Biotechnology
QualityF-score8 / 9FCF yield6.07%
Stop $13.45Target $29.20(analyst − 15%)A.R:R 6.9:1
Analyst target$34.35+140.0%4 analysts
$29.20our TP
$14.31price
$34.35mean
$40

Sell if holding. Multiple concerning factors at $14.31: Earnings expected to decline ~66% (cyclical peak); Weak growth. Chart setup: Death cross but MACD improving, RSI 76. Score 5.0/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 8/9 gates (positive momentum, favorable risk/reward ratio, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, earnings proximity no date, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Suitability: speculative.

Thesis

Rewards
Positive momentum
Analyst upside: 104%
Risks
Earnings expected to decline ~66% (cyclical peak)
Weak growth
Overbought (RSI 76)

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)72.5
P/E (Fwd)210.2
Mkt Cap$973M
EV/EBITDA23.0
Profit Mgn3.3%
ROE5.0%
Rev Growth-8.4%
Beta0.09
DividendNone
Rating analysts14

Quality Signals

Piotroski F8/9

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

3 floor-breakers·1 ceiling hit

Revenue shrinking — -8.4% YoY. Growth thesis broken unless recovery story develops.static

Revenue Growth
0.4
Declining revenue: -8%
Low model confidence on this dimension (33%).

Technicals below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Bollinger
0.0
Support Resistance
0.0
52w Position
3.4
Gap
5.0

Ranks in the bottom of its industry peers on the composite signal. Better names in the same sector exist.static

Growth Rank
3.0
Value Rank
5.3
Quality Rank
6.8
Superior ROE vs peers
GatesDeath cross (50MA < 200MA)Momentum 7.6>=5.5A.R:R 6.9 ≥ 1.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY NO DATESEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARRecoverySuitability: Speculative
RSI
76 · Overbought
20D MA 50D MA 200D MADEATH CROSSSupport $11.96Resistance $14.31

Price Targets

$13
$29
A.Upside+104.1%
A.R:R6.9:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! Cyclical trap - fwd PE 210x vs trail 72x (2.9x)

Earnings

B
B
M
M
2/4 beats

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is PHAR stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Multiple concerning factors at $14.31: Earnings expected to decline ~66% (cyclical peak); Weak growth. Chart setup: Death cross but MACD improving, RSI 76. Prior stop was $13.45. Score 5.0/10, moderate confidence.

What is the PHAR stock price target?

Take-profit target: $29.20 (+104.1% upside). Prior stop was $13.45. Stop-loss: $13.45.

What are the risks of investing in PHAR?

Earnings expected to decline ~66% (cyclical peak); Weak growth; Overbought (RSI 76).

Is PHAR overvalued or undervalued?

Pharming Group N.V. trades at a P/E of 72.5 (forward 210.2). TrendMatrix value score: 6.7/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about PHAR?

14 analysts cover PHAR with a consensus score of 4.4/5. Average price target: $34.

What does Pharming Group N.V. do?Pharming Group N.V., a biopharmaceutical company, develops and commercializes protein replacement therapies and...

Pharming Group N.V., a biopharmaceutical company, develops and commercializes protein replacement therapies and precision medicines for the treatment of rare diseases in the United States, Europe, and internationally. The company's lead product is RUCONEST, a recombinant C1 esterase inhibitor for the treatment of acute attacks in adult and adolescent patients with acute hereditary angioedema (HAE); and Joenja (leniolisib), an oral small molecule PI3K? inhibitor for the treatment of activated phosphoinositide 3-kinase delta syndrome. It also develops Joenja, an oral small molecule PI3K? inhibitor. It has a development collaboration and license agreement with Novartis. Pharming Group N.V. was incorporated in 1988 and is headquartered in Leiden, the Netherlands.

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