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PGENPrecigen, Inc.Sell4.2·$5.58-1.06%
SellModerate Confidence
Investment thesis

Precigen is a cash-burning biotech with a dangerously weak quality profile, but extreme momentum signals and analyst upside of 159% suggest a speculative setup with limited near-term downside if short-interest pressure resolves.

Thesis pillars

  • Cash Burn Quality Floor BreachStable
  • High Short Interest RiskStable
  • Momentum Technical BreakoutStable
  • +1 more pillar — see the Why tab for full reasoning

Full reasoning →

Open full analysis

Precigen, Inc. (PGEN) Stock Analysis

SellVALUE-TRAP 2/5Moderate Confidence

Healthcare · Biotechnology

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $5.58: Quality below floor (2.2 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 4.2/10 and A.R:R 5.9:1 is above the 1.5:1 BUY gate. Specifically: High short interest: 22%; Below-average business quality.

Precigen, Inc.,a discovery and clinical-stage biopharmaceutical company, develops gene and cell therapies using precision technology to target diseases in areas of immuno-oncology, autoimmune disorders, and infectious diseases. The company offers therapeutic platforms consisting... Read more

$5.58+88.9% A.UpsideScore 4.2/10#224 of 253 Biotechnology
QualityF-score3 / 9FCF yield-4.48%
Stop $5.21Target $10.58(analyst − 15%)A.R:R 5.9:1
Analyst target$12.45+123.1%2 analysts
$10.58our TP
$5.58price
$12.45mean
$14

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $5.58: Quality below floor (2.2 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 4.2/10 and A.R:R 5.9:1 is above the 1.5:1 BUY gate. Specifically: High short interest: 22%; Below-average business quality. Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Score 4.2/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 7/9 gates (positive momentum, favorable risk/reward ratio, clean insider activity, news events none recent, earnings proximity 37d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Suitability: speculative.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated 2026-07-07
TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Tue, Aug 11, 202637d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
No bull case signals
Risks
Concentration risk — Product: Papzimeos
Quality below floor (2.2 < 4.0)
Value-trap signals (2/5): High leverage (D/E 6.2), Material insider selling (11 sells, 0.04% of cap)

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)
P/E (Fwd)-25.6
Mkt Cap$2.0B
EV/EBITDA-23.8
Profit Mgn0.0%
ROE-1145.4%
Rev Growth1633.9%
Beta1.00
DividendNone
Rating analysts9

Quality Signals

Piotroski F3/9

Options Flow

P/C0.69bullish
IV106%elevated

Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)

  • HIGHProductPapzimeos
    10-K Item 1A: 'Our near-term prospects, including our ability to develop our product candidates and generate revenue, and our future growth are substantially dependent on the commercial success of Papzimeos.'

Material Events(8-K, last 90d)

  • 2026-06-24Item 5.02LOW
    Stockholders approved an amendment to the 2023 Omnibus Incentive Plan at the June 18, 2026 Annual Meeting, increasing shares available for issuance by 7 million. Routine compensatory plan amendment; no officer departure.
    SEC filing →

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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About TrendMatrix. TrendMatrix is a publisher of general securities research and market commentary. We publish on a regular schedule. All content is the same for every subscriber in a tier — we do not provide personalized investment advice and we do not take into account any individual subscriber's financial situation, investment objectives, risk tolerance, tax situation, or holdings.

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Performance. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Performance figures reflect the published model only and do not reflect any individual subscriber's actual results.

Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

4 floor-breakers

Quality below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Roa
0.0
Operating Margin
0.0
Net Margin
0.0
Fcf Quality
0.0
Piotroski F
3.3
Moat
4.2
Current Ratio
8.2
Cash-burning: FCF -285% of revenueNo competitive moatWeak Piotroski F-Score: 3/9Quality concerns

Ranks in the bottom of its industry peers on the composite signal. Better names in the same sector exist.static

Quality Rank
0.0
Value Rank
0.8
Growth Rank
10.0
Industry growth leader

Volatile — 6.4% daily ATR makes tight stops impractical. Position-size conservatively.static

Volatility
0.0
Implied Vol
0.0
Debt Equity
0.1
Short Interest
1.3
Days To Cover
1.7
Beta
7.0
Put Call
8.7
High short interest justified: 22%High IV: 106%Concentration risks: 1 HIGH (10-K Item 1A — sized via position_sizing, validated via buy_confidence)

No near-term catalyst priced in. Thesis progression will come from fundamentals grinding, not event reaction.static

Surprise Avg
0.0
Erm
5.0
Earnings Timing
5.0
Earnings History
5.6
GatesMomentum 4.9<5.5 (soft — BUY_NOW allowed but watch)Executive change: officer departure/appointmentMomentum 4.9>=4.5A.R:R 5.9 ≥ 1.5Insider activity: OKNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY 37d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARSuitability: Speculative
RSI
71 · Overbought
20D MA 50D MA 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $3.51Resistance $6.04

Price Targets

$5
$11
A.Upside+89.6%
A.R:R5.9:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! Quality below floor (2.2 < 4.0)
! Value-trap signals (2/5): High leverage (D/E 6.2), Material insider selling (11 sells, 0.04% of cap)

Earnings

B
B
M
M
2/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-08-11 (37d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is PGEN stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $5.58: Quality below floor (2.2 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 4.2/10 and A.R:R 5.9:1 is above the 1.5:1 BUY gate. Specifically: High short interest: 22%; Below-average business quality. Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Prior stop was $5.21. Score 4.2/10, moderate confidence.

What is the PGEN stock price target?

Take-profit target: $10.58 (+88.9% upside). Prior stop was $5.21. Stop-loss: $5.21.

What are the risks of investing in PGEN?

Concentration risk — Product: Papzimeos; Quality below floor (2.2 < 4.0); Value-trap signals (2/5): High leverage (D/E 6.2), Material insider selling (11 sells, 0.04% of cap).

Is PGEN overvalued or undervalued?

Precigen, Inc. trades at a P/E of N/A (forward -25.6). TrendMatrix value score: 5.0/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about PGEN?

9 analysts cover PGEN with a consensus score of 4.0/5. Average price target: $12.

What does Precigen, Inc. do?Precigen, Inc.,a discovery and clinical-stage biopharmaceutical company, develops gene and cell therapies using...

Precigen, Inc.,a discovery and clinical-stage biopharmaceutical company, develops gene and cell therapies using precision technology to target diseases in areas of immuno-oncology, autoimmune disorders, and infectious diseases. The company offers therapeutic platforms consisting of AdenoVerse platform, which utilizes a library of proprietary adenovectors for gene delivery of therapeutic effectors, immunomodulators, and vaccine antigen; and UltraCAR-T to provide chimeric antigen receptor T cell therapies for cancer patients. It also develops programs based on the UltraCAR-T platform, including PRGN-3005 in Phase 1/1b clinical trial to treat advanced ovarian, fallopian tube, or primary peritoneal cancer; PRGN-3006 in Phase 1b trial for patients with relapsed or refractory acute myeloid leukemia and high-risk myelodysplastic syndromes; and PRGN-3007 in Phase 1/1b trial for the treatment of advanced receptor tyrosine kinase-like orphan receptor 1-positive, hematologic, and solid tumors. In addition, the company is developing programs based on the AdenoVerse immunotherapy platform comprising PRGN-2009 in Phase 2 trial for patients with HPV+ solid tumors; and PRGN-2012 in Phase ½ trial to treat recurrent respiratory papillomatosis. Further, it provides UltraPorator, a proprietary electroporation device. The company was formerly known as Intrexon Corporation and changed its name to Precigen, Inc. in February 2020. Precigen, Inc. was founded in 1998 and is headquartered in Germantown, Maryland.

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