Value
9.5/10data confidence 100%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| P/E | 9.8 |
| P/S | 10.0 |
| EV/EBITDA | 10.0 |
| Fwd P/E | 10.0 |
| PEG | 10.0 |
| Analyst target | 7.5 |
- ▸Forward P/E: 4.7x
- ▸PEG: 0.38
- ▸Attractively valued
PAGS · Why this verdict
Why PagSeguro Digital (PAGS) is rated BUY WAIT
Updated
Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.
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VerdictBUY WAIT
Overall score6.0/10
ConfidenceMEDIUM
MacroNEUTRAL
Per-dimension breakdown
Quality
6.9/10data confidence 100%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| ROE | 4.8 |
| ROA | 4.3 |
| Gross margin | 6.3 |
| Op margin | 10.0 |
| Net margin | 5.4 |
| Current ratio | 5.3 |
| FCF quality | 10.0 |
| Moat | 7.2 |
| Piotroski F | 8.9 |
- ▸Excellent cash conversion: 245% FCF/NI
- ▸Strong Piotroski F-Score: 8/9
Growth
3.7/10data confidence 67%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| Rev growth | 2.9 |
| EPS growth | 4.4 |
Momentum
4.3/10data confidence 100%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| RSI | 3.5 |
| MACD | 6.8 |
| OBV | 1.0 |
| MA position | 2.2 |
| Volume | 8.1 |
- ▸Volume distribution (falling OBV)
- ▸Below 200-MA but MA still rising (+1.5%/30d) — pullback in uptrend, not confirmed weakness
Sentiment
6.3/10data confidence 100%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| Analyst rating | 5.0 |
| Price target | 9.0 |
| erm sentiment | 5.0 |
- ▸Analyst upside: 36%
Insider
6.3/10data confidence 75%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| materiality | 8.0 |
| insider conviction | 6.0 |
| holder change | 5.0 |
- ▸Notable insider buying — $2,715,552 (0.110% of mkt cap)
Peer rank
4.0/10data confidence 80%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| value rank | 9.6 |
| quality rank | 5.7 |
| growth rank | 0.5 |
- ▸Attractive P/E vs peers
Technical
6.0/10data confidence 100%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| bollinger | 6.3 |
| support resistance | 6.9 |
| 52w position | 4.6 |
| gap | 6.0 |
Risk (lower is worse)
6.3/10data confidence 100%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| short interest | 4.3 |
| days to cover | 5.8 |
| volatility | 4.0 |
| put call | 10.0 |
| implied vol | 4.9 |
| beta | 5.8 |
| debt equity | 9.3 |
Catalyst
6.0/10data confidence 100%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| erm | 5.0 |
| earnings history | 10.0 |
| earnings timing | 5.0 |
| surprise avg | 3.9 |
| dividend safety | 6.0 |
- ▸Perfect beat streak: 4Q
- ▸Dividend: 1179.0%
How the verdict was assembled
Engine trigger
V9 Gate blocked: Momentum 4.3 < 4.5 minimum. Wait for improvement.
Engine technical detail
verdict_path:
L4:PATH_A_DEEP_VALUE->V9:WEAK_MOMENTUM|ENTRY_STICKY:WITHIN_BANDPassed (8)
- ASYMMETRY:2.6>=1.5
- INSIDER:OK
- 8K:CLEAN
- NEWS_EVENTS:NONE_RECENT
- EARNINGS_PROXIMITY:50d clear
- SEMI_CYCLE_PEAK:CLEAR
- MATERIALS_CYCLE_PEAK:CLEAR
- SECTOR_CONCENTRATION_CAP:sector=Technology:5/10
Failed (1)
- MOMENTUM:4.3<4.5
Warning (0)
none
Reward-to-Risk
2.65
Upside
+18.2%
Downside
6.8%
Sizing output
STARTER
SetupUNKNOWN — No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed
EdgeNO_EDGE — No clear edge identified
SuitabilityAGGRESSIVE — MCap $2.5B<$5B
Investment implication
The STRONG_BUY_WAIT verdict reflects the MOMENTUM gate's 4.3<4.5 outcome against Value at 9.5 and asymmetric R:R of 2.65.
The strongest dimensions are Value at 9.5, Quality at 6.9, and Sentiment at 6.3; the weakest are Growth at 3.7, Peer rank at 4.0, and Momentum at 4.3. The V9 engine flagged 1 failed gate, producing an asymmetric reward-to-risk of 2.65 and an engine sizing output of STARTER.