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Plains GP Holdings, L.P. (PAGP) Stock Analysis

Breakout setup

SellVALUE-TRAP 2/5Moderate Confidence

Energy · Oil & Gas Midstream

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $25.13: Quality below floor (3.4 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 5.7/10. Specifically: High short interest: 10%; Below-average business quality.

Plains GP Holdings, L.P., through its subsidiary, Plains All American Pipeline, L.P., owns and operates midstream infrastructure systems in the United States and Canada. It operates through Crude Oil and Natural Gas Liquids (NGLs) segments. The company engages in the gathering... Read more

$25.13+0.6% A.UpsideScore 5.7/10#21 of 42 Oil & Gas Midstream
QualityF-score6 / 9FCF yield19.24%
IncomeYield6.30%(5y avg 6.85%)Payout199.68%at-risk
Stop $23.90Target $25.27(resistance)A.R:R -1.9:1
Analyst target$23.21-7.6%14 analysts
$25.27our TP
$25.13price
$23.21mean
$18
$26

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $25.13: Quality below floor (3.4 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 5.7/10. Specifically: High short interest: 10%; Below-average business quality. Chart setup: Golden cross, above all MAs, RSI 63, MACD bullish. Score 5.7/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 6/7 gates (positive momentum, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, earnings proximity 78d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: moderate.

Recent Developments — Plains GP Holdings, L.P.

Generated 2026-05-20T21:06:21Z.

Thesis

Rewards
No bull case signals
Risks
Target reached (-19.6% upside)
Quality below floor (3.4 < 4.0)
Value-trap signals (2/5): Margin compression (op margin 3.3%), Material insider selling (11 sells, 0.30% of cap)

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)32.5
P/E (Fwd)12.6
Mkt Cap$5.9B
EV/EBITDA12.4
Profit Mgn0.4%
ROE9.1%
Rev Growth8.7%
Beta
Dividend6.30%
Rating analysts21

Quality Signals

Piotroski F6/9

Options Flow

P/C0.68bullish
IV35%normal

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

2 floor-breakers

Quality below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Gross Margin
0.0
Net Margin
0.2
Operating Margin
1.1
Roa
1.9
Roe
3.0
Current Ratio
3.8
Moat
4.2
Piotroski F
6.7
Fcf Quality
10.0
Excellent cash conversion: 579% FCF/NINo competitive moat

Ranks in the bottom of its industry peers on the composite signal. Better names in the same sector exist.static

Quality Rank
0.7
Growth Rank
3.6
Value Rank
5.3
GatesA.R:R -1.9=NEGATIVEMomentum 8.0>=5.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsEARNINGS PROXIMITY 78d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARBreakoutSuitability: Moderate
RSI
63 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $22.51Resistance $25.79

Price Targets

$24
$25
A.Upside+0.6%
A.R:R-1.9:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! Target reached (-19.6% upside)
! Quality below floor (3.4 < 4.0)
! Value-trap signals (2/5): Margin compression (op margin 3.3%), Material insider selling (11 sells, 0.30% of cap)

Earnings

B
B
M
M
2/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-08-07 (78d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is PAGP stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $25.13: Quality below floor (3.4 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 5.7/10. Specifically: High short interest: 10%; Below-average business quality. Chart setup: Golden cross, above all MAs, RSI 63, MACD bullish. Prior stop was $23.90. Score 5.7/10, moderate confidence.

What is the PAGP stock price target?

Take-profit target: $25.27 (+0.6% upside). Prior stop was $23.90. Stop-loss: $23.90.

What are the risks of investing in PAGP?

Target reached (-19.6% upside); Quality below floor (3.4 < 4.0); Value-trap signals (2/5): Margin compression (op margin 3.3%), Material insider selling (11 sells, 0.30% of cap).

Is PAGP overvalued or undervalued?

Plains GP Holdings, L.P. trades at a P/E of 32.5 (forward 12.6). TrendMatrix value score: 6.8/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about PAGP?

21 analysts cover PAGP with a consensus score of 3.6/5. Average price target: $23.

What does Plains GP Holdings, L.P. do?Plains GP Holdings, L.P., through its subsidiary, Plains All American Pipeline, L.P., owns and operates midstream...

Plains GP Holdings, L.P., through its subsidiary, Plains All American Pipeline, L.P., owns and operates midstream infrastructure systems in the United States and Canada. It operates through Crude Oil and Natural Gas Liquids (NGLs) segments. The company engages in the gathering and transporting crude oil using pipelines, trucks, and barges or railcars. It also provides terminalling, storage, and other related services. In addition, the company is involved in the natural gas processing and NGL fractionation, storage, transportation, and terminalling activities. PAA GP Holdings LLC operates as a general partner of the company. Plains GP Holdings, L.P. was incorporated in 2013 and is headquartered in Houston, Texas.

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