Skip to main content
PAGPPlains GP Holdings, L.P.Sell5.5·$23.69-0.80%
Open full analysis

Plains GP Holdings, L.P. (PAGP) Stock Analysis

SellVALUE-TRAP 1/5Moderate Confidence

Energy · Oil & Gas Midstream

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $23.69: a dimension score below its floor triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 5.5/10. Specifically: Below-average business quality; Negative price momentum.

Plains GP Holdings, L.P., through its subsidiary, Plains All American Pipeline, L.P., owns and operates midstream infrastructure systems in the United States and Canada. It operates through Crude Oil and Natural Gas Liquids (NGLs) segments. The company engages in the gathering... Read more

$23.69+8.2% A.UpsideScore 5.5/10#24 of 42 Oil & Gas Midstream
QualityF-score6 / 9FCF yield20.42%
IncomeYield6.68%(5y avg 6.85%)Payout199.68%at-risk
Stop $22.90Target $25.63(resistance)A.R:R -2.3:1
Analyst target$24.14+1.9%14 analysts
$25.63our TP
$23.69price
$24.14mean
$20
$27

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $23.69: a dimension score below its floor triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 5.5/10. Specifically: Below-average business quality; Negative price momentum. Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Score 5.5/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 5/8 gates (clean insider activity, news events none recent, earnings proximity 51d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum and favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: moderate.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated 2026-06-17

Recent Developments — Plains GP Holdings, L.P.

Material events (past 30 days)

  • 8K Jun 2, 2026 MEDIUM Item 5.02: Russ Montgomery promoted to VP Accounting and Chief Accounting Officer of PAA GP Holdings LLC (PAGP general partner) effective Sept 1, 2026. Chris Herbold retiring Aug 31, 2026. Clean handoff; no disagreement cited.

Generated 2026-06-17T08:31:52Z.

TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Fri, Aug 7, 202651d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
No bull case signals
Risks
Concentration risk — Counterparty: PAA distributions
Target reached (-11.3% upside)
Quality below floor (3.4 < 4.0)

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)31.4
P/E (Fwd)11.0
Mkt Cap$5.6B
EV/EBITDA12.2
Profit Mgn0.4%
ROE9.1%
Rev Growth8.7%
Beta0.42
Dividend6.68%
Rating analysts20

Quality Signals

Piotroski F6/9

Options Flow

P/C0.39bullish
IV40%normal
Max Pain$30+26.6% vs spot

Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)

  • HIGHcounterpartyPAA distributions
    10-K Item 1A: 'The source of our earnings and cash flow currently consists exclusively of cash distributions from AAP, which currently consist exclusively of cash distributions from PAA'

Material Events(8-K, last 90d)

  • 2026-06-02Item 5.02MEDIUM
    Russ Montgomery promoted to VP Accounting and Chief Accounting Officer of PAA GP Holdings LLC (PAGP general partner) effective Sept 1, 2026. Chris Herbold retiring Aug 31, 2026. Clean handoff; no disagreement cited.
    SEC filing →
  • 2026-05-13Item 5.02LOW
    Cynthia B. Taylor appointed independent board member (Class III) effective May 11, 2026. Also added to Compensation Committee and Health, Safety, Environmental and Sustainability Committee. No departures.
    SEC filing →
  • 2026-05-12Item 1.02MEDIUM
    Term loan terminated concurrent with May 12, 2026 sale of PAA's Canadian NGL Business to Keyera Corp. Net proceeds ~$3.3B used to repay commercial paper, term loan, and PAA 4.50% senior notes due December 2026.
    SEC filing →
  • 2026-05-12Item 2.01MEDIUM
    PAA (wholly owned by PAGP) completed sale of Plains Midstream Canada ULC (Canadian NGL Business) to Keyera Corp for ~CAD $5.13B (~USD $3.76B) on May 12, 2026. Net proceeds ~$3.3B applied to leverage reduction.
    SEC filing →

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

Show full disclosure ▾

About TrendMatrix. TrendMatrix is a publisher of general securities research and market commentary. We publish on a regular schedule. All content is the same for every subscriber in a tier — we do not provide personalized investment advice and we do not take into account any individual subscriber's financial situation, investment objectives, risk tolerance, tax situation, or holdings.

Not investment advice. TrendMatrix is not a registered investment adviser. Our content is for informational and educational purposes only. Consult your own licensed investment adviser, broker, or tax professional before making any investment decision.

Conflicts and positions. The TrendMatrix editorial team frequently holds personal long-term positions in securities discussed. We disclose positions held at the time of publication on each piece. We maintain a trading-window policy: we do not initiate or close positions in the same direction as a TrendMatrix publication within 24 hours before or 72 hours after publication.

No paid promotion. TrendMatrix does not accept payment from any issuer, broker, or third party in exchange for coverage of any security. Our sole compensation is subscription revenue.

No fiduciary duty. No fiduciary, advisory, or agency relationship is created between you and TrendMatrix by reading our content or subscribing to our service.

Performance. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Performance figures reflect the published model only and do not reflect any individual subscriber's actual results.

Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

3 floor-breakers·1 ceiling hit

Momentum below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Macd
0.6
Obv
1.0
Volume
1.6
Ma Position
4.0
Rsi
8.4
Uptrend pullback (RSI 31) - buy opportunityVolume distribution (falling OBV)Above 200-day MA

Quality below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Gross Margin
0.0
Net Margin
0.2
Operating Margin
1.1
Roa
1.9
Roe
3.0
Current Ratio
3.8
Moat
4.2
Piotroski F
6.7
Fcf Quality
10.0
Excellent cash conversion: 580% FCF/NINo competitive moat

Ranks in the bottom of its industry peers on the composite signal. Better names in the same sector exist.static

Quality Rank
0.8
Growth Rank
3.3
Value Rank
4.9
GatesMomentum 3.1<4.5A.R:R -2.3=NEGATIVEExecutive change: officer departure/appointmentInsider activity: OKNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY 51d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARSuitability: Moderate
RSI
31 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $23.61Resistance $26.15

Price Targets

$23
$26
A.Upside+8.2%
A.R:R-2.3:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! Target reached (-11.3% upside)
! Quality below floor (3.4 < 4.0)
! momentum at 3.1 (below the engine's 4.5 threshold)

Earnings

B
B
M
M
2/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-08-07 (51d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is PAGP stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $23.69: a dimension score below its floor triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 5.5/10. Specifically: Below-average business quality; Negative price momentum. Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Prior stop was $22.90. Score 5.5/10, moderate confidence.

What is the PAGP stock price target?

Take-profit target: $25.63 (+8.2% upside). Prior stop was $22.90. Stop-loss: $22.90.

What are the risks of investing in PAGP?

Concentration risk — Counterparty: PAA distributions; Target reached (-11.3% upside); Quality below floor (3.4 < 4.0).

Is PAGP overvalued or undervalued?

Plains GP Holdings, L.P. trades at a P/E of 31.4 (forward 11.0). TrendMatrix value score: 6.9/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about PAGP?

20 analysts cover PAGP with a consensus score of 3.6/5. Average price target: $24.

What does Plains GP Holdings, L.P. do?Plains GP Holdings, L.P., through its subsidiary, Plains All American Pipeline, L.P., owns and operates midstream...

Plains GP Holdings, L.P., through its subsidiary, Plains All American Pipeline, L.P., owns and operates midstream infrastructure systems in the United States and Canada. It operates through Crude Oil and Natural Gas Liquids (NGLs) segments. The company engages in the gathering and transporting crude oil using pipelines, trucks, and barges or railcars. It also provides terminalling, storage, and other related services. In addition, the company is involved in the natural gas processing and NGL fractionation, storage, transportation, and terminalling activities. PAA GP Holdings LLC operates as a general partner of the company. Plains GP Holdings, L.P. was incorporated in 2013 and is headquartered in Houston, Texas.

Related stocks: STNG (Scorpio Tankers Inc.) · INSW (International Seaways, Inc.) · TEN (Tsakos Energy Navigation Ltd) · DHT (DHT Holdings, Inc.) · FRO (Frontline Plc)
Home Stocks PAGP

Latest news

Latest News

Benzinga9d ago
Benzinga12d agoAnalyst
Benzinga13d agoAnalyst
Benzinga28d agoAnalyst
Benzinga33d ago
Benzinga34d agoAnalyst
Benzinga36d agoAnalyst
Benzinga36d agoAnalyst
Benzinga40d ago
Benzinga40d agoEarnings
Benzinga43d agoMerger Acquisition
Benzinga47d ago
Benzinga68d agoAnalyst