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OXLCOOxford Lane Capital Corp. - PreSell4.5·$23.94+0.38%
SellModerate Confidence
Investment thesis

Oxford Lane Capital shows resilient balance-sheet quality metrics and firming technical momentum, but declining revenue and a weak overall score suggest the market has already priced in most near-term positives near the stock's 52-week high.

Thesis pillars

  • Piotroski Fcf Quality StrengthStable
  • Technical Momentum Above 200dmaStable
  • Declining Revenue Growth HeadwindStable
  • +2 more pillars — see the Why tab for full reasoning

Full reasoning →

Open full analysis

Oxford Lane Capital Corp. - Pre (OXLCO) Stock Analysis

Range Bound setup

SellVALUE-TRAP 1/5Moderate Confidence

Financial Services · Asset Management

Sell if holding. Multiple concerning factors at $23.94: Near 52-week high (4.2% away); Weak overall score: 4.5/10.

Oxford Lane Capital Corp. is a close ended fund launched and managed by Oxford Lane Management LLC. It invests in fixed income securities. The fund primarily invests in securitization vehicles which in turn invest in senior secured loans made to companies whose debt is rated... Read more

$23.94-0.6% A.UpsideScore 4.5/10#219 of 240 Asset Management
QualityF-score8 / 9FCF yield
IncomeYield6.29%Payout
Stop $23.59Target $23.79(resistance)A.R:R 0.0:1

Sell if holding. Multiple concerning factors at $23.94: Near 52-week high (4.2% away); Weak overall score: 4.5/10. Chart setup: RSI 48 mid-range, Bollinger mid-band. Score 4.5/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 7/8 gates (positive momentum, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, earnings proximity no date, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Suitability: moderate.

Thesis

Rewards
Positive momentum
Risks
Near 52-week high (4.2% away)
Weak overall score: 4.5/10
Weak growth

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)27.4
P/E (Fwd)
Mkt Cap
EV/EBITDA
Profit Mgn-126.1%
ROE-39.2%
Rev Growth-10.2%
Beta0.64
Dividend6.29%
Rating analysts8

Quality Signals

Piotroski F8/9

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

2 floor-breakers·1 ceiling hit

Revenue shrinking — -10.2% YoY. Growth thesis broken unless recovery story develops.static

Revenue Growth
0.0
Declining revenue: -10%
Low model confidence on this dimension (33%).

Ranks in the bottom of its industry peers on the composite signal. Better names in the same sector exist.static

Quality Rank
0.1
Growth Rank
1.6
Value Rank
2.2
GatesA.R:R UPSIDE_EXHAUSTED (upside=0.0%)Momentum 7.2>=5.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY NO DATESEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARRange BoundSuitability: Moderate
RSI
48 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $23.66Resistance $24.28

Price Targets

$24
$24
A.Upside-0.6%
A.R:R0.0:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeSteady

Analyst Consensus

Analysts8
Consensus4.1/5
Avg Target

Earnings

We could not retrieve earnings history for OXLCO.
The company may be recently listed, pre-revenue, or its beat/miss record wasn't available from our source this run. Earnings signals feed the Growth and Catalyst score dimensions — absence here doesn't affect other dimensions.

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is OXLCO stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Multiple concerning factors at $23.94: Near 52-week high (4.2% away); Weak overall score: 4.5/10. Chart setup: RSI 48 mid-range, Bollinger mid-band. Prior stop was $23.59. Score 4.5/10, moderate confidence.

What is the OXLCO stock price target?

Take-profit target: $23.79 (-0.6% upside). Prior stop was $23.59. Stop-loss: $23.59.

What are the risks of investing in OXLCO?

Near 52-week high (4.2% away); Weak overall score: 4.5/10; Weak growth.

Is OXLCO overvalued or undervalued?

Oxford Lane Capital Corp. - Pre trades at a P/E of 27.4 (forward N/A). TrendMatrix value score: 4.7/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about OXLCO?

8 analysts cover OXLCO with a consensus score of 4.1/5.

What does Oxford Lane Capital Corp. - Pre do?Oxford Lane Capital Corp. is a close ended fund launched and managed by Oxford Lane Management LLC. It invests in fixed...

Oxford Lane Capital Corp. is a close ended fund launched and managed by Oxford Lane Management LLC. It invests in fixed income securities. The fund primarily invests in securitization vehicles which in turn invest in senior secured loans made to companies whose debt is rated below investment grade or is unrated. Oxford Lane Capital Corp was formed on June 9, 2010 and is domiciled in the United States.

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