Value
7.1/10data confidence 100%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| P/E | 1.0 |
| P/S | 6.9 |
| EV/EBITDA | 4.9 |
| Fwd P/E | 9.3 |
| PEG | 10.0 |
| Analyst target | 7.5 |
- ▸Forward P/E: 9.7x
- ▸PEG: 0.14
- ▸Attractively valued
OWL · Why this verdict
Why Blue Owl Capital (OWL) is rated SELL
Updated
Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.
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VerdictSELL
Overall score5.5/10
ConfidenceMEDIUM
MacroNEUTRAL
Per-dimension breakdown
Quality
6.6/10data confidence 100%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| ROE | 1.9 |
| ROA | 2.9 |
| Gross margin | 7.7 |
| Op margin | 10.0 |
| Net margin | 1.5 |
| Current ratio | 8.6 |
| FCF quality | 10.0 |
| Moat | 7.1 |
| Piotroski F | 10.0 |
- ▸Excellent cash conversion: 1000% FCF/NI
- ▸Strong Piotroski F-Score: 9/9
Growth
5.1/10data confidence 33%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| Rev growth | 5.1 |
Momentum
3.4/10data confidence 100%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| RSI | 3.5 |
| MACD | 3.0 |
| OBV | 5.7 |
| MA position | 1.0 |
| Volume | 4.0 |
- ▸Below 200-MA, MA slope -8.9%/30d — confirmed downtrend
Sentiment
6.8/10data confidence 100%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| LLM sentiment | 4.2 |
| Analyst rating | 7.3 |
| Price target | 8.9 |
- ▸Analyst upside: 36%
Insider
5.9/10data confidence 75%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| materiality | 5.0 |
| holder change | 5.7 |
| notable moves | 7.0 |
- ▸No net insider activity — $0 (0.000% of mkt cap)
Peer rank
3.0/10data confidence 80%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| value rank | 3.1 |
| quality rank | 2.2 |
| growth rank | 6.7 |
Technical
5.1/10data confidence 100%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| bollinger | 7.7 |
| support resistance | 7.7 |
| 52w position | 0.0 |
| gap | 5.0 |
Risk (lower is worse)
3.3/10data confidence 100%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| short interest | 0.0 |
| days to cover | 5.7 |
| volatility | 0.0 |
| put call | 0.0 |
| implied vol | 3.1 |
| beta | 6.3 |
| debt equity | 6.5 |
| news risk | 5.0 |
- ▸High short interest: 24%
- ▸Elevated put/call: 3.71
- ▸High IV: 61%
- ▸Concentration risks: 1 HIGH (10-K Item 1A — sized via position_sizing, validated via buy_confidence)
Catalyst
6.1/10data confidence 100%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| erm | 5.0 |
| earnings history | 10.0 |
| earnings timing | 5.0 |
| surprise avg | 4.2 |
| dividend safety | 4.2 |
| news activity | 8.0 |
- ▸Yield trap warning: high yield but unsafe
How the verdict was assembled
Engine trigger
Multiple concerning factors. Consider reducing position.
Engine technical detail
verdict_path:
L4:PATH_F_SELLPassed (7)
- ASYMMETRY:2.1>=1.5
- INSIDER:OK
- 8K:CLEAN
- NEWS_EVENTS:NONE_RECENT
- EARNINGS_PROXIMITY:40d clear
- SEMI_CYCLE_PEAK:CLEAR
- MATERIALS_CYCLE_PEAK:CLEAR
Failed (2)
- MOMENTUM:3.4<4.5
- DEATH_CROSS:HARD_BLOCK
Warning (0)
none
Reward-to-Risk
2.11
Upside
+22.1%
Downside
10.5%
Sizing output
AVOID
SetupFALLING_KNIFE — Death cross, below all MAs, RSI 39, MACD bearish
EdgeNO_EDGE — No clear edge identified
SuitabilityMODERATE — Balanced profile
Investment implication
The F-path SELL output reflects an overall score of 5.5 below the 5.6 soft trigger — multiple weakening dimensions accumulated rather than a single hard-floor breach. The strongest dimension ( Value at 7.1) was not enough to lift the adjusted overall above the threshold. Co-occurring failed gates ( MOMENTUM:3.4<4.5, DEATH_CROSS:HARD_BLOCK) reinforce the read. Current asymmetry R:R is 2.11 — supplementary context, not the trigger for this path.
The strongest dimensions are Value at 7.1, Sentiment at 6.8, and Quality at 6.6; the weakest are Peer rank at 3.0, Risk (lower is worse) at 3.3, and Momentum at 3.4. The V9 engine flagged 2 failed gates, producing an asymmetric reward-to-risk of 2.11 and an engine sizing output of AVOID.