Blue Owl Capital Inc. (OWL) Stock Analysis
Financial Services · Asset Management
Sell if holding. Momentum 4.0/10 is below the 5.0 floor at $9.47 — engine's falling-knife protection flags exit rather than catching a breakdown. Specifics: Consecutive earnings misses (2); Elevated risk factors.
Blue Owl Capital is a global alternative asset manager with $307.4B AUM across Credit ($157.8B), Real Assets ($80.6B), and GP Strategic Capital ($69.1B) platforms, serving institutional and private wealth clients. Approximately 85% of management fees came from Permanent Capital... Read more
Sell if holding. Momentum 4.0/10 is below the 5.0 floor at $9.47 — engine's falling-knife protection flags exit rather than catching a breakdown. Specifics: Consecutive earnings misses (2); Elevated risk factors. Chart setup: No recognized chart pattern (not a breakout, bounce, continuation, recovery, falling knife, or range) — technicals mixed. Score 5.4/10, moderate confidence.
Passes 7/9 gates (favorable risk/reward ratio, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news boost analyst 0.60, earnings proximity 71d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum and death cross (50MA < 200MA). Suitability: moderate.
Recent Developments — Blue Owl Capital Inc.
Latest news
- Blue Owl stock closes at record low as private credit investors head for exits - MSN — MSN negative
- Blue Owl Shares Near ‘Doomsday’ Levels See Earnings as Next Risk - Bloomberg — Bloomberg negative
- Blue Owl Shares Near ‘Doomsday’ Levels See Earnings as Next Risk - Bloomberg.com — Bloomberg.com negative
- Bear of the Day: Blue Owl Capital (OWL) - Yahoo Finance — Yahoo Finance negative
- OWL Maintained by Blue Owl Capital -- Price Target Lowered to $2 - GuruFocus — GuruFocus negative
Generated 2026-05-20T20:21:21Z.
Thesis
Key Metrics
Quality Signals
Options Flow
Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full disclaimer
Rating Breakdown
3 floor-breakers
Ranks in the bottom of its industry peers on the composite signal. Better names in the same sector exist.static
Technicals below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static
No near-term catalyst priced in. Thesis progression will come from fundamentals grinding, not event reaction.static
Price Targets
Position Sizing
Risk Alerts
Earnings
Verdict History
Frequently Asked Questions
Sell if holding. Momentum 4.0/10 is below the 5.0 floor at $9.47 — engine's falling-knife protection flags exit rather than catching a breakdown. Specifics: Consecutive earnings misses (2); Elevated risk factors. Chart setup: No recognized chart pattern (not a breakout, bounce, continuation, recovery, falling knife, or range) — technicals mixed. Prior stop was $8.83. Score 5.4/10, moderate confidence.
Take-profit target: $11.64 (+22.7% upside). Prior stop was $8.83. Stop-loss: $8.83.
Consecutive earnings misses (2); Elevated risk factors; Below 200-MA, MA slope -9.0%/30d (confirmed downtrend).
Blue Owl Capital Inc. trades at a P/E of 79.1 (forward 9.6). TrendMatrix value score: 7.1/10. Verdict: Sell.
20 analysts cover OWL with a consensus score of 4.0/5. Average price target: $13.
What does Blue Owl Capital Inc. do?Blue Owl Capital is a global alternative asset manager with $307.4B AUM across Credit ($157.8B), Real Assets ($80.6B),...
Blue Owl Capital is a global alternative asset manager with $307.4B AUM across Credit ($157.8B), Real Assets ($80.6B), and GP Strategic Capital ($69.1B) platforms, serving institutional and private wealth clients. Approximately 85% of management fees came from Permanent Capital vehicles for the year ended December 31, 2025; the firm employs approximately 1,365 people globally.