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Old Second Bancorp, Inc. (OSBC) Stock Analysis

Range Bound setup

HoldVALUE-TRAP 1/5Moderate Confidence

Financial Services · Banks - Regional

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $20.80, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reason: Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining.

Old Second Bancorp, Inc. operates as the bank holding company for Old Second National Bank that provides community banking services in the United States. The company provides deposit products, including consumer and business checking, NOW, money market, savings, and other time... Read more

$20.80+5.7% A.UpsideScore 5.7/10#88 of 142 Banks - Regional
Stop $19.60Target $21.98(resistance)A.R:R -0.4:1
Analyst target$23.20+11.5%5 analysts
$21.98our TP
$20.80price
$23.20mean
$25

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $20.80, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reason: Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining. Chart setup: RSI 44 mid-range, Bollinger mid-band. Maintain position. Not compelling to add more. Score 5.7/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 5/7 gates (positive momentum, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, earnings proximity 83d clear, semi cycle peak clear). Fails on favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: aggressive.

Thesis

Rewards
Strong earnings beat streak (3/4)
Attractive valuation
Risks
Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)12.3
P/E (Fwd)8.9
Mkt Cap$1.1B
EV/EBITDA
Profit Mgn26.5%
ROE10.8%
Rev Growth19.2%
Beta0.74
Dividend1.32%
Rating analysts12

Quality Signals

Piotroski F7/9

Options Flow

IV90%elevated

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

10 dimensions · all in-band

GatesA.R:R -0.4=NEGATIVEMomentum 4.6<5.5 (soft — BUY_NOW allowed but watch)Momentum 4.6>=4.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsEARNINGS PROXIMITY 83d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARRange BoundSuitability: Aggressive
RSI
44 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $19.25Resistance $22.43

Price Targets

$20
$22
A.Upside+5.7%
A.R:R-0.4:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeCautious

Risk Alerts

! Target reached (-2.9% upside)
! Negative risk/reward — downside exceeds upside

Earnings

B
B
B
M
3/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-07-22 (83d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
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Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is OSBC stock a buy right now?

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $20.80, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reason: Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining. Chart setup: RSI 44 mid-range, Bollinger mid-band. Maintain position. Not compelling to add more. Target $21.98 (+5.7%), stop $19.60 (−6.1%), A.R:R -0.4:1. Score 5.7/10, moderate confidence.

What is the OSBC stock price target?

Take-profit target: $21.98 (+5.7% upside). Target $21.98 (+5.7%), stop $19.60 (−6.1%), A.R:R -0.4:1. Stop-loss: $19.60.

What are the risks of investing in OSBC?

Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining.

Is OSBC overvalued or undervalued?

Old Second Bancorp, Inc. trades at a P/E of 12.3 (forward 8.9). TrendMatrix value score: 7.7/10. Verdict: Hold.

What do analysts say about OSBC?

12 analysts cover OSBC with a consensus score of 4.2/5. Average price target: $23.

What does Old Second Bancorp, Inc. do?Old Second Bancorp, Inc. operates as the bank holding company for Old Second National Bank that provides community...

Old Second Bancorp, Inc. operates as the bank holding company for Old Second National Bank that provides community banking services in the United States. The company provides deposit products, including consumer and business checking, NOW, money market, savings, and other time deposit accounts, as well as certificates of deposit and individual retirement accounts. It also offers lending products, such as commercial and industrial loans; commercial real estate loans; multifamily loans; construction and development loans; residential real estate loans, such as residential first mortgage and second mortgage loans; home equity lines of credit; consumer loans, including motor vehicle, home improvement, and signature loans; installment and agricultural loans; lease financing receivables and overdraft checking; and safe deposit operations. In addition, the company provides online and mobile banking; corporate cash management products, including remote and mobile deposits capture, investment sweep accounts, zero balance accounts, automated tax payments, automatic teller machines access, telephone banking, lockbox accounts, automated clearing house transactions, account reconciliation, controlled disbursement, detail and general information reporting, foreign and domestic wire transfers, and vault services for currency and coin; and investment, agency, and custodial services for individual, corporate, and not-for-profit clients. The company was founded in 1871 and is headquartered in Aurora, Illinois.

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