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Ormat Technologies, Inc. (ORA) Stock Analysis

Breakout setup

SellVALUE-TRAP 2/5Moderate Confidence

Utilities · Utilities - Renewable

Earnings in 6 days (2026-05-06). Expect elevated volatility around the report — consider waiting for post-earnings price action before new entries.

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $113.98: a dimension score below its floor triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 4.4/10. Specifically: Below-average business quality; Rich valuation.

Ormat Technologies is a vertically integrated geothermal power company with operations in the U.S. and internationally across Kenya, Turkey, Guatemala, Honduras, Indonesia, and others. It earns revenue across Electricity (70.1% of 2025 revenues), Energy Storage (8.0%), and... Read more

$113.98+0.9% A.UpsideScore 4.4/10#9 of 10 Utilities - Renewable
Stop $107.15Target $114.98(resistance)A.R:R -0.5:1
Analyst target$127.09+11.5%11 analysts
$114.98our TP
$113.98price
$127.09mean
$106
$143

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $113.98: a dimension score below its floor triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 4.4/10. Specifically: Below-average business quality; Rich valuation. Chart setup: Golden cross, above all MAs, RSI 48, MACD bullish. Score 4.4/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 5/8 gates (positive momentum, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, semi cycle peak clear). Fails on favorable risk/reward ratio and earnings proximity 6d<=7d. Suitability: moderate.

Thesis

Rewards
No bull case signals
Risks
Concentration risk — Geographic: New Zealand
Target reached (-2.9% upside)
Quality below floor (3.4 < 4.0)

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)54.6
P/E (Fwd)42.7
Mkt Cap$6.8B
EV/EBITDA20.4
Profit Mgn12.5%
ROE4.8%
Rev Growth19.6%
Beta0.80
Dividend0.44%
Rating analysts15

Quality Signals

Piotroski F4/9

Options Flow

P/C0.54bullish
IV58%elevated

Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)

  • MEDIUMCustomerKPLC12%
    10-K Item 1A: 'In 2025, KPLC accounted for 11.9% of our total revenues'
  • MEDIUMCustomerSCPPA18%
    10-K Item 1A: 'SCPPA and its municipal utility members that account for 17.8% of our total revenues in 2025'
  • HIGHGeographicNew Zealand
    10-K Item 1A: '95% of our Product segment revenues in 2025 came from international sales, primarily New Zealand'

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

4 floor-breakers

Priced at a premium — multiples above sector norms. Needs delivery on growth + margins to justify.static

Ev Ebitda
0.0
Pe
2.3
Forward Pe
2.6
Peg Ratio
2.8
Analyst Target
4.0
Ps
5.6
Forward P/E: 42.7xPEG: 4.43Expensive valuation

Quality below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Fcf Quality
0.0
Roa
1.2
Gross Margin
1.5
Roe
1.6
Current Ratio
3.2
Piotroski F
4.4
Moat
5.0
Net Margin
6.3
Operating Margin
7.3
Earnings quality RED FLAG: -235% FCF/NINo competitive moat

Growth below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Earnings Growth
0.0
Revenue Growth
7.4

Ranks in the bottom of its industry peers on the composite signal. Better names in the same sector exist.static

Value Rank
1.2
Growth Rank
3.0
Quality Rank
6.0
GatesA.R:R -0.5=NEGATIVEEARNINGS PROXIMITY 6d<=7dMomentum 4.8<5.5 (soft — BUY_NOW allowed but watch)Momentum 4.8>=4.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARBreakoutSuitability: Moderate
RSI
48 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $106.43Resistance $117.33

Price Targets

$107
$115
A.Upside+0.9%
A.R:R-0.5:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! Target reached (-2.9% upside)
! Quality below floor (3.4 < 4.0)
! Value-trap signals (2/5): High leverage (D/E 1.9), Negative free cash flow

Earnings

B
B
B
B
4/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-05-06 (6d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is ORA stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $113.98: a dimension score below its floor triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 4.4/10. Specifically: Below-average business quality; Rich valuation. Chart setup: Golden cross, above all MAs, RSI 48, MACD bullish. Prior stop was $107.15. Score 4.4/10, moderate confidence.

What is the ORA stock price target?

Take-profit target: $114.98 (+0.9% upside). Prior stop was $107.15. Stop-loss: $107.15.

What are the risks of investing in ORA?

Concentration risk — Geographic: New Zealand; Target reached (-2.9% upside); Quality below floor (3.4 < 4.0).

Is ORA overvalued or undervalued?

Ormat Technologies, Inc. trades at a P/E of 54.6 (forward 42.7). TrendMatrix value score: 2.9/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about ORA?

15 analysts cover ORA with a consensus score of 3.9/5. Average price target: $127.

What does Ormat Technologies, Inc. do?Ormat Technologies is a vertically integrated geothermal power company with operations in the U.S. and internationally...

Ormat Technologies is a vertically integrated geothermal power company with operations in the U.S. and internationally across Kenya, Turkey, Guatemala, Honduras, Indonesia, and others. It earns revenue across Electricity (70.1% of 2025 revenues), Energy Storage (8.0%), and Product segments (equipment/EPC services). International operations accounted for 40.3% of total revenues in 2025.

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