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Ormat Technologies, Inc. (ORA) Stock Analysis

SellVALUE-TRAP 2/5Moderate Confidence

Utilities · Utilities - Renewable

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $131.23: a dimension score below its floor triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 5.1/10. Specifically: Below-average business quality; Rich valuation.

Ormat Technologies is a vertically integrated geothermal energy company that develops, owns, and operates 35 geothermal and solar/REG power plants globally (1,340MW), manufactures OEC equipment for sale, and owns 19 battery energy storage facilities (415MW/1,038MWh) in the U.S.... Read more

$131.23+3.9% A.UpsideScore 5.1/10#7 of 10 Utilities - Renewable
QualityF-score6 / 9FCF yield-2.23%
IncomeYield0.37%(5y avg 0.60%)Payout23.19%sustainable
Stop $121.42Target $135.62(resistance)A.R:R -0.7:1
Analyst target$135.45+3.2%11 analysts
$135.62our TP
$131.23price
$135.45mean
$122
$152

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $131.23: a dimension score below its floor triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 5.1/10. Specifically: Below-average business quality; Rich valuation. Chart setup: No recognized chart pattern (not a breakout, bounce, continuation, recovery, falling knife, or range) — technicals mixed. Score 5.1/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 7/8 gates (positive momentum, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news boost analyst 0.70, earnings proximity 77d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: moderate.

Recent Developments — Ormat Technologies, Inc.

Generated 2026-05-20T21:06:21Z.

Thesis

Rewards
Recent Analyst detected in news
Risks
Concentration risk — Geographic: international operations (Product segment) (95.0%)
Target reached (-9.7% upside)
Quality below floor (3.8 < 4.0)

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)63.4
P/E (Fwd)52.6
Mkt Cap$8.0B
EV/EBITDA21.3
Profit Mgn11.0%
ROE4.9%
Rev Growth75.8%
Beta0.80
Dividend0.37%
Rating analysts15

Quality Signals

Piotroski F6/9

Options Flow

P/C0.15bullish
IV42%normal

Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)

  • LOWCustomerKPLC12%
    10-K Item 1A: 'In 2025, KPLC accounted for 11.9% of our total revenues.'
  • MEDIUMCustomerSCPPA18%
    10-K Item 1A: 'SCPPA and its municipal utility members that account for 17.8% of our total revenues in 2025'
  • HIGHGeographicinternational operations (Product segment)95%
    10-K Item 1A: '95% of our Product segment revenues in 2025 came from international sales, primarily New Zealand.'
  • MEDIUMGeographicinternational operations40%
    10-K Item 1A: 'In 2025, 40.3% of our total revenues were derived from international operations'

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

2 floor-breakers

Priced at a premium — multiples above sector norms. Needs delivery on growth + margins to justify.static

Ev Ebitda
0.0
Peg Ratio
1.4
Pe
1.8
Forward Pe
2.2
Analyst Target
4.0
Ps
5.6
Forward P/E: 52.6xPEG: 6.85Expensive valuation

Quality below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Fcf Quality
0.0
Roa
1.4
Gross Margin
1.5
Roe
1.6
Current Ratio
4.2
Moat
4.9
Net Margin
5.5
Piotroski F
6.7
Operating Margin
8.5
Earnings quality RED FLAG: -140% FCF/NINo competitive moat
GatesA.R:R -0.7=NEGATIVEMomentum 6.9>=5.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS BOOST ANALYST 0.70EARNINGS PROXIMITY 77d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARSuitability: Moderate
RSI
77 · Overbought
20D MA 50D MA 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $106.33Resistance $138.39

Price Targets

$121
$136
A.Upside+3.3%
A.R:R-0.7:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! Target reached (-9.7% upside)
! Quality below floor (3.8 < 4.0)
! Value-trap signals (2/5): High leverage (D/E 1.9), Negative free cash flow

Earnings

B
B
B
B
4/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-08-05 (77d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is ORA stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $131.23: a dimension score below its floor triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 5.1/10. Specifically: Below-average business quality; Rich valuation. Chart setup: No recognized chart pattern (not a breakout, bounce, continuation, recovery, falling knife, or range) — technicals mixed. Prior stop was $121.42. Score 5.1/10, moderate confidence.

What is the ORA stock price target?

Take-profit target: $135.62 (+3.9% upside). Prior stop was $121.42. Stop-loss: $121.42.

What are the risks of investing in ORA?

Concentration risk — Geographic: international operations (Product segment) (95.0%); Target reached (-9.7% upside); Quality below floor (3.8 < 4.0).

Is ORA overvalued or undervalued?

Ormat Technologies, Inc. trades at a P/E of 63.4 (forward 52.6). TrendMatrix value score: 2.5/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about ORA?

15 analysts cover ORA with a consensus score of 3.9/5. Average price target: $135.

What does Ormat Technologies, Inc. do?Ormat Technologies is a vertically integrated geothermal energy company that develops, owns, and operates 35 geothermal...

Ormat Technologies is a vertically integrated geothermal energy company that develops, owns, and operates 35 geothermal and solar/REG power plants globally (1,340MW), manufactures OEC equipment for sale, and owns 19 battery energy storage facilities (415MW/1,038MWh) in the U.S. In 2025, 70.1% of total revenues came from electricity sales and 40.3% of revenues were from international operations.

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