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OFG Bancorp (OFG) Stock Analysis

Breakout setup

HoldModerate Confidence

Financial Services · Banks - Regional

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $45.55, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Concentration risk — Geographic: Puerto Rico; Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining.

OFG Bancorp is a financial holding company headquartered in San Juan, Puerto Rico, operating primarily through Oriental Bank with Banking, Wealth Management, and Treasury segments. It provides commercial, consumer, auto, and mortgage lending along with wealth management and... Read more

$45.55+0.8% A.UpsideScore 6.1/10#45 of 142 Banks - Regional
Stop $43.22Target $45.91(resistance)A.R:R -1.0:1
Analyst target$47.75+4.8%4 analysts
$45.91our TP
$45.55price
$47.75mean
$45
$50

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $45.55, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Concentration risk — Geographic: Puerto Rico; Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining. Chart setup: Golden cross, above all MAs, RSI 67, MACD bullish. Maintain position. Not compelling to add more. Score 6.1/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 6/7 gates (positive momentum, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, earnings proximity 83d clear, semi cycle peak clear). Fails on favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: aggressive.

Thesis

Rewards
Strong earnings beat streak (3/4)
Attractive valuation
Positive momentum
Risks
Concentration risk — Geographic: Puerto Rico
Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining
Near 52-week high (2.8% away)

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)9.3
P/E (Fwd)9.6
Mkt Cap$1.9B
EV/EBITDA
Profit Mgn33.6%
ROE16.0%
Rev Growth6.9%
Beta0.69
Dividend2.90%
Rating analysts9

Quality Signals

Piotroski F7/9

Options Flow

P/C1.50bearish
IV53%elevated
Max Pain$30-34.1% vs spot

Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)

  • HIGHGeographicPuerto Rico
    10-K Item 1A: 'Most of our business is conducted in Puerto Rico, where economic and government fiscal and liquidity challenges have adversely impacted and may continue to adversely impact us'
  • MEDIUMCustomerPuerto Rico government deposits (16.3% of total)16%
    10-K Item 1A: 'collateralized deposits from the Puerto Rico government, its instrumentalities and municipalities ($1.676 billion, or approximately 16.3% of our total deposits'

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

10 dimensions · all in-band

GatesA.R:R -1.0=NEGATIVEMomentum 7.1>=5.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY 83d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARBreakoutSuitability: Aggressive
RSI
67 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $40.41Resistance $46.85

Price Targets

$43
$46
A.Upside+0.8%
A.R:R-1.0:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeCautious

Risk Alerts

! Target reached (-10.9% upside)
! Negative risk/reward — downside exceeds upside

Earnings

B
B
B
M
3/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-07-23 (83d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
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Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is OFG stock a buy right now?

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $45.55, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Concentration risk — Geographic: Puerto Rico; Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining. Chart setup: Golden cross, above all MAs, RSI 67, MACD bullish. Maintain position. Not compelling to add more. Target $45.91 (+0.8%), stop $43.22 (−5.4%), A.R:R -1.0:1. Score 6.1/10, moderate confidence.

What is the OFG stock price target?

Take-profit target: $45.91 (+0.8% upside). Target $45.91 (+0.8%), stop $43.22 (−5.4%), A.R:R -1.0:1. Stop-loss: $43.22.

What are the risks of investing in OFG?

Concentration risk — Geographic: Puerto Rico; Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Near 52-week high (2.8% away).

Is OFG overvalued or undervalued?

OFG Bancorp trades at a P/E of 9.3 (forward 9.6). TrendMatrix value score: 7.9/10. Verdict: Hold.

What do analysts say about OFG?

9 analysts cover OFG with a consensus score of 3.7/5. Average price target: $48.

What does OFG Bancorp do?OFG Bancorp is a financial holding company headquartered in San Juan, Puerto Rico, operating primarily through Oriental...

OFG Bancorp is a financial holding company headquartered in San Juan, Puerto Rico, operating primarily through Oriental Bank with Banking, Wealth Management, and Treasury segments. It provides commercial, consumer, auto, and mortgage lending along with wealth management and insurance services, primarily in Puerto Rico and the U.S. Virgin Islands.

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