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ODTXOdyssey Therapeutics, Inc.Sell5.4·$18.26
SellModerate Confidence
Investment thesis

Odyssey Therapeutics offers a favorable modeled risk/reward for a speculative clinical-stage biotech, but a momentum gate failure, below-floor quality, and a large recent earnings miss keep the setup firmly speculative.

Thesis pillars

  • Quality Floor Value Trap Signals→Stable
  • High Asymmetry Speculative Upside→Stable
  • Momentum Gate Failure Distribution→Stable
  • +2 more pillars — see the Why tab for full reasoning

Full reasoning →

Open full analysis

Odyssey Therapeutics, Inc. (ODTX) Stock Analysis

Inst Constrain edge

SellVALUE-TRAP 1/5QualityModerate Confidence

Healthcare · Biotechnology

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $18.26: Quality below floor (3.0 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 5.4/10 and A.R:R 5.1:1 is above the 1.5:1 BUY gate. Specifically: Below-average business quality; Negative price momentum.

Odyssey Therapeutics, Inc., a clinical-stage biopharmaceutical company, develops medicines for autoimmune and inflammatory diseases. The company pipeline includes OD-001, an oral small molecule inhibitor of receptor-interacting protein kinase 2, which is in phase 2a trial for... Read more

$18.26+76.3% A.UpsideScore 5.4/10#94 of 257 Biotechnology
QualityF-score4 / 9FCF yield—
Stop $16.98Target $32.19(analyst − 13%)A.R:R 5.1:1
Analyst target$37.00+102.6%5 analysts
$32.19our TP
$18.26price
$37.00mean
$44

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $18.26: Quality below floor (3.0 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 5.4/10 and A.R:R 5.1:1 is above the 1.5:1 BUY gate. Specifically: Below-average business quality; Negative price momentum. Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Score 5.4/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 6/7 gates (favorable risk/reward ratio, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, earnings proximity 24d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum. Suitability: speculative.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated 2026-10-13
TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Thu, Nov 5, 202624d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
No bull case signals
Risks
Quality below floor (3.0 < 4.0)

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)—
P/E (Fwd)-4.6
Mkt Cap$913M
EV/EBITDA-3.9
Profit Mgn0.0%
ROE—
Rev Growth—
Beta—
DividendNone
Rating analysts12

Quality Signals

Piotroski F4/9MoatNarrow

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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Performance. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Performance figures reflect the published model only and do not reflect any individual subscriber's actual results.

Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

3 floor-breakers·1 ceiling hit

Quality below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Gross Margin
0.0
Net Margin
0.0
Piotroski F
4.4
Current Ratio
5.0
Moat
5.5
Quality concerns

Price action weak — below key moving averages, no momentum carry. Needs a base before trend-continuation setups apply.static

Macd
0.0
Volume
1.0
Ma Position
2.5
Rsi
3.5
Obv
10.0
Volume accumulation (rising OBV)

No near-term catalyst priced in. Thesis progression will come from fundamentals grinding, not event reaction.static

Earnings History
0.0
Surprise Avg
0.0
Erm
5.0
Earnings Timing
5.0
News Activity
8.0
Earnings concerns: 0B/2M
GatesMomentum 3.4<4.5A.R:R 5.1 ≥ 1.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsEARNINGS PROXIMITY 24d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARSuitability: Speculative
RSI
30 · Neutral
↓ 20D MA↓ 50D MA↓ 200D MASupport $17.13Resistance $25.81

Price Targets

$17
$32
A.Upside+76.3%
A.R:R5.1:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0%
Max %0%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! Quality below floor (3.0 < 4.0)
! momentum at 3.4 (below the engine's 4.5 threshold)

Earnings

M
M
M
M
0/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-11-05 (24d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is ODTX stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $18.26: Quality below floor (3.0 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 5.4/10 and A.R:R 5.1:1 is above the 1.5:1 BUY gate. Specifically: Below-average business quality; Negative price momentum. Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Prior stop was $16.98. Score 5.4/10, moderate confidence.

What is the ODTX stock price target?

Take-profit target: $32.19 (+76.3% upside). Prior stop was $16.98. Stop-loss: $16.98.

What are the risks of investing in ODTX?

Quality below floor (3.0 < 4.0).

Is ODTX overvalued or undervalued?

Odyssey Therapeutics, Inc. trades at a P/E of N/A (forward -4.6). TrendMatrix value score: 9.0/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about ODTX?

12 analysts cover ODTX with a consensus score of 4.3/5. Average price target: $37.

What does Odyssey Therapeutics, Inc. do?Odyssey Therapeutics, Inc., a clinical-stage biopharmaceutical company, develops medicines for autoimmune and...

Odyssey Therapeutics, Inc., a clinical-stage biopharmaceutical company, develops medicines for autoimmune and inflammatory diseases. The company pipeline includes OD-001, an oral small molecule inhibitor of receptor-interacting protein kinase 2, which is in phase 2a trial for the treatment of ulcerative colitis; OD-002, an oral small molecule SLC15A4 inhibitor designed to block TLR7/8/9-mediated pathogenic inflammatory responses activation of interferon regulatory factor 5 (IRF5); OD-003, a protein therapeutic designed to agonize tumor necrosis factor receptor 2 selectively on Treg; a TSLP/IL-33 bispecific antagonist; an oral small molecule interleukin-1 receptor–associated kinase 4 scaffolding inhibitor; and a small molecule inhibitor of IRF5. The company was incorporated in 2021 and is headquartered in Boston, Massachusetts.

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