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OceanFirst Financial Corp. (OCFC) Stock Analysis

HoldModerate Confidence

Financial Services · Banks - Regional

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $18.20, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Thin upside margin: 5.2%; V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=4.9).

OceanFirst Financial Corp. operates as the bank holding company for OceanFirst Bank N.A. that provides community banking services to retail and commercial customers in the United States. The company accepts deposit products, such as money market accounts, savings accounts,... Read more

$18.20+5.2% A.UpsideScore 5.1/10#132 of 142 Banks - Regional
QualityF-score8 / 9FCF yield
IncomeYield4.39%(5y avg 4.20%)Payout67.80%
Stop $17.30Target $19.14(analyst − 13%)A.R:R 1.0:1
Analyst target$22.00+20.9%5 analysts
$19.14our TP
$18.20price
$22.00mean
$25

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $18.20, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Thin upside margin: 5.2%; V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=4.9). Chart setup: No recognized chart pattern (not a breakout, bounce, continuation, recovery, falling knife, or range) — technicals mixed. Mixed signals. Hold existing position. Score 5.1/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 6/8 gates (clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, earnings proximity 67d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum and favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: aggressive.

Recent Developments — OceanFirst Financial Corp.

Generated 2026-05-20T21:06:21Z.

Thesis

Rewards
Sector modifier (Financial Services): +1.0
Attractive valuation
Risks
Thin upside margin: 5.2%
V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=4.9)
Weak growth

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)15.4
P/E (Fwd)7.7
Mkt Cap$1.0B
EV/EBITDA
Profit Mgn17.6%
ROE4.1%
Rev Growth8.5%
Beta0.98
Dividend4.39%
Rating analysts12

Quality Signals

Piotroski F8/9

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

3 floor-breakers

Momentum below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Obv
1.0
Macd
1.9
Volume
3.5
Ma Position
4.0
Rsi
5.5
Volume distribution (falling OBV)Above 200-day MA

Growth below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Earnings Growth
2.5
Revenue Growth
4.6

Ranks in the bottom of its industry peers on the composite signal. Better names in the same sector exist.static

Quality Rank
0.5
Growth Rank
3.4
Value Rank
5.1
GatesMomentum 3.2<4.5A.R:R 1.0 < 1.5@spotInsider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY 67d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARSuitability: Aggressive
RSI
41 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $17.84Resistance $19.38

Price Targets

$17
$19
A.Upside+5.2%
A.R:R1.0:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeRisk-Off

Risk Alerts

! Momentum score 3.2/10 — below 4.5 minimum
! Reward/Risk 1.0:1 at current price — below 1.5:1 minimum

Earnings

B
B
M
M
2/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-07-23 (67d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is OCFC stock a buy right now?

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $18.20, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Thin upside margin: 5.2%; V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=4.9). Chart setup: No recognized chart pattern (not a breakout, bounce, continuation, recovery, falling knife, or range) — technicals mixed. Mixed signals. Hold existing position. Target $19.14 (+5.2%), stop $17.30 (−5.2%), A.R:R 1.0:1. Score 5.1/10, moderate confidence.

What is the OCFC stock price target?

Take-profit target: $19.14 (+5.2% upside). Target $19.14 (+5.2%), stop $17.30 (−5.2%), A.R:R 1.0:1. Stop-loss: $17.30.

What are the risks of investing in OCFC?

Thin upside margin: 5.2%; V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=4.9); Weak growth.

Is OCFC overvalued or undervalued?

OceanFirst Financial Corp. trades at a P/E of 15.4 (forward 7.7). TrendMatrix value score: 7.2/10. Verdict: Hold.

What do analysts say about OCFC?

12 analysts cover OCFC with a consensus score of 3.8/5. Average price target: $22.

What does OceanFirst Financial Corp. do?OceanFirst Financial Corp. operates as the bank holding company for OceanFirst Bank N.A. that provides community...

OceanFirst Financial Corp. operates as the bank holding company for OceanFirst Bank N.A. that provides community banking services to retail and commercial customers in the United States. The company accepts deposit products, such as money market accounts, savings accounts, interest-bearing checking accounts, non-interest-bearing accounts, and time deposits, including brokered deposits. It also offers commercial real estate, multi-family, land loans, construction, and commercial and industrial loans; fixed-rate and adjustable-rate mortgage loans that are secured by one-to-four family residences; and consumer loans, such as home equity loans and lines of credit, student loans, loans on savings accounts, overdraft line of credit, and other consumer loans. In addition, the company invests in mortgage-backed securities, securities issued by the U.S. government and agencies, corporate securities, and other investments; and provides bankcard services, trust and asset management products and services, deposit account services, sales of loans and investments, bank owned life insurance and commercial loan swap income. The company was founded in 1902 and is headquartered in Toms River, New Jersey.

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