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OceanFirst Financial Corp. (OCFC) Stock Analysis

Breakout setup

SellModerate Confidence

Financial Services · Banks - Regional

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $19.02 — A.R:R 0.1:1 is below the 1.5:1 minimum. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Weak growth.

OceanFirst Financial Corp. operates as the bank holding company for OceanFirst Bank N.A. that provides community banking services to retail and commercial customers in the United States. The company accepts deposit products, such as money market accounts, savings accounts,... Read more

$19.02+0.6% A.UpsideScore 5.2/10#126 of 142 Banks - Regional
Stop $18.16Target $19.14(analyst − 13%)A.R:R 0.1:1
Analyst target$22.00+15.7%5 analysts
$19.14our TP
$19.02price
$22.00mean
$25

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $19.02 — A.R:R 0.1:1 is below the 1.5:1 minimum. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Weak growth. Chart setup: Golden cross, above all MAs, RSI 55, MACD bullish. Score 5.2/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 6/7 gates (positive momentum, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news boost analyst 0.50, earnings proximity 84d clear, semi cycle peak clear). Fails on favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: aggressive.

Thesis

Rewards
Recent Analyst detected in news
Risks
Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining
Weak growth

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)16.0
P/E (Fwd)7.8
Mkt Cap$1.1B
EV/EBITDA
Profit Mgn17.6%
ROE4.1%
Rev Growth8.5%
Beta0.98
Dividend4.24%
Rating analysts12

Quality Signals

Piotroski F7/9

Options Flow

P/C0.50bullish
IV90%elevated
Max Pain$3-86.9% vs spot

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

2 floor-breakers

Growth below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Earnings Growth
2.5
Revenue Growth
4.6

Ranks in the bottom of its industry peers on the composite signal. Better names in the same sector exist.static

Quality Rank
0.5
Growth Rank
3.8
Value Rank
4.9
GatesA.R:R 0.1 < 1.5@spotMomentum 6.3>=5.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS BOOST ANALYST 0.50EARNINGS PROXIMITY 84d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARBreakoutSuitability: Aggressive
RSI
55 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $17.51Resistance $19.35

Price Targets

$18
$19
A.Upside+0.6%
A.R:R0.1:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeCautious

Risk Alerts

! Target reached (0.6% upside)
! Reward/Risk 0.1:1 at current price — below 1.5:1 minimum

Earnings

B
B
M
M
2/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-07-23 (84d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
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Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is OCFC stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $19.02 — A.R:R 0.1:1 is below the 1.5:1 minimum. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Weak growth. Chart setup: Golden cross, above all MAs, RSI 55, MACD bullish. Prior stop was $18.16. Score 5.2/10, moderate confidence.

What is the OCFC stock price target?

Take-profit target: $19.14 (+0.6% upside). Prior stop was $18.16. Stop-loss: $18.16.

What are the risks of investing in OCFC?

Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Weak growth.

Is OCFC overvalued or undervalued?

OceanFirst Financial Corp. trades at a P/E of 16.0 (forward 7.8). TrendMatrix value score: 6.9/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about OCFC?

12 analysts cover OCFC with a consensus score of 3.8/5. Average price target: $22.

What does OceanFirst Financial Corp. do?OceanFirst Financial Corp. operates as the bank holding company for OceanFirst Bank N.A. that provides community...

OceanFirst Financial Corp. operates as the bank holding company for OceanFirst Bank N.A. that provides community banking services to retail and commercial customers in the United States. The company accepts deposit products, such as money market accounts, savings accounts, interest-bearing checking accounts, non-interest-bearing accounts, and time deposits, including brokered deposits. It also offers commercial real estate, multi-family, land loans, construction, and commercial and industrial loans; fixed-rate and adjustable-rate mortgage loans that are secured by one-to-four family residences; and consumer loans, such as home equity loans and lines of credit, student loans, loans on savings accounts, overdraft line of credit, and other consumer loans. In addition, the company invests in mortgage-backed securities, securities issued by the U.S. government and agencies, corporate securities, and other investments; and provides bankcard services, trust and asset management products and services, deposit account services, sales of loans and investments, bank owned life insurance and commercial loan swap income. The company was founded in 1902 and is headquartered in Toms River, New Jersey.

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