NOAH combines a strong earnings beat streak, a 40% margin of safety, and elite balance-sheet quality with a confirmed technical downtrend and failed momentum and asymmetry gates, making it a hold-not-add position.
Thesis pillars
- Attractive Valuation Margin Of Safety→Stable
- Strong Earnings Beat Streak↓Deteriorating
- Strong Piotroski Quality Score→Stable
- +2 more pillars — see the Why tab for full reasoning
Noah Holdings Limited (NOAH) Stock Analysis
Falling Knife setup · Inst Constrain edge
Financial Services · Asset Management
Wait for pullback to $8.06. Weak momentum; also below 200-day MA (death cross) — blocks BUY_NOW at $8.08. Engine's entry $8.06 (support + ATR (held)) is the shallowest technical level that clears the 2:1 A.R:R minimum. Key risks: Negative momentum; Below 200-day MA.
Noah Holdings Limited, together with its subsidiaries, operates as a wealth and asset management service provider with the focus on investment and asset allocation services for high net worth individuals and corporate entities in Mainland of China, Hong Kong, and... Read more
Wait for pullback to $8.06. Weak momentum; also below 200-day MA (death cross) — blocks BUY_NOW at $8.08. Engine's entry $8.06 (support + ATR (held)) is the shallowest technical level that clears the 2:1 A.R:R minimum. Key risks: Negative momentum; Below 200-day MA. Chart setup: Death cross, below all MAs, RSI 38, MACD bearish. V9 Gate blocked: Momentum 3.8 < 4.5 minimum; 50MA < 200MA with weak momentum (3.8) - hard block. Wait for improvement. Score 6.5/10, high confidence.
Passes 8/10 gates (favorable risk/reward ratio, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, earnings proximity 62d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear, sector concentration cap sector=financial services 8/10). Fails on weak momentum and death cross (50MA < 200MA). Suitability: aggressive.
Recent developments
updated 2026-09-23Recent Developments — Noah Holdings Limited
Latest news
- NEWS Noah Holdings Ltd (NOAH) Technical Analysis: Support, Resistance, Indicators & Moving Averages - TradingKey — TradingKey neutral
- NEWS Noah Holdings Ltd (NOAH) Earnings Forecast: Future EPS & Revenue Growth Estimates - tradingkey.com — tradingkey.com neutral
- NEWS Noah Holdings Ltd (NOAH) Technical Analysis: Support, Resistance, Indicators & Moving Averages - tradingkey.com — tradingkey.com neutral
- NEWS NOAH|Noah Holdings Ltd|Price:8.630|Chg%:-0.040 - TradingKey — TradingKey neutral
- NEWS Noah Holdings Releases Q2 2026 Financial Results - AlphaStreet — AlphaStreet positive
Generated 2026-09-23T16:32:01Z.
Upcoming dated catalysts
Thesis
Key Metrics
Quality Signals
Options Flow
Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.
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Rating Breakdown
1 floor-breaker·1 ceiling hit
Price action weak — below key moving averages, no momentum carry. Needs a base before trend-continuation setups apply.static
Price Targets
Position Sizing
Risk Alerts
Earnings
Verdict History
Frequently Asked Questions
Wait for pullback to $8.06. Weak momentum; also below 200-day MA (death cross) — blocks BUY_NOW at $8.08. Engine's entry $8.06 (support + ATR (held)) is the shallowest technical level that clears the 2:1 A.R:R minimum. Key risks: Negative momentum; Below 200-day MA. Chart setup: Death cross, below all MAs, RSI 38, MACD bearish. V9 Gate blocked: Momentum 3.8 < 4.5 minimum; 50MA < 200MA with weak momentum (3.8) - hard block. Wait for improvement. Target $9.03 (+11.8%), stop $7.72 (−4.7%), A.R:R 2.3:1. Score 6.5/10, high confidence.
Take-profit target: $9.03 (+11.7% upside). Target $9.03 (+11.8%), stop $7.72 (−4.7%), A.R:R 2.3:1. Stop-loss: $7.72.
Negative momentum; Below 200-day MA.
Noah Holdings Limited trades at a P/E of 6.5 (forward 5.6). TrendMatrix value score: 9.1/10. Verdict: Buy (Wait for Entry).
10 analysts cover NOAH with a consensus score of 4.0/5. Average price target: $11.
What does Noah Holdings Limited do?Noah Holdings Limited, together with its subsidiaries, operates as a wealth and asset management service provider with...
Noah Holdings Limited, together with its subsidiaries, operates as a wealth and asset management service provider with the focus on investment and asset allocation services for high net worth individuals and corporate entities in Mainland of China, Hong Kong, and internationally. It operates through Domestic Public Securities, Domestic Asset Management, Domestic Insurance, Overseas Wealth Management, Overseas Asset Management, and Overseas Insurance and Comprehensive Services segments. The company offers mutual fund products, which are publicly-raised, public securities investment funds, including money market funds; private secondary products; private equity products; investor education; trust services; and insurance products by referring clients, as well as individual whole life insurance, participating insurance, and individual health insurance products. It also provides domestic and overseas private equity, FOFs, public securities, real estate, and multi-strategy and other investments, as well as manages feeder funds. Noah Holdings Limited was founded in 2005 and is headquartered in Singapore.