National Bank Holdings Corporat (NBHC) Stock Analysis
Breakout setup
Financial Services · Banks - Regional
Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $42.90, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Near 52-week high (2.2% away).
National Bank Holdings Corporation is a bank holding company with $9.9B assets at Dec 31, 2025 (pro forma ~$12.4B after Vista acquisition close Jan 7, 2026), operating primarily in Colorado, Kansas City, Texas, Utah, Wyoming, NM and Idaho through NBH Bank and over 90 banking... Read more
Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $42.90, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Near 52-week high (2.2% away). Chart setup: Golden cross, above all MAs, RSI 58, MACD bullish. Maintain position. Not compelling to add more. Score 6.5/10, moderate confidence.
Passes 6/7 gates (positive momentum, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, earnings proximity 89d clear, semi cycle peak clear). Fails on favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: aggressive.
Thesis
Key Metrics
Quality Signals
Options Flow
Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)
- MEDIUMGeographicColorado, Kansas, Missouri, Texas, Utah, Wyoming, New Mexico, and Idaho10-K Item 1A: 'Our business and operations are sensitive to general business and economic conditions in the United States and in our core markets of Colorado, Kansas, Missouri, Texas, Utah, Wyoming, New Mexico, and Idaho.'
Material Events(8-K, last 90d)
- 2026-02-19Item 5.02LOWChris Randall, EVP Head of Commercial, transitioned to EVP SBA Delivery effective February 13, 2026, as part of post-Vista acquisition organizational changes. Entered transition agreement with new compensation terms. No disagreement cited.SEC filing →
Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full disclaimer
Rating Breakdown
1 ceiling hit
Price Targets
Position Sizing
Risk Alerts
Earnings
Verdict History
Frequently Asked Questions
Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $42.90, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Near 52-week high (2.2% away). Chart setup: Golden cross, above all MAs, RSI 58, MACD bullish. Maintain position. Not compelling to add more. Target $42.98 (+0.2%), stop $41.09 (−4.4%), A.R:R -0.5:1. Score 6.5/10, moderate confidence.
Take-profit target: $42.98 (+0.2% upside). Target $42.98 (+0.2%), stop $41.09 (−4.4%), A.R:R -0.5:1. Stop-loss: $41.09.
Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Near 52-week high (2.2% away).
National Bank Holdings Corporat trades at a P/E of 15.8 (forward 10.2). TrendMatrix value score: 7.7/10. Verdict: Hold.
11 analysts cover NBHC with a consensus score of 4.1/5. Average price target: $48.
What does National Bank Holdings Corporat do?National Bank Holdings Corporation is a bank holding company with $9.9B assets at Dec 31, 2025 (pro forma ~$12.4B after...
National Bank Holdings Corporation is a bank holding company with $9.9B assets at Dec 31, 2025 (pro forma ~$12.4B after Vista acquisition close Jan 7, 2026), operating primarily in Colorado, Kansas City, Texas, Utah, Wyoming, NM and Idaho through NBH Bank and over 90 banking centers. It is the third largest banking center network among Colorado-based banks by deposits.