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MNPRMonopar Therapeutics Inc.Sell5.2·$89.76
SellModerate Confidence
Investment thesis

MNPR carries a fresh positive analyst-news signal and strong momentum, but quality sits well below the engine's floor with cash burn, margin compression, high leverage, and an already-reached price target.

Thesis pillars

  • Value Trap Margin Compression And LeverageStable
  • Quality Below Floor Cash BurningStable
  • Analyst Target Reached Negative AsymmetryStable
  • +2 more pillars — see the Why tab for full reasoning

Full reasoning →

Open full analysis

Monopar Therapeutics Inc. (MNPR) Stock Analysis

Inst Constrain edge

SellQualityShortModerate Confidence

Healthcare · Biotechnology

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $89.76: Quality below floor (1.6 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 5.2/10 and A.R:R 2.2:1 is above the 1.5:1 BUY gate. Specifically: High short interest: 19%; Below-average business quality; Negative price momentum.

Monopar Therapeutics is a clinical-stage biopharmaceutical company advancing ALXN1840 for Wilson disease, licensed from Alexion after it completed a Phase 3 trial meeting its primary endpoint, alongside the MNPR-101 radiopharmaceutical antibody platform paired with zirconium-89,... Read more

$89.76+23.7% A.UpsideScore 5.2/10#132 of 260 Biotechnology
QualityF-score4 / 9FCF yield-0.94%
Stop $86.97Target $111.03(analyst − 13%)A.R:R 2.2:1
Analyst target$127.62+42.2%13 analysts
$111.03our TP
$89.76price
$127.62mean
$145

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $89.76: Quality below floor (1.6 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 5.2/10 and A.R:R 2.2:1 is above the 1.5:1 BUY gate. Specifically: High short interest: 19%; Below-average business quality; Negative price momentum. Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Score 5.2/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 6/8 gates (favorable risk/reward ratio, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, earnings proximity 50d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum. Suitability: speculative.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated 2026-09-23

Recent Developments — Monopar Therapeutics Inc.

Generated 2026-09-23T17:12:16Z.

TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Thu, Nov 12, 202650d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
No bull case signals
Risks
Quality below floor (1.6 < 4.0)

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)
P/E (Fwd)-50.4
Mkt Cap$649M
EV/EBITDA
Profit Mgn0.0%
ROE-19.5%
Rev Growth
Beta1.50
DividendNone
Rating analysts19

Quality Signals

Piotroski F4/9

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

2 floor-breakers

Quality below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Roe
0.0
Roa
0.0
Gross Margin
0.0
Operating Margin
0.0
Net Margin
0.0
Fcf Quality
0.0
Piotroski F
4.4
Moat
4.8
Current Ratio
5.0
Cash-burning (FCF negative)No competitive moatQuality concerns

Momentum below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Macd
0.0
Volume
0.0
Obv
1.0
Ma Position
4.0
Rsi
9.1
Oversold in uptrend (RSI 13)Volume distribution (falling OBV)Above 200-day MA
GatesMomentum 2.8<4.5INSIDER 0.25%=MODERATEA.R:R 2.2 ≥ 1.5No SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY 50d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARSuitability: Speculative
RSI
13 · Oversold
20D MA 50D MA 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $89.66Resistance $121.02

Price Targets

$87
$111
A.Upside+23.7%
A.R:R2.2:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! Quality below floor (1.6 < 4.0)
! momentum at 2.8 (below the engine's 4.5 threshold)

Earnings

B
B
M
M
2/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-11-12 (50d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is MNPR stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $89.76: Quality below floor (1.6 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 5.2/10 and A.R:R 2.2:1 is above the 1.5:1 BUY gate. Specifically: High short interest: 19%; Below-average business quality; Negative price momentum. Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Prior stop was $86.97. Score 5.2/10, moderate confidence.

What is the MNPR stock price target?

Take-profit target: $111.03 (+23.7% upside). Prior stop was $86.97. Stop-loss: $86.97.

What are the risks of investing in MNPR?

Quality below floor (1.6 < 4.0).

Is MNPR overvalued or undervalued?

Monopar Therapeutics Inc. trades at a P/E of N/A (forward -50.4). TrendMatrix value score: 7.5/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about MNPR?

19 analysts cover MNPR with a consensus score of 4.1/5. Average price target: $128.

What does Monopar Therapeutics Inc. do?Monopar Therapeutics is a clinical-stage biopharmaceutical company advancing ALXN1840 for Wilson disease, licensed from...

Monopar Therapeutics is a clinical-stage biopharmaceutical company advancing ALXN1840 for Wilson disease, licensed from Alexion after it completed a Phase 3 trial meeting its primary endpoint, alongside the MNPR-101 radiopharmaceutical antibody platform paired with zirconium-89, lutetium-177 and actinium-225 isotopes under a NorthStar collaboration. The company has no approved products, $140.4 million in cash at year-end 2025, and expects that funding to last through December 2027.

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