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MCBMetropolitan Bank Holding Corp.Sell6.1·$88.36
SellModerate Confidence
Investment thesis

Metropolitan Bank screens cheap with strong growth and an imminent earnings catalyst, though notable insider selling and a stock price already near its target and 52-week high temper the near-term reward.

Thesis pillars

  • Attractive Forward ValuationImproving
  • Strong Growth QualityStable
  • Earnings CatalystStable
  • +1 more pillar — see the Why tab for full reasoning

Full reasoning →

Open full analysis

Metropolitan Bank Holding Corp. (MCB) Stock Analysis

Inst Constrain edge

SellValueGrowthModerate Confidence

Financial Services · Banks - Regional

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $88.36 — A.R:R 0.4:1 is below the 1.5:1 minimum. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=5.5).

Metropolitan Bank Holding Corp. is a New York City-based bank holding company operating through Metropolitan Commercial Bank, a state-chartered commercial bank serving small businesses, middle-market enterprises, public entities and real estate entrepreneurs primarily in the New... Read more

$88.36+2.0% A.UpsideScore 6.1/10#96 of 221 Banks - Regional
QualityF-score8 / 9FCF yield
IncomeYield1.57%Payout9.59%sustainable
Stop $84.68Target $90.10(analyst − 15%)A.R:R 0.4:1
Analyst target$106.00+20.0%3 analysts
$90.10our TP
$88.36price
$106.00mean
$110

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $88.36 — A.R:R 0.4:1 is below the 1.5:1 minimum. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=5.5). Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Score 6.1/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 6/8 gates (clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, earnings proximity 30d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum and favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: aggressive.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated 2026-09-23
TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Thu, Oct 22, 202630d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
Sector modifier (Financial Services): +1.0
Attractive valuation
Strong growth profile
Risks
Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining
V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=5.5)
Consecutive earnings misses (2)

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)11.4
P/E (Fwd)7.8
Mkt Cap$1.1B
EV/EBITDA
Profit Mgn27.8%
ROE10.2%
Rev Growth14.0%
Beta0.97
Dividend1.57%
Rating analysts7

Quality Signals

Piotroski F8/9

Options Flow

P/C2.50bearish
IV39%normal

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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About TrendMatrix. TrendMatrix is a publisher of general securities research and market commentary. We publish on a regular schedule. All content is the same for every subscriber in a tier — we do not provide personalized investment advice and we do not take into account any individual subscriber's financial situation, investment objectives, risk tolerance, tax situation, or holdings.

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Performance. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Performance figures reflect the published model only and do not reflect any individual subscriber's actual results.

Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

10 dimensions · all in-band

GatesMomentum 4.3<4.5A.R:R 0.4 < 1.5@spotInsider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY 30d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARSuitability: Aggressive
RSI
45 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $87.30Resistance $93.52

Price Targets

$85
$90
A.Upside+2.0%
A.R:R0.4:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeRisk-Off

Risk Alerts

! Target reached (2.0% upside)
! News modifier -1: HOLD_IF_HOLDING → SELL_IF_HOLDING
! momentum at 4.3 (below the engine's 4.5 threshold)

Earnings

B
B
M
M
2/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-10-22 (30d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is MCB stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $88.36 — A.R:R 0.4:1 is below the 1.5:1 minimum. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=5.5). Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Prior stop was $84.68. Score 6.1/10, moderate confidence.

What is the MCB stock price target?

Take-profit target: $90.10 (+2.0% upside). Prior stop was $84.68. Stop-loss: $84.68.

What are the risks of investing in MCB?

Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=5.5); Consecutive earnings misses (2).

Is MCB overvalued or undervalued?

Metropolitan Bank Holding Corp. trades at a P/E of 11.4 (forward 7.8). TrendMatrix value score: 8.2/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about MCB?

7 analysts cover MCB with a consensus score of 3.9/5. Average price target: $106.

What does Metropolitan Bank Holding Corp. do?Metropolitan Bank Holding Corp. is a New York City-based bank holding company operating through Metropolitan Commercial...

Metropolitan Bank Holding Corp. is a New York City-based bank holding company operating through Metropolitan Commercial Bank, a state-chartered commercial bank serving small businesses, middle-market enterprises, public entities and real estate entrepreneurs primarily in the New York metropolitan area through seven banking centers. As of December 31, 2025, the company held $8.3 billion in assets, $6.8 billion in loans and $7.4 billion in deposits, with CRE and C&I loans - including a specialty in healthcare and nursing-facility lending - comprising 98.6% of its loan portfolio.

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