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MCBMetropolitan Bank Holding Corp.Sell6.2·$91.03+0.26%
SellModerate Confidence
Investment thesis

Metropolitan Bank screens cheap with strong growth and an imminent earnings catalyst, though notable insider selling and a stock price already near its target and 52-week high temper the near-term reward.

Thesis pillars

  • Attractive Forward ValuationImproving
  • Strong Growth QualityDeteriorating
  • Earnings CatalystStable
  • +1 more pillar — see the Why tab for full reasoning

Full reasoning →

Open full analysis

Metropolitan Bank Holding Corp. (MCB) Stock Analysis

Inst Constrain edge

SellVALUE-TRAP 1/5ValueGrowthModerate Confidence

Financial Services · Banks - Regional

Sell if holding. At $91.03, A.R:R 0.7:1 is below the 1.5:1 minimum. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Thin upside margin: 5.2%; Consecutive earnings misses (2).

Metropolitan Bank Holding Corp. is a New York City-based bank holding company operating through Metropolitan Commercial Bank, a state-chartered commercial bank serving small businesses, middle-market enterprises, public entities and real estate entrepreneurs primarily in the New... Read more

$91.03+5.2% A.UpsideScore 6.2/10#83 of 223 Banks - Regional
QualityF-score7 / 9FCF yield
IncomeYield1.55%Payout6.18%sustainable
Stop $84.66Target $95.77(analyst − 15%)A.R:R 0.7:1
Analyst target$112.67+23.8%3 analysts
$95.77our TP
$91.03price
$112.67mean
$120

Sell if holding. At $91.03, A.R:R 0.7:1 is below the 1.5:1 minimum. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Thin upside margin: 5.2%; Consecutive earnings misses (2). Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Score 6.2/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 5/8 gates (no SEC red flags, news events none recent, earnings proximity 90d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum and favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: aggressive.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated 2026-07-25
TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Thu, Oct 22, 202690d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
Attractive valuation
Strong growth profile
Risks
Thin upside margin: 5.2%
Consecutive earnings misses (2)
Negative momentum

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)11.2
P/E (Fwd)7.9
Mkt Cap$1.1B
EV/EBITDA
Profit Mgn27.8%
ROE10.2%
Rev Growth14.0%
Beta1.00
Dividend1.55%
Rating analysts7

Quality Signals

Piotroski F7/9

Options Flow

P/C3.00bearish
IV44%normal

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

1 floor-breaker

Momentum below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Macd
0.0
Obv
1.0
Volume
1.5
Ma Position
4.0
Rsi
8.4
Uptrend pullback (RSI 31) - buy opportunityVolume distribution (falling OBV)Above 200-day MA
GatesMomentum 3.0<4.5A.R:R 0.7 < 1.5@spotINSIDER 0.17%=MODERATENo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY 90d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARSuitability: Aggressive
RSI
31 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $86.49Resistance $102.04

Price Targets

$85
$96
A.Upside+5.2%
A.R:R0.7:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! NEWS_MOD=-1: HOLD_IF_HOLDING → SELL_IF_HOLDING
! momentum at 3.0 (below the engine's 4.5 threshold)
! asymmetry at 0.7 (below the engine's 1.5 threshold)@spot

Earnings

B
B
M
M
2/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-10-22 (90d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is MCB stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. At $91.03, A.R:R 0.7:1 is below the 1.5:1 minimum. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Thin upside margin: 5.2%; Consecutive earnings misses (2). Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Prior stop was $84.66. Score 6.2/10, moderate confidence.

What is the MCB stock price target?

Take-profit target: $95.77 (+5.2% upside). Prior stop was $84.66. Stop-loss: $84.66.

What are the risks of investing in MCB?

Thin upside margin: 5.2%; Consecutive earnings misses (2); Negative momentum.

Is MCB overvalued or undervalued?

Metropolitan Bank Holding Corp. trades at a P/E of 11.2 (forward 7.9). TrendMatrix value score: 8.5/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about MCB?

7 analysts cover MCB with a consensus score of 3.9/5. Average price target: $113.

What does Metropolitan Bank Holding Corp. do?Metropolitan Bank Holding Corp. is a New York City-based bank holding company operating through Metropolitan Commercial...

Metropolitan Bank Holding Corp. is a New York City-based bank holding company operating through Metropolitan Commercial Bank, a state-chartered commercial bank serving small businesses, middle-market enterprises, public entities and real estate entrepreneurs primarily in the New York metropolitan area through seven banking centers. As of December 31, 2025, the company held $8.3 billion in assets, $6.8 billion in loans and $7.4 billion in deposits, with CRE and C&I loans - including a specialty in healthcare and nursing-facility lending - comprising 98.6% of its loan portfolio.

Related stocks: CUBI (Customers Bancorp, Inc) · BWFG (Bankwell Financial Group, Inc.) · BHB (Bar Harbor Bankshares, Inc.) · NBBK (NB Bancorp, Inc.) · NBN (Northeast Bank)
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