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MCBMetropolitan Bank Holding Corp.Sell6.3·$94.58+1.79%
SellModerate Confidence
Investment thesis

Metropolitan Bank screens cheap with strong growth and an imminent earnings catalyst, though notable insider selling and a stock price already near its target and 52-week high temper the near-term reward.

Thesis pillars

  • Attractive Forward ValuationStable
  • Strong Growth QualityStable
  • Earnings CatalystStable
  • +1 more pillar — see the Why tab for full reasoning

Full reasoning →

Open full analysis

Metropolitan Bank Holding Corp. (MCB) Stock Analysis

Inst Constrain edge

SellVALUE-TRAP 1/5ValueGrowthModerate Confidence

Financial Services · Banks - Regional

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $94.58 — A.R:R is negative (-0.5) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Consecutive earnings misses (2).

Metropolitan Bank Holding Corp. is a New York City-based bank holding company operating through Metropolitan Commercial Bank, a state-chartered commercial bank serving small businesses, middle-market enterprises, public entities and real estate entrepreneurs primarily in the New... Read more

$94.58-4.7% A.UpsideScore 6.3/10#72 of 224 Banks - Regional
QualityF-score8 / 9FCF yield
IncomeYield1.51%Payout9.59%sustainable
Stop $90.15Target $98.98(resistance)A.R:R -0.5:1
Analyst target$106.00+12.1%3 analysts
$98.98our TP
$94.58price
$106.00mean
$110

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $94.58 — A.R:R is negative (-0.5) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Consecutive earnings misses (2). Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Score 6.3/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 6/8 gates (positive momentum, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, earnings proximity 71d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: aggressive.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated 2026-08-13
TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Thu, Oct 22, 202671d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
Attractive valuation
Strong growth profile
Risks
Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining
Consecutive earnings misses (2)
Overbought (RSI 77)

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)11.9
P/E (Fwd)8.1
Mkt Cap$1.2B
EV/EBITDA
Profit Mgn27.8%
ROE10.2%
Rev Growth14.0%
Beta0.98
Dividend1.51%
Rating analysts7

Quality Signals

Piotroski F8/9

Options Flow

P/C0.61bullish
IV49%normal

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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About TrendMatrix. TrendMatrix is a publisher of general securities research and market commentary. We publish on a regular schedule. All content is the same for every subscriber in a tier — we do not provide personalized investment advice and we do not take into account any individual subscriber's financial situation, investment objectives, risk tolerance, tax situation, or holdings.

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Performance. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Performance figures reflect the published model only and do not reflect any individual subscriber's actual results.

Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

10 dimensions · all in-band

GatesA.R:R -0.5=NEGATIVEINSIDER 0.16%=MODERATEMomentum 5.9>=5.5No SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY 71d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARSuitability: Aggressive
RSI
77 · Overbought
20D MA 50D MA 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $86.16Resistance $101.00

Price Targets

$90
$99
A.Upside-4.7%
A.R:R-0.5:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! Target reached (-4.7% upside)
! NEWS_MOD=-1: HOLD_IF_HOLDING → SELL_IF_HOLDING
! Negative risk/reward — downside exceeds upside

Earnings

B
B
M
M
2/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-10-22 (71d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is MCB stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $94.58 — A.R:R is negative (-0.5) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Consecutive earnings misses (2). Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Prior stop was $90.15. Score 6.3/10, moderate confidence.

What is the MCB stock price target?

Take-profit target: $98.98 (-4.7% upside). Prior stop was $90.15. Stop-loss: $90.15.

What are the risks of investing in MCB?

Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Consecutive earnings misses (2); Overbought (RSI 77).

Is MCB overvalued or undervalued?

Metropolitan Bank Holding Corp. trades at a P/E of 11.9 (forward 8.1). TrendMatrix value score: 8.0/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about MCB?

7 analysts cover MCB with a consensus score of 3.9/5. Average price target: $106.

What does Metropolitan Bank Holding Corp. do?Metropolitan Bank Holding Corp. is a New York City-based bank holding company operating through Metropolitan Commercial...

Metropolitan Bank Holding Corp. is a New York City-based bank holding company operating through Metropolitan Commercial Bank, a state-chartered commercial bank serving small businesses, middle-market enterprises, public entities and real estate entrepreneurs primarily in the New York metropolitan area through seven banking centers. As of December 31, 2025, the company held $8.3 billion in assets, $6.8 billion in loans and $7.4 billion in deposits, with CRE and C&I loans - including a specialty in healthcare and nursing-facility lending - comprising 98.6% of its loan portfolio.

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