Value
8.7/10data confidence 100%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| P/E | 9.1 |
| P/S | 9.6 |
| EV/EBITDA | 8.5 |
| Fwd P/E | 9.6 |
| PEG | 10.0 |
| Analyst target | 6.0 |
- ▸Forward P/E: 8.1x
- ▸PEG: 0.11
- ▸Attractively valued
LTM · Why this verdict
Why LATAM Airlines Group (LTM) is rated SELL
Updated
Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.
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VerdictSELL
Overall score7.0/10
ConfidenceMEDIUM
MacroNEUTRAL
Per-dimension breakdown
Quality
5.9/10data confidence 100%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| ROE | 10.0 |
| ROA | 6.2 |
| Gross margin | 2.0 |
| Op margin | 8.0 |
| Net margin | 5.6 |
| Current ratio | 2.7 |
| FCF quality | 6.1 |
| Moat | 6.0 |
| Piotroski F | 6.7 |
- ▸Excellent ROE: 118%
Growth
9.0/10data confidence 67%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| Rev growth | 8.0 |
| EPS growth | 10.0 |
- ▸Strong growth: 22% YoY
Momentum
7.3/10data confidence 100%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| RSI | 5.5 |
| MACD | 10.0 |
| OBV | 10.0 |
| MA position | 9.0 |
| Volume | 2.1 |
- ▸Volume accumulation (rising OBV)
- ▸Above 200-day MA
Sentiment
7.4/10data confidence 100%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| LLM sentiment | 5.8 |
| Analyst rating | 8.0 |
| Price target | 8.2 |
- ▸Light analyst coverage (9.0) — signal dampened
- ▸Analyst upside: 26%
Insider
5.0/10data confidence 50%Peer rank
6.6/10data confidence 80%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| value rank | 3.8 |
| quality rank | 8.3 |
| growth rank | 9.2 |
- ▸Superior ROE vs peers
- ▸Industry growth leader
Technical
2.7/10data confidence 100%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| bollinger | 0.7 |
| support resistance | 1.7 |
| 52w position | 5.8 |
Risk (lower is worse)
5.6/10data confidence 100%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| short interest | 9.2 |
| days to cover | 8.2 |
| volatility | 2.7 |
| put call | 8.7 |
| implied vol | 4.0 |
| max pain risk | 3.0 |
| beta | 8.2 |
| debt equity | 0.6 |
- ▸Above max pain $45
Catalyst
7.4/10data confidence 100%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| erm | 5.0 |
| earnings history | 10.0 |
| earnings timing | 5.0 |
| surprise avg | 10.0 |
| dividend safety | 6.5 |
| news activity | 8.0 |
- ▸Perfect beat streak: 4Q
- ▸Dividend: 278.0%
How the verdict was assembled
Engine trigger
Multiple concerning factors. Consider reducing position.
Engine technical detail
verdict_path:
L4:PATH_F_SELLPassed (7)
- MOMENTUM:7.3>=5.5
- INSIDER:OK
- 8K:CLEAN
- NEWS_EVENTS:NONE_RECENT
- EARNINGS_PROXIMITY:48d clear
- SEMI_CYCLE_PEAK:CLEAR
- MATERIALS_CYCLE_PEAK:CLEAR
Failed (1)
- ASYMMETRY:0.6<1.5@spot
Warning (0)
none
Reward-to-Risk
0.62
Upside
+9.2%
Downside
15.0%
Sizing output
AVOID
SetupMOMENTUM_CONT — Trend continuation, RSI 56, MACD bullish
EdgeNO_EDGE — No clear edge identified
SuitabilityMODERATE — Balanced profile
Investment implication
The F-path SELL output reflects an overall score of 5.5 below the 5.6 soft trigger — multiple weakening dimensions accumulated rather than a single hard-floor breach. The strongest dimension ( Growth at 9.0) was not enough to lift the adjusted overall above the threshold. Co-occurring failed gates ( ASYMMETRY:0.6<1.5@spot) reinforce the read. Current asymmetry R:R is 0.62 — supplementary context, not the trigger for this path.
The strongest dimensions are Growth at 9.0, Value at 8.7, and Sentiment at 7.4; the weakest are Technical at 2.7, Insider at 5.0, and Risk (lower is worse) at 5.6. The V9 engine flagged 1 failed gate, producing an asymmetric reward-to-risk of 0.62 and an engine sizing output of AVOID.