LATAM Airlines is executing with exceptional precision — a perfect four-quarter beat streak averaging roughly 35% above consensus including a 70% positive surprise most recently, against 22% year-over-year earnings growth at a forward P/E of 8.1x — but a debt-to-equity ratio of 4.4 is the primary financial vulnerability if the growth runway shortens.
Thesis pillars
- Exceptional Earnings Beat Streak→Stable
- Attractive Valuation Growth Franchise→Stable
- Strong Revenue Growth Momentum→Stable
- +1 more pillar — see the Why tab for full reasoning
LATAM Airlines Group S.A. (LTM) Stock Analysis
Industrials · Airlines
Sell if holding. At $56.43, A.R:R 0.6:1 is below the 1.5:1 minimum. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Leverage penalty (D/E 4.4): -1.5; Thin upside margin: 9.1%.
LATAM Airlines Group S.A., together with its subsidiaries, provides passenger and cargo air transportation services in Chile, Argentina, Peru, Colombia, Ecuador, Brazil, the United States, other Latin American countries, the Caribbean, Europe, and Oceania. As of December 31,... Read more
Sell if holding. At $56.43, A.R:R 0.6:1 is below the 1.5:1 minimum. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Leverage penalty (D/E 4.4): -1.5; Thin upside margin: 9.1%. Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Score 6.8/10, moderate confidence.
Passes 7/9 gates (positive momentum, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, earnings proximity 31d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: moderate.
Recent developments
updated 2026-07-06Recent Developments — LATAM Airlines Group S.A.
Latest news
- NEWS SA analyst upgrades/downgrades: MU, ORCL, SMCI, LTM - MSN — MSN negative
- NEWS Axis Capital Upgrades LTM to Buy From Add; Price Target Is INR4,640 - Moomoo — Moomoo positive
- NEWS LATAM Airlines is JPMorgan's top Latin American airline pick - MSN — MSN positive
- NEWS Axis Capital Upgrades LTM to Buy from Add; Price Target is INR4,640 - marketscreener.com — marketscreener.com positive
- NEWS LTM joins Athena to address challenges from AI-driven vulnerabilities - Business Standard — Business Standard positive
Generated 2026-07-06T06:30:28Z.
Upcoming dated catalysts
Thesis
Key Metrics
Quality Signals
Options Flow
Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.
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Rating Breakdown
2 ceiling hits
Price Targets
Position Sizing
Risk Alerts
Earnings
Verdict History
Frequently Asked Questions
Sell if holding. At $56.43, A.R:R 0.6:1 is below the 1.5:1 minimum. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Leverage penalty (D/E 4.4): -1.5; Thin upside margin: 9.1%. Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Prior stop was $52.48. Score 6.8/10, moderate confidence.
Take-profit target: $61.58 (+9.1% upside). Prior stop was $52.48. Stop-loss: $52.48.
Thin upside margin: 9.1%; Leverage penalty (D/E 4.4): -1.5.
LATAM Airlines Group S.A. trades at a P/E of 9.8 (forward 8.2). TrendMatrix value score: 8.7/10. Verdict: Sell.
12 analysts cover LTM with a consensus score of 4.0/5. Average price target: $71.
What does LATAM Airlines Group S.A. do?LATAM Airlines Group S.A., together with its subsidiaries, provides passenger and cargo air transportation services in...
LATAM Airlines Group S.A., together with its subsidiaries, provides passenger and cargo air transportation services in Chile, Argentina, Peru, Colombia, Ecuador, Brazil, the United States, other Latin American countries, the Caribbean, Europe, and Oceania. As of December 31, 2024, the company provides passenger transport services to 160 destinations in 27 countries; and operated 371 fleet of aircraft. The company was formerly known as LAN Airlines S.A. and changed its name to LATAM Airlines Group S.A. in June 2012. LATAM Airlines Group S.A. was founded in 1929 and is headquartered in Santiago, Chile.