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Liberty Latin America Ltd. (LILA) Stock Analysis

SellModerate Confidence

Communication Services · Telecom Services

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $7.38: Quality below floor (3.9 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 5.5/10 and A.R:R 3.4:1 is above the 1.5:1 BUY gate. Specifically: Below-average business quality; Below long-term trend.

Liberty Latin America provides fixed, mobile, and subsea telecom services across Puerto Rico, Panama, Costa Rica, the Caribbean, and other Latin American markets through five reportable segments. Revenue comes from broadband, video, telephony, mobile subscriptions, and... Read more

$7.38+37.1% A.UpsideScore 5.5/10#9 of 40 Telecom Services
QualityF-score5 / 9FCF yield21.63%
Stop $6.88Target $10.12(analyst − 15%)A.R:R 3.4:1
Analyst target$11.90+61.2%3 analysts
$10.12our TP
$7.38price
$11.90mean
$15

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $7.38: Quality below floor (3.9 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 5.5/10 and A.R:R 3.4:1 is above the 1.5:1 BUY gate. Specifically: Below-average business quality; Below long-term trend. Chart setup: No recognized chart pattern (not a breakout, bounce, continuation, recovery, falling knife, or range) — technicals mixed. Score 5.5/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 7/8 gates (favorable risk/reward ratio, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, earnings proximity 79d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum. Suitability: aggressive.

Recent Developments — Liberty Latin America Ltd.

Generated 2026-05-20T21:06:21Z.

Thesis

Rewards
No bull case signals
Risks
Concentration risk — Geographic: Latin America and the Caribbean
Quality below floor (3.9 < 4.0)

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)
P/E (Fwd)10.3
Mkt Cap$1.5B
EV/EBITDA9.0
Profit Mgn-11.2%
ROE-34.9%
Rev Growth-0.1%
Beta0.75
DividendNone
Rating analysts9

Quality Signals

Piotroski F5/9

Options Flow

P/C0.40bullish
Max Pain$3-66.1% vs spot

Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)

  • HIGHGeographicLatin America and the Caribbean
    10-K Item 1A: 'A substantial portion of our business operates in countries outside the U.S., and we have substantial physical assets and derive a substantial portion of our revenues from operations in Latin America and the Caribbean.'

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

3 floor-breakers·1 ceiling hit

No near-term catalyst priced in. Thesis progression will come from fundamentals grinding, not event reaction.static

Earnings History
0.0
Surprise Avg
0.0
Erm
5.0
Earnings Timing
5.0
Earnings concerns: 1B/3M

Ranks in the bottom of its industry peers on the composite signal. Better names in the same sector exist.static

Quality Rank
1.1
Growth Rank
2.4
Value Rank
7.5

Unprofitable operations — net margin -11.2%. Quality floor flags this regardless of sector context.static

Roe
0.0
Net Margin
0.0
Roa
0.8
Rule Of 40
3.0
Moat
4.0
Current Ratio
4.3
Fcf Quality
5.4
Operating Margin
5.6
Piotroski F
5.6
Gross Margin
10.0
FCF-positive despite GAAP loss (FCF margin 7%, FCF yield 21.6%)No competitive moatRule of 40: 7 (fail)
GatesMomentum 4.4<4.5A.R:R 3.4 ≥ 1.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY 79d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARSuitability: Aggressive
RSI
35 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $7.09Resistance $8.66

Price Targets

$7
$10
A.Upside+37.1%
A.R:R3.4:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! Quality below floor (3.9 < 4.0)
! Momentum score 4.4/10 — below 4.5 minimum

Earnings

B
M
M
M
1/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-08-06 (79d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is LILA stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $7.38: Quality below floor (3.9 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 5.5/10 and A.R:R 3.4:1 is above the 1.5:1 BUY gate. Specifically: Below-average business quality; Below long-term trend. Chart setup: No recognized chart pattern (not a breakout, bounce, continuation, recovery, falling knife, or range) — technicals mixed. Prior stop was $6.88. Score 5.5/10, moderate confidence.

What is the LILA stock price target?

Take-profit target: $10.12 (+37.1% upside). Prior stop was $6.88. Stop-loss: $6.88.

What are the risks of investing in LILA?

Concentration risk — Geographic: Latin America and the Caribbean; Quality below floor (3.9 < 4.0).

Is LILA overvalued or undervalued?

Liberty Latin America Ltd. trades at a P/E of N/A (forward 10.3). TrendMatrix value score: 8.9/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about LILA?

9 analysts cover LILA with a consensus score of 3.9/5. Average price target: $12.

What does Liberty Latin America Ltd. do?Liberty Latin America provides fixed, mobile, and subsea telecom services across Puerto Rico, Panama, Costa Rica, the...

Liberty Latin America provides fixed, mobile, and subsea telecom services across Puerto Rico, Panama, Costa Rica, the Caribbean, and other Latin American markets through five reportable segments. Revenue comes from broadband, video, telephony, mobile subscriptions, and enterprise services to ~1.8M fixed-line customers and ~6.8M mobile subscribers across the region.

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