Liberty Latin America's deeply discounted valuation — a forward P/E of 10.7x, PEG of 0.08, and a near-term price target implying 31% upside with a 4.4-to-1 reward-to-risk ratio — is offset by quality metrics just below the minimum floor, no competitive moat, and three earnings misses in the four most recently reported quarters; the setup warrants observation rather than commitment until the earnings execution track record improves.
Thesis pillars
- Fcf Positive Despite Gaap Losses→Stable
- Deep Value And Favorable Geometry↓Deteriorating
- Poor Earnings Execution Track Record↑Improving
- +1 more pillar — see the Why tab for full reasoning
Pillars as of Jul 3, 2026, based on the 10-K filed Feb 18, 2026· older than 90 days
Liberty Latin America Ltd. (LILA) Stock Analysis
Breakout setup
Communication Services · Telecom Services
Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $8.73 — A.R:R 0.2:1 is below the 1.5:1 minimum. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Near 52-week high (3.3% away).
Liberty Latin America provides fixed, mobile, and subsea telecommunications services across Puerto Rico, Panama, Costa Rica, and over 20 Caribbean and Latin American countries through five reportable segments. The company serves approximately 6.8 million mobile subscribers and... Read more
Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $8.73 — A.R:R 0.2:1 is below the 1.5:1 minimum. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Near 52-week high (3.3% away). Chart setup: Golden cross, above all MAs, RSI 65, MACD bullish. Score 5.6/10, high confidence.
Passes 5/7 gates (positive momentum, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on favorable risk/reward ratio and earnings proximity 0d<=7d. Suitability: aggressive.
About Liberty Latin America Ltd.
About Liberty Latin America Ltd.
Liberty Latin America's network served approximately 6.8 million total mobile subscribers and 1.8 million fixed-line customer relationships across Puerto Rico, Panama, Costa Rica, and over 20 Caribbean countries at December 31, 2025. The company passed 4.7 million homes with its broadband network and reported operations through five segments: Liberty Caribbean, C&W Panama, Liberty Puerto Rico, Liberty Costa Rica, and Liberty Networks. In late October 2025, Hurricane Melissa struck Jamaica, causing a reduction of approximately 136,000 RGUs and damage to network infrastructure.
Liberty Latin America earns revenue from residential and B2B services — broadband internet, video, fixed-line telephony, and mobile — primarily sold in bundles. In Jamaica, 57% of customers subscribe to double-play bundles; in Panama, 60% take triple-play packages. The Liberty Networks segment provides enterprise connectivity and wholesale services over an extensive subsea and terrestrial fiber optic network connecting over 30 markets. Mobile subscribers are split between 4.2 million prepaid and 2.6 million postpaid, with Costa Rica holding the largest mobile subscriber base at 2.2 million total. The company faces competition from FTA and DTT broadcasters, DTH satellite providers, FTTH overbuilds, and OTT content providers across its markets. Revenue is subject to foreign currency fluctuation as subsidiaries operate in local currencies across more than 20 jurisdictions.
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Liberty Latin America's licenses are non-exclusive across most operating markets, exposing the company to overbuild risk from other licensed operators. The Puerto Rico segment relies on roaming agreements with several carriers for 'the majority of its roaming services,' subject to FCC just-and-reasonable rate standards determined on a case-by-case basis. Government entities in some markets may seek to build FTTH or DTT systems on non-commercial return terms, intensifying competition. The company holds Weather Derivatives tied to a parametric wind index to hedge hurricane damage risk — a relevant protection given Hurricane Melissa's Jamaica impact in October 2025, though coverage depends on whether wind-event thresholds are triggered.
See also: Communication Services · Telecom Services
From Liberty Latin America Ltd.'s most recent 10-K filing, extracted June 11, 2026.
Recent developments
updated Nov 3, 2026Recent Developments — Liberty Latin America Ltd.
Latest news
- NEWS Liberty Latin America Selected as Customer for Harmonic's DOCSIS and Fiber Solutions — fiscal.ai Nov 3, 2026 positive
- NEWS Obituary for Lila Mae Marie (Werner) Buchmann - Barbot Funeral Home — Barbot Funeral Home Oct 31, 2026 neutral
- NEWS Liberty Global (LBTY.A) Stock Still Looks Like A Bargain Despite A 47% Fall - Yahoo Finance — Yahoo Finance Oct 30, 2026 negative
- NEWS Liberty Latin America (LILA) Stock Could Offer Value Against Its Sales Base - Simply Wall St — Simply Wall St Oct 30, 2026 positive
- NEWS Liberty Latin America Schedules Investor Call for Third Quarter 2026 Results — fiscal.ai Oct 29, 2026 neutral
Latest item Nov 3, 2026 · Generated 2026-11-04T11:49:37Z.
Upcoming dated catalysts
Thesis
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Options Flow
Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. How we score · Editorial policy
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Rating Breakdown
2 floor-breakers
No near-term catalyst priced in. Thesis progression will come from fundamentals grinding, not event reaction.static
Ranks in the bottom of its industry peers on the composite signal. Better names in the same sector exist.static
Price Targets
Position Sizing
Risk Alerts
Earnings
Verdict History
Frequently Asked Questions
Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $8.73 — A.R:R 0.2:1 is below the 1.5:1 minimum. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Near 52-week high (3.3% away). Chart setup: Golden cross, above all MAs, RSI 65, MACD bullish. Prior stop was $8.19. Score 5.6/10, high confidence.
Analyst target: $8.97 (+2.7% upside). Prior stop was $8.19. Stop-loss: $8.19.
Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Near 52-week high (3.3% away); V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=4.3).
Liberty Latin America Ltd. trades at a P/E of N/A (forward 43.5). TrendMatrix value score: 6.8/10. Verdict: Sell.
8 analysts rate LILA, with a consensus score of 2.4/5. 4 analysts publish price targets averaging $11.
What does Liberty Latin America Ltd. do?Liberty Latin America provides fixed, mobile, and subsea telecommunications services across Puerto Rico, Panama, Costa...
Liberty Latin America provides fixed, mobile, and subsea telecommunications services across Puerto Rico, Panama, Costa Rica, and over 20 Caribbean and Latin American countries through five reportable segments. The company serves approximately 6.8 million mobile subscribers and 1.8 million fixed-line customer relationships with bundled broadband, video, telephony, and mobile services.