Kodiak AI, Inc. (KDK) Stock Analysis

Q: What is the KDK stock price target?

Take-profit $13.66 (+66.1% upside). Prior stop was $7.65.

Q: Is KDK overvalued or undervalued?

Kodiak AI, Inc. trades at a P/E of N/A (forward -13.5). TrendMatrix value score: 9.0/10. Overall verdict: Sell.

Q: What do analysts say about KDK?

9 analysts cover KDK with a consensus score of 4.1/5. Average price target: $16.

Range Bound setup

SellVALUE-TRAP 1/5Moderate ConfidenceUpdated 2026-04-30

Technology · Software - Infrastructure

Earnings in 7 days (2026-05-07). Expect elevated volatility around the report — consider waiting for post-earnings price action before new entries.

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $8.22: Quality below floor (3.8 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 5.1/10 and A.R:R 4.4:1 is above the 1.5:1 BUY gate. Specifically: Below-average business quality; Negative price momentum; Below long-term trend.

$8.22+66.1% A.UpsideScore 5.1/10#65 of 80 Software - Infrastructure

Stop $7.65Target $13.66(analyst − 13%)A.R:R 4.4:1

Analyst target$15.70+91.0%5 analysts

$13.66our TP

$8.22price

$15.70mean

$22

Passes 5/8 gates (favorable risk/reward ratio, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, semi cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum and death cross (50MA < 200MA) and earnings proximity 7d<=7d. Suitability: aggressive.

Thesis

Rewards

No bull case signals

Risks

Quality below floor (3.8 < 4.0)

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)—

P/E (Fwd)-13.5

Mkt Cap$1.5B

EV/EBITDA-14.8

Profit Mgn0.0%

ROE—

Rev Growth-92.3%

Beta-0.01

DividendNone

Rating analysts9

Quality Signals

Piotroski F4/9

Options Flow

P/C0.26bullish

IV116%elevated

Max Pain$15+82.5% vs spot

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

4 floor-breakers·1 ceiling hit

Overall = weighted sum of the 10 dimension scores. Fundamentals (Value/Quality/Growth) carry 45%; market signals (Momentum/Sentiment/Insider/Peer) carry 40%; structure (Technical/Risk/Catalyst) carries 15%.

DimensionScoreWeightContribution

Value9.015%1.35

Quality3.815%0.57

Growth5.015%0.75

Momentum1.710%0.17

Sentiment7.610%0.76

Insider Activity5.210%0.52

Peer Rank3.810%0.38

Technical Setup5.55%0.28

Risk Profile4.15%0.20

Catalyst2.55%0.13

Overall (Σ contributions)5.10

Small float-rounding may cause last-digit differences between this sum and the displayed Overall.

Price action weak — below key moving averages, no momentum carry. Needs a base before trend-continuation setups apply.static

Volume

0.0

Obv

1.0

Ma Position

1.0

Macd

2.1

Rsi

4.5

Volume distribution (falling OBV)Below 200-MA, MA slope -5.1%/30d — confirmed downtrend

No near-term catalyst priced in. Thesis progression will come from fundamentals grinding, not event reaction.static

Earnings History

0.0

Surprise Avg

0.0

Erm

5.0

Earnings Timing

5.0

Earnings concerns: 0B/2MEarnings in 7 days

Quality below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Roa

0.0

Net Margin

0.0

Fcf Quality

0.0

Rule Of 40

3.0

Piotroski F

4.4

Moat

5.0

Current Ratio

8.3

Gross Margin

10.0

Cash-burning: FCF -1982% of revenueNo competitive moatRule of 40: -2074 (fail)

Ranks in the bottom of its industry peers on the composite signal. Better names in the same sector exist.static

Growth Rank

0.0

Value Rank

5.0

Quality Rank

5.0

GatesMomentum 1.7<4.5Death cross (50MA < 200MA)EARNINGS PROXIMITY 7d<=7dA.R:R 4.4 ≥ 1.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARRange BoundSuitability: Aggressive

RSI

55 · Neutral

↓ 20D MA↓ 50D MA↓ 200D MADEATH CROSSSupport $6.93Resistance $10.60

Price Targets

$14

A.Upside+66.2%

A.R:R4.4:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone

Suggested %0.5%

Max %1%

RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! Quality below floor (3.8 < 4.0)

! Momentum score 1.7/10 — below 4.5 minimum

! Death cross — 50-day MA below 200-day MA

Earnings

0/4 beats

Next Earnings2026-05-07 (7d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first

Loading history...

Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.

Frequently Asked Questions

Is KDK stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $8.22: Quality below floor (3.8 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 5.1/10 and A.R:R 4.4:1 is above the 1.5:1 BUY gate. Specifically: Below-average business quality; Negative price momentum; Below long-term trend. Chart setup: RSI 55 mid-range, Bollinger mid-band. Prior stop was $7.65. Score 5.1/10, moderate confidence.

What is the KDK stock price target?

Take-profit target: $13.66 (+66.1% upside). Prior stop was $7.65. Stop-loss: $7.65.

What are the risks of investing in KDK?

Quality below floor (3.8 < 4.0).

Is KDK overvalued or undervalued?

Kodiak AI, Inc. trades at a P/E of N/A (forward -13.5). TrendMatrix value score: 9.0/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about KDK?

9 analysts cover KDK with a consensus score of 4.1/5. Average price target: $16.

What does Kodiak AI, Inc. do?Kodiak AI, Inc. engages in the development of autonomous vehicle technology and related services. It offers Kodiak...

Kodiak AI, Inc. engages in the development of autonomous vehicle technology and related services. It offers Kodiak Driver, a virtual driver that combines advanced AI-powered software with modular and vehicle-agnostic hardware designed to help address its customers. The company also provides oversight and integration tools, including Kodiak OnTime, a proprietary suite of support services and tools designed to provide smooth integration with customer operations. In addition, it delivers freight through its autonomous trucks; and offers driver-as-a-service to its customers. The company serves long-haul trucking, industrial trucking, and defense industries. Kodiak AI, Inc. was founded in 2018 and is headquartered in Mountain View, California.