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IVAInventiva S.A. - American DeposSell4.7·$3.32
SellModerate Confidence
Investment thesis

Inventiva is burning cash at approximately 3,000% of revenue — an extreme rate — and its market capitalization of roughly $890 million falls below the $1 billion minimum threshold that defines the investable universe for this strategy, removing it from consideration. RSI at 18 and a falling-knife technical setup compound the risk, though the long-term moving average slope remains positive, suggesting the selloff may not yet have found a durable floor.

Thesis pillars

  • Extreme Cash Burn Vs Revenue→Stable
  • Below Minimum Market Cap Floor↓Deteriorating
  • Capitulation Level Rsi Ambiguous Trend↓Deteriorating
  • +1 more pillar — see the Why tab for full reasoning

Full reasoning →

Open full analysis

Inventiva S.A. - American Depos (IVA) Stock Analysis

SellVALUE-TRAP 1/5ShortModerate Confidence

Healthcare · Biotechnology

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $3.32: Quality below floor (3.7 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 4.7/10. Specifically: Elevated put/call ratio: 10.00; Below-average business quality; Negative price momentum.

Inventiva S.A., a clinical-stage biopharmaceutical company, focuses on the development of oral small molecule therapies for the treatment of metabolic dysfunction-associated steatohepatitis (MASH) and other diseases in France and internationally. It develops Lanifibranor, a... Read more

$3.32+25.6% A.UpsideScore 4.7/10#204 of 257 Biotechnology
QualityF-score3 / 9FCF yield-14.61%
Stop $3.09Target $4.17(resistance)A.R:R 0.0:1
Analyst target$15.20+357.8%10 analysts
$4.17our TP
$3.32price
$15.20mean
$26

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $3.32: Quality below floor (3.7 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 4.7/10. Specifically: Elevated put/call ratio: 10.00; Below-average business quality; Negative price momentum. Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Score 4.7/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 6/9 gates (clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news boost analyst 0.50, earnings proximity 175d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum and death cross (50MA < 200MA). Suitability: speculative.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated 2026-10-09
TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Thu, Apr 1, 2027175d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
Recent Analyst detected in news
Risks
DATA_ISSUE: analyst_target_implausible (raw $15.20 vs price $3.32 — ratio 4.6×). Rejected, falling back to technical TP.
Quality below floor (3.7 < 4.0)

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)—
P/E (Fwd)-4.5
Mkt Cap$795M
EV/EBITDA-5.2
Profit Mgn0.0%
ROE-989.1%
Rev Growth-76.7%
Beta1.00
DividendNone
Rating analysts17

Quality Signals

Piotroski F3/9

Options Flow

P/C10.00bearish

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

3 floor-breakers

Ranks in the bottom of its industry peers on the composite signal. Better names in the same sector exist.static

Quality Rank
0.0
Growth Rank
1.0
Value Rank
5.0

Price action weak — below key moving averages, no momentum carry. Needs a base before trend-continuation setups apply.static

Obv
1.0
Ma Position
1.5
Volume
2.1
Rsi
3.5
Macd
6.2
Volume distribution (falling OBV)Below 200-MA, MA slope flat

Quality below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Roa
0.0
Net Margin
0.0
Fcf Quality
0.0
Rule Of 40
3.0
Piotroski F
3.3
Moat
4.0
Current Ratio
9.2
Gross Margin
10.0
Cash-burning: FCF -4728% of revenueNo competitive moatRule of 40: -4805 (fail)Weak Piotroski F-Score: 3/9
GatesMomentum 2.9<4.5Death cross (50MA < 200MA)A.R:R UPSIDE_EXHAUSTED (upside=0.0%)Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS BOOST ANALYST 0.50EARNINGS PROXIMITY 175d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARSuitability: Speculative
RSI
39 · Neutral
↓ 20D MA↓ 50D MA↓ 200D MADEATH CROSSSupport $3.10Resistance $4.26

Price Targets

$3
$4
A.R:R0.0:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0%
Max %0%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! DATA_ISSUE: analyst_target_implausible (raw $15.20 vs price $3.32 — ratio 4.6×). Rejected, falling back to technical TP.
! Quality below floor (3.7 < 4.0)
! momentum at 2.9 (below the engine's 4.5 threshold)

Earnings

B
B
B
M
3/4 beats
Next Earnings2027-04-01 (175d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is IVA stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $3.32: Quality below floor (3.7 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 4.7/10. Specifically: Elevated put/call ratio: 10.00; Below-average business quality; Negative price momentum. Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Prior stop was $3.09. Score 4.7/10, moderate confidence.

What is the IVA stock price target?

Take-profit target: $4.17 (+25.6% upside). Prior stop was $3.09. Stop-loss: $3.09.

What are the risks of investing in IVA?

DATA_ISSUE: analyst_target_implausible (raw $15.20 vs price $3.32 — ratio 4.6×). Rejected, falling back to technical TP.; Quality below floor (3.7 < 4.0).

Is IVA overvalued or undervalued?

Inventiva S.A. - American Depos trades at a P/E of N/A (forward -4.5). TrendMatrix value score: 5.0/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about IVA?

17 analysts cover IVA with a consensus score of 4.4/5. Average price target: $15.

What does Inventiva S.A. - American Depos do?Inventiva S.A., a clinical-stage biopharmaceutical company, focuses on the development of oral small molecule therapies...

Inventiva S.A., a clinical-stage biopharmaceutical company, focuses on the development of oral small molecule therapies for the treatment of metabolic dysfunction-associated steatohepatitis (MASH) and other diseases in France and internationally. It develops Lanifibranor, a novel peroxisome proliferator-activated receptor agonist that is in the NATiV3 Phase 3 clinical trial to treat adult patients with MASH; and Odiparcil for the treatment of patients with mucopolysaccharidoses. The company also develops TGF-ß, a pre-clinical program for the treatment of idiopathic pulmonary fibrosis. Inventiva S.A. was incorporated in 2011 and is headquartered in Daix, France.

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