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Inventiva S.A. - American Depos (IVA) Stock Analysis

SellVALUE-TRAP 3/5Moderate Confidence

Healthcare · Biotechnology

Sell if holding. Momentum 3.5/10 is below the 5.0 floor at $5.04 — engine's falling-knife protection flags exit rather than catching a breakdown. Specifics: Negative momentum; V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=4.0).

Inventiva S.A., a clinical-stage biopharmaceutical company, focuses on the development of oral small molecule therapies for the treatment of metabolic dysfunction-associated steatohepatitis (MASH) and other diseases in France and internationally. It develops Lanifibranor, a... Read more

$5.04+18.3% A.UpsideScore 5.3/10#69 of 157 Biotechnology
QualityF-score4 / 9FCF yield-17.77%
Stop $4.72Target $5.94(resistance)A.R:R 0.0:1
Analyst target$15.55+208.6%12 analysts
$5.94our TP
$5.04price
$15.55mean
$26

Sell if holding. Momentum 3.5/10 is below the 5.0 floor at $5.04 — engine's falling-knife protection flags exit rather than catching a breakdown. Specifics: Negative momentum; V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=4.0). Chart setup: No recognized chart pattern (not a breakout, bounce, continuation, recovery, falling knife, or range) — technicals mixed. Score 5.3/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 6/8 gates (clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, earnings proximity 130d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum. Suitability: aggressive.

Recent Developments — Inventiva S.A. - American Depos

Latest news

Generated 2026-05-20T20:21:21Z.

Thesis

Rewards
Sector modifier (Healthcare): +0.5
Strong earnings beat streak (3/4)
Risks
V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=4.0)
Negative momentum
Value-trap signals (3/5): Revenue declining (-89.9% YoY), Margin compression (op margin -6710.7%), Negative free cash flow

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)
P/E (Fwd)-6.0
Mkt Cap$1.1B
EV/EBITDA-9.5
Profit Mgn0.0%
ROE
Rev Growth-89.9%
Beta0.88
DividendNone
Rating analysts16

Quality Signals

Piotroski F4/9

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

2 floor-breakers

Price action weak — below key moving averages, no momentum carry. Needs a base before trend-continuation setups apply.static

Obv
1.0
Ma Position
2.2
Volume
3.5
Rsi
4.5
Macd
6.3
Volume distribution (falling OBV)Below 200-MA but MA still rising (+6.4%/30d) — pullback in uptrend, not confirmed weakness

Ranks in the bottom of its industry peers on the composite signal. Better names in the same sector exist.static

Growth Rank
0.7
Value Rank
5.0
Quality Rank
5.0
GatesMomentum 3.5<4.5A.R:R UPSIDE_EXHAUSTED (upside=0.0%)Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY 130d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARSuitability: Aggressive
RSI
50 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $4.87Resistance $6.06

Price Targets

$5
$6
A.Upside+17.9%
A.R:R0.0:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeRisk-Off

Risk Alerts

! DATA_ISSUE: analyst_target_implausible (raw $15.55 vs price $5.02 — ratio 3.1×). Rejected, falling back to technical TP.
! Momentum score 3.5/10 — below 4.5 minimum

Earnings

B
B
B
M
3/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-09-25 (130d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is IVA stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Momentum 3.5/10 is below the 5.0 floor at $5.04 — engine's falling-knife protection flags exit rather than catching a breakdown. Specifics: Negative momentum; V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=4.0). Chart setup: No recognized chart pattern (not a breakout, bounce, continuation, recovery, falling knife, or range) — technicals mixed. Prior stop was $4.72. Score 5.3/10, moderate confidence.

What is the IVA stock price target?

Take-profit target: $5.94 (+18.3% upside). Prior stop was $4.72. Stop-loss: $4.72.

What are the risks of investing in IVA?

V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=4.0); Negative momentum; Value-trap signals (3/5): Revenue declining (-89.9% YoY), Margin compression (op margin -6710.7%), Negative free cash flow.

Is IVA overvalued or undervalued?

Inventiva S.A. - American Depos trades at a P/E of N/A (forward -6.0). TrendMatrix value score: 5.0/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about IVA?

16 analysts cover IVA with a consensus score of 4.4/5. Average price target: $16.

What does Inventiva S.A. - American Depos do?Inventiva S.A., a clinical-stage biopharmaceutical company, focuses on the development of oral small molecule therapies...

Inventiva S.A., a clinical-stage biopharmaceutical company, focuses on the development of oral small molecule therapies for the treatment of metabolic dysfunction-associated steatohepatitis (MASH) and other diseases in France and internationally. It develops Lanifibranor, a novel peroxisome proliferator-activated receptor agonist that is in the NATiV3 Phase 3 clinical trial to treat adult patients with MASH; and Odiparcil for the treatment of patients with mucopolysaccharidoses. The company also develops TGF-ß, a pre-clinical program for the treatment of idiopathic pulmonary fibrosis. Inventiva S.A. was incorporated in 2011 and is headquartered in Daix, France.

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