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IVAInventiva S.A. - American DeposHold5.0·$3.52+3.37%
HoldModerate Confidence
Investment thesis

Inventiva is burning cash at approximately 3,000% of revenue — an extreme rate — and its market capitalization of roughly $890 million falls below the $1 billion minimum threshold that defines the investable universe for this strategy, removing it from consideration. RSI at 18 and a falling-knife technical setup compound the risk, though the long-term moving average slope remains positive, suggesting the selloff may not yet have found a durable floor.

Thesis pillars

  • Extreme Cash Burn Vs RevenueStable
  • Below Minimum Market Cap FloorStable
  • Capitulation Level Rsi Ambiguous TrendStable
  • +1 more pillar — see the Why tab for full reasoning

Full reasoning →

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Inventiva S.A. - American Depos (IVA) Stock Analysis

HoldVALUE-TRAP 1/5Moderate Confidence

Healthcare · Biotechnology

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $3.52, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: DATA_ISSUE: analyst_target_implausible (raw $15.13 vs price $3.52 — ratio 4.3×). Rejected, falling back to technical TP.; Market cap $0.81B below $1B minimum.

Inventiva S.A., a clinical-stage biopharmaceutical company, focuses on the development of oral small molecule therapies for the treatment of metabolic dysfunction-associated steatohepatitis (MASH) and other diseases in France and internationally. It develops Lanifibranor, a... Read more

$3.52+37.9% A.UpsideScore 5.0/10#87 of 157 Biotechnology
QualityF-score4 / 9FCF yield-24.92%
Stop $3.28Target $4.86(resistance)A.R:R 0.0:1
Analyst target$15.13+329.7%13 analysts
$4.86our TP
$3.52price
$15.13mean
$26

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $3.52, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: DATA_ISSUE: analyst_target_implausible (raw $15.13 vs price $3.52 — ratio 4.3×). Rejected, falling back to technical TP.; Market cap $0.81B below $1B minimum. Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Market cap $0.81B below $1B minimum. Not in investable universe. Score 5.0/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 6/9 gates (clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, earnings proximity 88d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum and death cross (50MA < 200MA). Suitability: aggressive.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated 2026-06-29
TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Fri, Sep 25, 202688d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
No bull case signals
Risks
DATA_ISSUE: analyst_target_implausible (raw $15.13 vs price $3.52 — ratio 4.3×). Rejected, falling back to technical TP.
Market cap $0.81B below $1B minimum

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)
P/E (Fwd)-3.9
Mkt Cap$806M
EV/EBITDA-6.3
Profit Mgn0.0%
ROE
Rev Growth-89.9%
Beta0.88
DividendNone
Rating analysts16

Quality Signals

Piotroski F4/9

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

1 floor-breaker

Ranks in the bottom of its industry peers on the composite signal. Better names in the same sector exist.static

Growth Rank
0.6
Value Rank
5.0
Quality Rank
5.0
GatesMomentum 4.2<4.5Death cross (50MA < 200MA)A.R:R UPSIDE_EXHAUSTED (upside=0.0%)Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY 88d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARSuitability: Aggressive
RSI
37 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MADEATH CROSSSupport $3.35Resistance $4.96

Price Targets

$3
$5
A.Upside+38.1%
A.R:R0.0:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! DATA_ISSUE: analyst_target_implausible (raw $15.13 vs price $3.52 — ratio 4.3×). Rejected, falling back to technical TP.
! Market cap $0.81B below $1B minimum
! momentum at 4.2 (below the engine's 4.5 threshold)

Earnings

B
B
B
M
3/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-09-25 (88d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is IVA stock a buy right now?

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $3.52, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: DATA_ISSUE: analyst_target_implausible (raw $15.13 vs price $3.52 — ratio 4.3×). Rejected, falling back to technical TP.; Market cap $0.81B below $1B minimum. Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Market cap $0.81B below $1B minimum. Not in investable universe. Target $4.86 (+38.1%), stop $3.28 (−7.3%), A.R:R 0.0:1. Score 5.0/10, moderate confidence.

What is the IVA stock price target?

Take-profit target: $4.86 (+37.9% upside). Target $4.86 (+38.1%), stop $3.28 (−7.3%), A.R:R 0.0:1. Stop-loss: $3.28.

What are the risks of investing in IVA?

DATA_ISSUE: analyst_target_implausible (raw $15.13 vs price $3.52 — ratio 4.3×). Rejected, falling back to technical TP.; Market cap $0.81B below $1B minimum.

Is IVA overvalued or undervalued?

Inventiva S.A. - American Depos trades at a P/E of N/A (forward -3.9). TrendMatrix value score: 5.0/10. Verdict: Hold.

What do analysts say about IVA?

16 analysts cover IVA with a consensus score of 4.4/5. Average price target: $15.

What does Inventiva S.A. - American Depos do?Inventiva S.A., a clinical-stage biopharmaceutical company, focuses on the development of oral small molecule therapies...

Inventiva S.A., a clinical-stage biopharmaceutical company, focuses on the development of oral small molecule therapies for the treatment of metabolic dysfunction-associated steatohepatitis (MASH) and other diseases in France and internationally. It develops Lanifibranor, a novel peroxisome proliferator-activated receptor agonist that is in the NATiV3 Phase 3 clinical trial to treat adult patients with MASH; and Odiparcil for the treatment of patients with mucopolysaccharidoses. The company also develops TGF-ß, a pre-clinical program for the treatment of idiopathic pulmonary fibrosis. Inventiva S.A. was incorporated in 2011 and is headquartered in Daix, France.

Related stocks: AUPH (Aurinia Pharmaceuticals Inc) · HRMY (Harmony Biosciences Holdings, I) · ADMA (ADMA Biologics Inc) · INVA (Innoviva, Inc.) · AAPG (Ascentage Pharma Group Internat)
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