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INSMInsmed IncorporatedSell5.6·$95.00-2.52%
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Insmed Incorporated (INSM) Stock Analysis

SellVALUE-TRAP 2/5Moderate Confidence

Healthcare · Biotechnology

Sell if holding. Multiple concerning factors at $95.00: Concentration risk — Product: ARIKAYCE and BRINSUPRI; Concentration risk — Supplier: Lamira device.

Insmed Incorporated commercializes two respiratory products—ARIKAYCE (approved US 2018, EU 2020, Japan 2021) for refractory MAC lung disease and BRINSUPRI (approved US August 2025, EU November 2025) for non-cystic fibrosis bronchiectasis. Revenue derives from prescription sales... Read more

$95.00+86.2% A.UpsideScore 5.6/10#50 of 157 Biotechnology
QualityF-score5 / 9FCF yield-2.87%
Stop $88.83Target $177.86(analyst − 10%)A.R:R 8.1:1
Analyst target$197.62+108.0%21 analysts
$177.86our TP
$95.00price
$197.62mean
$243

Sell if holding. Multiple concerning factors at $95.00: Concentration risk — Product: ARIKAYCE and BRINSUPRI; Concentration risk — Supplier: Lamira device. Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Score 5.6/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 8/9 gates (positive momentum, favorable risk/reward ratio, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, earnings proximity 51d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Suitability: moderate.

10-K grounded · weekly refresh

About Insmed Incorporated

About Insmed Incorporated

BRINSUPRI (brensocatib) received FDA approval in August 2025 for non-cystic fibrosis bronchiectasis in patients 12 and older, followed by European Commission approval in November 2025; Insmed Incorporated's first commercial product, ARIKAYCE, received FDA accelerated approval in September 2018 for refractory MAC lung disease and is commercially approved in the US, EU, and Japan. Regulatory submissions for brensocatib in the UK and Japan have been accepted, with decisions anticipated in 2026. No other approved therapies for bronchiectasis exist in the US, Europe, or Japan as of the 10-K filing.

Insmed generates revenue from prescription sales of ARIKAYCE and BRINSUPRI in the US, EU, and Japan through its own sales force. ARIKAYCE is a drug/device combination requiring the Lamira nebulizer manufactured exclusively by PARI; the company cannot sell ARIKAYCE without Lamira, creating a single-source device dependency. Brensocatib was licensed from AstraZeneca in October 2016. The MAC lung disease addressable market spans the US, EU5, and Japan, while BRINSUPRI targets an estimated 500,000 bronchiectasis patients in the US, 600,000 in EU5, and 150,000 in Japan. The clinical pipeline includes TPIP (Phase 3 PALM-ILD study initiated Q4 2025 in PH-ILD; Phase 3 in PAH planned for H1 2026) and brensocatib for hidradenitis suppurativa (Phase 2b CEDAR study completed enrollment Q4 2025, topline data expected Q2 2026).

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The confirmatory ENCORE trial—required by the FDA as a condition of ARIKAYCE's accelerated approval—enrolled 425 patients in Q4 2024 with topline data anticipated by April 2026. If ENCORE data are positive, Insmed plans to submit a supplementary NDA for ARIKAYCE in all MAC lung disease patients in H2 2026; if the trial fails, the FDA could withdraw accelerated approval under the Consolidated Appropriations Act, 2023. This binary readout, concurrent with BRINSUPRI's early commercial trajectory in bronchiectasis, makes 2026 a period of substantial clinical and regulatory uncertainty for the company.

See also: Healthcare · Biotechnology

From Insmed Incorporated's most recent 10-K filing, extracted June 10, 2026.

TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Thu, Aug 6, 202651d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
Strong growth profile
Analyst upside: 86%
Risks
Concentration risk — Product: ARIKAYCE and BRINSUPRI
Concentration risk — Supplier: Lamira device
Leverage penalty (D/E 1.1): -0.5

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)
P/E (Fwd)292.9
Mkt Cap$21.1B
EV/EBITDA-21.8
Profit Mgn-144.4%
ROE-294.5%
Rev Growth229.6%
Beta0.77
DividendNone
Rating analysts29

Quality Signals

Piotroski F5/9MoatNarrow

Options Flow

P/C2.87bearish
IV73%elevated
Max Pain$210+121.1% vs spot

Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)

  • HIGHProductARIKAYCE and BRINSUPRI
    10-K Item 1A: 'Our prospects are highly dependent on the success of our approved products, ARIKAYCE and BRINSUPRI'
  • HIGHSupplierLamira device
    10-K Item 1A: 'we cannot sell ARIKAYCE without Lamira'

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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Conflicts and positions. The TrendMatrix editorial team frequently holds personal long-term positions in securities discussed. We disclose positions held at the time of publication on each piece. We maintain a trading-window policy: we do not initiate or close positions in the same direction as a TrendMatrix publication within 24 hours before or 72 hours after publication.

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Performance. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Performance figures reflect the published model only and do not reflect any individual subscriber's actual results.

Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

3 floor-breakers·1 ceiling hit

Ranks in the bottom of its industry peers on the composite signal. Better names in the same sector exist.static

Quality Rank
0.0
Value Rank
2.2
Growth Rank
9.6
Industry growth leader

No near-term catalyst priced in. Thesis progression will come from fundamentals grinding, not event reaction.static

Earnings History
0.0
Surprise Avg
0.0
Erm
5.0
Earnings Timing
5.0
News Activity
8.0
Earnings concerns: 1B/3M

Priced at a premium — multiples above sector norms. Needs delivery on growth + margins to justify.static

Ps
0.0
Peg Ratio
3.8
Analyst Target
9.0
PEG: 2.77
GatesDeath cross (50MA < 200MA)Momentum 5.5>=5.5A.R:R 8.1 ≥ 1.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY 51d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARSuitability: Moderate
RSI
36 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MADEATH CROSSSupport $90.39Resistance $110.95

Price Targets

$89
$178
A.Upside+87.2%
A.R:R8.1:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeSteady

Analyst Consensus

Analysts29
Consensus4.3/5
Avg Target$198

Earnings

B
M
M
M
1/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-08-06 (51d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is INSM stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Multiple concerning factors at $95.00: Concentration risk — Product: ARIKAYCE and BRINSUPRI; Concentration risk — Supplier: Lamira device. Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Prior stop was $88.83. Score 5.6/10, moderate confidence.

What is the INSM stock price target?

Take-profit target: $177.86 (+86.2% upside). Prior stop was $88.83. Stop-loss: $88.83.

What are the risks of investing in INSM?

Concentration risk — Product: ARIKAYCE and BRINSUPRI; Concentration risk — Supplier: Lamira device; Leverage penalty (D/E 1.1): -0.5.

Is INSM overvalued or undervalued?

Insmed Incorporated trades at a P/E of N/A (forward 292.9). TrendMatrix value score: 3.8/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about INSM?

29 analysts cover INSM with a consensus score of 4.3/5. Average price target: $198.

What does Insmed Incorporated do?Insmed Incorporated commercializes two respiratory products—ARIKAYCE (approved US 2018, EU 2020, Japan 2021) for...

Insmed Incorporated commercializes two respiratory products—ARIKAYCE (approved US 2018, EU 2020, Japan 2021) for refractory MAC lung disease and BRINSUPRI (approved US August 2025, EU November 2025) for non-cystic fibrosis bronchiectasis. Revenue derives from prescription sales in the US, EU, and Japan using the company's own sales force. The clinical pipeline includes TPIP in Phase 3 trials for PH-ILD and PAH, plus gene therapy programs.

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