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IBOCInternational Bancshares CorporSell5.3·$76.48+0.49%
SellModerate Confidence
Investment thesis

Operating margins of 50% and a Piotroski financial-health score of 8 out of 9 make this a high-quality regional bank, but the stock has effectively reached its near-term price target with an unfavorable risk/reward ratio of 0.16-to-1, leaving little margin of safety for new buyers.

Thesis pillars

  • Price At Target Unfavorable Risk RewardStable
  • Best In Class Operating MarginsStable
  • Earnings Beat History Recent MissStable
  • +1 more pillar — see the Why tab for full reasoning

Full reasoning →

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International Bancshares Corpor (IBOC) Stock Analysis

Range Bound setup

SellModerate Confidence

Financial Services · Banks - Regional

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $76.48 — A.R:R is negative (-0.6) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Near 52-week high (2.7% away).

International Bancshares Corporation operates five subsidiary banks with 166 facilities in 75 Texas and Oklahoma communities, headquartered in Laredo. Revenue comes primarily from net interest income on commercial loans, real estate lending, and international trade finance along... Read more

$76.48+0.7% A.UpsideScore 5.3/10#186 of 223 Banks - Regional
QualityF-score8 / 9FCF yield
IncomeYield1.88%(5y avg 2.44%)Payout21.34%sustainable
Stop $73.44Target $76.89(resistance)A.R:R -0.6:1
Analyst target$87.00+13.8%1 analysts
Range unavailable (1 analysts)

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $76.48 — A.R:R is negative (-0.6) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Near 52-week high (2.7% away). Chart setup: RSI 56 mid-range, Bollinger mid-band. Score 5.3/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 7/9 gates (positive momentum, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, earnings proximity 32d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: aggressive.

10-K grounded · weekly refresh

About International Bancshares Corpor

About International Bancshares Corpor

International Bancshares Corporation operates five subsidiary banks providing commercial and retail banking across 166 facilities in Texas and Oklahoma, regulated by the FRB and FDIC, with deposits from Mexico-domiciled persons and entities representing approximately 32% of total Subsidiary Bank deposits in 2025. Headquartered in Laredo, Texas, the company ranks among the largest independent bank holding companies in the state and employs approximately 2,319 people.

International Bancshares earns revenue primarily through net interest income on commercial, real estate, personal, and installment loans and securities investments, with fee income from international banking services including letters of credit, foreign exchange, and trade finance along the U.S.-Mexico border. The Mexico deposit base — described as 'large and stable' in the filing — comprises approximately 32% of Subsidiary Bank total deposits and is particularly sensitive to tariffs, trade restrictions, or deteriorating U.S.-Mexico relations that could prompt Mexico-domiciled depositors to shift funds to institutions more integrated within the Mexican financial system. Liquidity draws on core deposits, repurchase agreements, and advances from the Federal Home Loan Bank of Dallas and the FHLB of Topeka. A significant portion of the loan portfolio is secured by real estate in the company's primary markets, creating collateral exposure to regional property value cycles. The company competes against national, regional, and community banks, credit unions, and an expanding set of fintech companies and blockchain-based financial service providers.

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The company's primary markets in south, central, and southeast Texas — including Austin, Dallas, and Houston — along with Oklahoma are particularly exposed to oil price cycles: energy production represents a large part of local economies, and a prolonged period of low oil prices could weigh on borrower creditworthiness and real estate collateral values in the company's primary lending geographies. The Mexico-domiciled deposit base at 32% of total deposits in 2025 faces a correlated risk: U.S.-imposed tariffs on Mexico could weaken Northern Mexican economic conditions, potentially triggering deposit outflows from a significant funding source the company describes as large and stable.

See also: Financial Services · Banks - Regional

From International Bancshares Corpor's most recent 10-K filing, extracted June 10, 2026.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated 2026-07-07

Recent Developments — International Bancshares Corpor

Generated 2026-07-07T16:12:36Z.

TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Thu, Aug 6, 202632d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
Strong earnings beat streak (3/4)
Risks
Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining
Near 52-week high (2.7% away)
Weak growth

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)11.3
P/E (Fwd)
Mkt Cap$4.7B
EV/EBITDA
Profit Mgn49.9%
ROE13.5%
Rev Growth5.4%
Beta0.69
Dividend1.88%
Rating analysts7

Quality Signals

Piotroski F8/9

Options Flow

IV50%normal

Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)

  • MEDIUMGeographicMexico32%
    10-K Item 1: 'Deposits from persons and entities domiciled in Mexico comprise a large and stable portion of the deposit base of the Subsidiary Banks. These deposits comprised approximately 32%'
  • MEDIUMloan_portfolioreal estate secured loans
    10-K Item 1A: 'A significant portion of our loan portfolio consists of loans secured by real estate located in the markets we serve.'
  • MEDIUMGeographicTexas and Oklahoma
    10-K Item 1: 'commercial and retail banking services in our main banking and branch facilities located in north, south, central, and southeast Texas and the State of Oklahoma'

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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Performance. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Performance figures reflect the published model only and do not reflect any individual subscriber's actual results.

Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

1 floor-breaker

Growth below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Earnings Growth
3.1
Revenue Growth
3.8
GatesA.R:R -0.6=NEGATIVEMomentum 5.4<5.5 (soft — BUY_NOW allowed but watch)Momentum 5.4>=4.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY 32d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARRange BoundSuitability: Aggressive
RSI
56 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $72.82Resistance $78.46

Price Targets

$73
$77
A.Upside+0.5%
A.R:R-0.6:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! Target reached (-3.2% upside)
! Negative risk/reward — downside exceeds upside

Earnings

B
B
B
M
3/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-08-06 (32d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is IBOC stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $76.48 — A.R:R is negative (-0.6) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Near 52-week high (2.7% away). Chart setup: RSI 56 mid-range, Bollinger mid-band. Prior stop was $73.44. Score 5.3/10, moderate confidence.

What is the IBOC stock price target?

Take-profit target: $76.89 (+0.7% upside). Prior stop was $73.44. Stop-loss: $73.44.

What are the risks of investing in IBOC?

Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Near 52-week high (2.7% away); Weak growth.

Is IBOC overvalued or undervalued?

International Bancshares Corpor trades at a P/E of 11.3 (forward N/A). TrendMatrix value score: 5.7/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about IBOC?

7 analysts cover IBOC with a consensus score of 4.1/5. Average price target: $87.

What does International Bancshares Corpor do?International Bancshares Corporation operates five subsidiary banks with 166 facilities in 75 Texas and Oklahoma...

International Bancshares Corporation operates five subsidiary banks with 166 facilities in 75 Texas and Oklahoma communities, headquartered in Laredo. Revenue comes primarily from net interest income on commercial loans, real estate lending, and international trade finance along the U.S.-Mexico border. Mexico-domiciled depositors account for approximately 32% of the Subsidiary Banks' total deposits.

Related stocks: NBN (Northeast Bank) · CUBI (Customers Bancorp, Inc) · NPB (Northpointe Bancshares, Inc.) · CCNE (CNB Financial Corporation) · INTR (Inter & Co. Inc.)
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