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IAGIamgold CorporationBuy Wait7.1·$16.35-3.14%
IAG · Why this verdict

Why Iamgold (IAG) is rated BUY WAIT

Updated

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

VerdictBUY WAIT
Overall score7.1/10
ConfidenceMEDIUM
MacroNEUTRAL

Per-dimension breakdown

Value

9.2/10data confidence 100%
ComponentSub-score
P/E9.0
P/S8.4
EV/EBITDA8.6
Fwd P/E9.7
PEG10.0
Analyst target9.0
  • Forward P/E: 7.0x
  • PEG: 0.01
  • Attractively valued

Quality

8.5/10data confidence 100%
ComponentSub-score
ROE9.3
ROA10.0
Gross margin5.6
Op margin10.0
Net margin10.0
Current ratio6.7
FCF quality6.8
Moat8.2
Piotroski F10.0
  • Excellent ROE: 28%
  • Strong margins: 29%
  • Wide economic moat
  • Compounder quality: strong returns + growth

Growth

10.0/10data confidence 33%
ComponentSub-score
Rev growth10.0
  • Strong growth: 116% YoY

Momentum

4.9/10data confidence 100%
ComponentSub-score
RSI5.5
MACD8.9
OBV1.0
MA position7.0
Volume2.3
  • Volume distribution (falling OBV)
  • Above 200-day MA

Sentiment

7.0/10data confidence 100%
ComponentSub-score
Analyst rating6.5
Price target9.4
erm sentiment5.0
  • Light analyst coverage (5.0) — signal dampened
  • Analyst upside: 47%

Insider

5.0/10data confidence 50%
ComponentSub-score
materiality5.0
holder change5.0
  • No net insider activity — $0 (0.000% of mkt cap)

Peer rank

4.9/10data confidence 80%
ComponentSub-score
value rank7.8
quality rank5.3
growth rank6.7
  • Attractive P/E vs peers

Technical

4.8/10data confidence 100%
ComponentSub-score
bollinger4.7
support resistance4.8
52w position3.6
gap6.0

Risk (lower is worse)

3.9/10data confidence 100%
ComponentSub-score
days to cover10.0
volatility0.0
put call1.1
implied vol1.1
max pain risk3.0
beta2.7
debt equity9.4
  • Elevated put/call: 1.84
  • High IV: 74%
  • Above max pain $12

Catalyst

6.7/10data confidence 100%
ComponentSub-score
erm5.0
earnings history6.7
earnings timing5.0
surprise avg10.0
  • Strong earnings: 3B/1M

How the verdict was assembled

Engine trigger

Value play: 34% MoS with quality 8.5. (held at prior verdict — engine reading is near the momentum/RSI threshold; will commit on clearer signal).

Engine technical detail
verdict_path: L4:PATH_A_VALUE_MOS33|STABILIZER:PROMOTE_DEAD_ZONE|ENTRY_STICKY:PRIOR_STILL_VIABLE
Passed (9)
  • MOMENTUM:4.9>=4.5
  • ASYMMETRY:2.1>=1.5
  • INSIDER:OK
  • 8K:CLEAN
  • NEWS_EVENTS:NONE_RECENT
  • EARNINGS_PROXIMITY:44d clear
  • SEMI_CYCLE_PEAK:CLEAR
  • MATERIALS_CYCLE_PEAK:CLEAR
  • SECTOR_CONCENTRATION_CAP:sector=Basic Materials:1/3
Failed (0)

none

Warning (1)
  • MOMENTUM:4.9<5.5 (soft — BUY_NOW allowed but watch)
Reward-to-Risk
2.15
Upside
+28.1%
Downside
13.1%
Sizing output
HALF

SetupRANGE_BOUND RSI 47 mid-range, Bollinger mid-band

EdgeNO_EDGE No clear edge identified

SuitabilityAGGRESSIVE Beta 2.20>1.3

Investment implication

The STRONG_BUY_WAIT verdict reflects clean gate clearance against Growth at 10.0 and asymmetric R:R of 2.15.

The strongest dimensions are Growth at 10.0, Value at 9.2, and Quality at 8.5; the weakest are Risk (lower is worse) at 3.9, Technical at 4.8, and Peer rank at 4.9. The V9 engine cleared all gates with 1 warning, producing an asymmetric reward-to-risk of 2.15 and an engine sizing output of HALF.

Engine reasoning is mechanically derived from pipeline gate outputs. See decision view.

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