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HA Sustainable Infrastructure C (HASI) Stock Analysis

SellVALUE-TRAP 2/5High Confidence

Financial Services · Asset Management

Earnings in 7 days (2026-05-07). Expect elevated volatility around the report — consider waiting for post-earnings price action before new entries.

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $41.76 — A.R:R is negative (-0.1) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Near 52-week high (1.1% away).

HA Sustainable Infrastructure Capital invests in income-generating sustainable infrastructure assets including solar, wind, energy efficiency, and biogas across three climate markets. It manages $16.1B in total assets with a $7.6B retained Portfolio. Returns derive from interest... Read more

$41.76-0.9% A.UpsideScore 4.1/10#109 of 109 Asset Management
Stop $39.68Target $41.41(resistance)A.R:R -0.1:1
Analyst target$45.87+9.8%15 analysts
$41.41our TP
$41.76price
$45.87mean
$38
$54

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $41.76 — A.R:R is negative (-0.1) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Near 52-week high (1.1% away). Chart setup: No recognized chart pattern (not a breakout, bounce, continuation, recovery, falling knife, or range) — technicals mixed. Score 4.1/10, high confidence.

Passes 4/7 gates (clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, semi cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum and favorable risk/reward ratio and earnings proximity 7d<=7d. Suitability: aggressive.

Thesis

Rewards
Strong earnings beat streak (3/4)
Risks
Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining
Near 52-week high (1.1% away)
Leverage penalty (D/E 1.9): -1.0

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)28.7
P/E (Fwd)12.3
Mkt Cap$5.2B
EV/EBITDA
Profit Mgn192.3%
ROE7.4%
Rev Growth-9.8%
Beta1.41
Dividend4.17%
Rating analysts22

Quality Signals

Piotroski F5/9

Options Flow

P/C0.13bullish
IV61%elevated
Max Pain$23-46.1% vs spot

Material Events(8-K, last 90d)

  • 2026-03-27Item 5.02LOW
    Company adopted Executive Protection Plan (Severance Plan) March 25, 2026, effective May 1, 2026. CEO (Tier A), named executive officers (Tier B), and other management (Tier C) eligible for severance benefits upon qualifying termination. Routine compensatory arrangement adoption.
    SEC filing →

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

2 floor-breakers

Revenue shrinking — -9.8% YoY. Growth thesis broken unless recovery story develops.static

Revenue Growth
0.1
Declining revenue: -10%
Low model confidence on this dimension (33%).

Ranks in the bottom of its industry peers on the composite signal. Better names in the same sector exist.static

Growth Rank
1.1
Value Rank
1.3
Quality Rank
6.4
Best-in-class margins
GatesMomentum 4.2<4.5A.R:R -0.1=NEGATIVEEARNINGS PROXIMITY 7d<=7dInsider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARSuitability: Aggressive
RSI
71 · Overbought
20D MA 50D MA 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $36.22Resistance $42.26

Price Targets

$40
$41
A.Upside-0.8%
A.R:R-0.1:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeCautious

Risk Alerts

! Target reached (-1.2% upside)
! Momentum score 4.2/10 — below 4.5 minimum
! Negative risk/reward — downside exceeds upside

Earnings

B
B
B
M
3/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-05-07 (7d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is HASI stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $41.76 — A.R:R is negative (-0.1) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Near 52-week high (1.1% away). Chart setup: No recognized chart pattern (not a breakout, bounce, continuation, recovery, falling knife, or range) — technicals mixed. Prior stop was $39.68. Score 4.1/10, high confidence.

What is the HASI stock price target?

Take-profit target: $41.41 (-0.9% upside). Prior stop was $39.68. Stop-loss: $39.68.

What are the risks of investing in HASI?

Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Near 52-week high (1.1% away); Leverage penalty (D/E 1.9): -1.0.

Is HASI overvalued or undervalued?

HA Sustainable Infrastructure C trades at a P/E of 28.7 (forward 12.3). TrendMatrix value score: 5.4/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about HASI?

22 analysts cover HASI with a consensus score of 4.2/5. Average price target: $46.

What does HA Sustainable Infrastructure C do?HA Sustainable Infrastructure Capital invests in income-generating sustainable infrastructure assets including solar,...

HA Sustainable Infrastructure Capital invests in income-generating sustainable infrastructure assets including solar, wind, energy efficiency, and biogas across three climate markets. It manages $16.1B in total assets with a $7.6B retained Portfolio. Returns derive from interest income, equity method income, securitization gains, and management fees.

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