Skip to main content
HASIHA Sustainable Infrastructure CSell5.4·$36.16
SellModerate Confidence
Investment thesis

HA Sustainable Infrastructure has delivered three consecutive quarterly earnings beats with 64% net margins that rank at the top of its peer group, but these positives face a significant headwind from a 28% year-over-year revenue decline, deteriorating price momentum, and an extremely elevated put-to-call ratio of 6.5 that signals defensive options positioning — indicating the turnaround thesis is not yet confirmed by fundamental or technical trends.

Thesis pillars

  • Options Market Defensive Positioning↑Improving
  • Earnings Recovery Three Straight Beats→Stable
  • Best In Class Margin Profile→Stable
  • +1 more pillar — see the Why tab for full reasoning

Full reasoning →

Open full analysis

HA Sustainable Infrastructure C (HASI) Stock Analysis

SellVALUE-TRAP 1/5GrowthModerate Confidence

Financial Services · Asset Management

Sell if holding. Momentum 2.4/10 is below the 5.0 floor at $36.16 — engine's falling-knife protection flags exit rather than catching a breakdown. Specifics: Leverage penalty (D/E 2.2): -1.5; Concentration risk — Product: BTM assets (52.0%).

HASI deploys capital in sustainable infrastructure across three segments—Behind the Meter (52% of portfolio), Grid-Connected (34%), and Fuels, Transport, and Nature (14%). With $16.1 billion in managed assets and a retained portfolio of $7.6 billion, the company earns interest... Read more

$36.16+23.9% A.UpsideScore 5.4/10#146 of 240 Asset Management
QualityF-score8 / 9FCF yield—
IncomeYield4.57%(5y avg 5.06%)Payout260.00%at-risk
Stop $34.59Target $44.82(analyst − 10%)A.R:R 4.1:1
Analyst target$49.80+37.7%15 analysts
$44.82our TP
$36.16price
$49.80mean
$60

Sell if holding. Momentum 2.4/10 is below the 5.0 floor at $36.16 — engine's falling-knife protection flags exit rather than catching a breakdown. Specifics: Leverage penalty (D/E 2.2): -1.5; Concentration risk — Product: BTM assets (52.0%). Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Score 5.4/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 6/8 gates (favorable risk/reward ratio, clean insider activity, news events none recent, earnings proximity 42d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum. Suitability: aggressive.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated 2026-09-25
TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Thu, Nov 5, 202642d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
Sector modifier (Financial Services): +1.0
Strong earnings beat streak (4/4)
Analyst upside: 24%
Risks
Concentration risk — Product: BTM assets (52.0%)
Leverage penalty (D/E 2.2): -1.5
Negative momentum

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)57.5
P/E (Fwd)10.9
Mkt Cap$4.7B
EV/EBITDA—
Profit Mgn67.7%
ROE3.4%
Rev Growth804.4%
Beta1.42
Dividend4.57%
Rating analysts22

Quality Signals

Piotroski F8/9MoatNarrow

Options Flow

P/C0.03bullish
IV49%normal

Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)

  • HIGHProductBTM assets52%
    10-K Item 1: 'Approximately 52% of our Portfolio is invested in BTM assets'

Material Events(8-K, last 90d)

  • 2026-03-27Item 5.02LOW
    HA Sustainable Infrastructure Capital adopted the Executive Protection Plan on March 25, 2026, providing tiered severance benefits to CEO (Tier A), named executive officers (Tier B), and other designated management (Tier C) upon qualifying termination. Plan effective May 1, 2026. No officer departures disclosed.
    SEC filing →

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

Show full disclosure ▾

About TrendMatrix. TrendMatrix is a publisher of general securities research and market commentary. We publish on a regular schedule. All content is the same for every subscriber in a tier — we do not provide personalized investment advice and we do not take into account any individual subscriber's financial situation, investment objectives, risk tolerance, tax situation, or holdings.

Not investment advice. TrendMatrix is not a registered investment adviser. Our content is for informational and educational purposes only. Consult your own licensed investment adviser, broker, or tax professional before making any investment decision.

Conflicts and positions. The TrendMatrix editorial team frequently holds personal long-term positions in securities discussed. We disclose positions held at the time of publication on each piece. We maintain a trading-window policy: we do not initiate or close positions in the same direction as a TrendMatrix publication within 24 hours before or 72 hours after publication.

No paid promotion. TrendMatrix does not accept payment from any issuer, broker, or third party in exchange for coverage of any security. Our sole compensation is subscription revenue.

No fiduciary duty. No fiduciary, advisory, or agency relationship is created between you and TrendMatrix by reading our content or subscribing to our service.

Performance. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Performance figures reflect the published model only and do not reflect any individual subscriber's actual results.

Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

1 floor-breaker

Price action weak — below key moving averages, no momentum carry. Needs a base before trend-continuation setups apply.static

Macd
0.9
Obv
1.0
Ma Position
2.2
Rsi
3.0
Volume
5.1
Capitulation risk (RSI 28, below 200MA)Volume distribution (falling OBV)Below 200-MA but MA still rising (+3.5%/30d) — pullback in uptrend, not confirmed weakness
GatesMomentum 2.4<4.5Executive change: officer departure/appointmentA.R:R 4.1 ≥ 1.5Insider activity: OKNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY 42d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARSuitability: Aggressive
RSI
28 · Oversold
↓ 20D MA↓ 50D MA↓ 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $35.66Resistance $40.56

Price Targets

$35
$45
A.Upside+23.9%
A.R:R4.1:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeRisk-Off

Risk Alerts

! momentum at 2.4 (below the engine's 4.5 threshold)

Earnings

B
B
B
B
4/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-11-05 (42d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is HASI stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Momentum 2.4/10 is below the 5.0 floor at $36.16 — engine's falling-knife protection flags exit rather than catching a breakdown. Specifics: Leverage penalty (D/E 2.2): -1.5; Concentration risk — Product: BTM assets (52.0%). Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Prior stop was $34.59. Score 5.4/10, moderate confidence.

What is the HASI stock price target?

Take-profit target: $44.82 (+23.9% upside). Prior stop was $34.59. Stop-loss: $34.59.

What are the risks of investing in HASI?

Concentration risk — Product: BTM assets (52.0%); Leverage penalty (D/E 2.2): -1.5; Negative momentum.

Is HASI overvalued or undervalued?

HA Sustainable Infrastructure C trades at a P/E of 57.5 (forward 10.9). TrendMatrix value score: 5.1/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about HASI?

22 analysts cover HASI with a consensus score of 4.2/5. Average price target: $50.

What does HA Sustainable Infrastructure C do?HASI deploys capital in sustainable infrastructure across three segments—Behind the Meter (52% of portfolio),...

HASI deploys capital in sustainable infrastructure across three segments—Behind the Meter (52% of portfolio), Grid-Connected (34%), and Fuels, Transport, and Nature (14%). With $16.1 billion in managed assets and a retained portfolio of $7.6 billion, the company earns interest income, equity returns, securitization gains, and management fees from income-generating clean energy assets.

Related stocks: GAB (Gabelli Equity Trust, Inc. (The) · CII (BlackRock Enhanced Large Cap Co) · TWN (Taiwan Fund, Inc. (The)) · ETO (Eaton Vance Tax-Advantage Globa) · VINP (Vinci Compass Investments Ltd.)
Home › Stocks › HASI

Latest news

Latest News

StockStory143d agoEarnings
MarketBeat52d ago
The Globe and Mail143d agoProduct
ESG Today143d agoProduct
Moomoo144d ago
Yahoo Finance144d agoProduct
MarketBeat57d agoEarnings
TradingKey58d ago
TradingKey58d ago
MarketBeat149d agoEarnings
Yahoo Finance141d ago
Yahoo Finance141d agoEarnings
Business Wire141d agoEarnings
MarketBeat50d agoEarnings
Business Wire50d ago
富途牛牛55d agoEarnings
TipRanks144d agoProduct
TipRanks144d agoProduct
Business Wire144d agoProduct
TradingKey54d ago
Loading more...