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HASIHA Sustainable Infrastructure CSell4.3·$38.28+0.05%
SellHigh Confidence
Investment thesis

HA Sustainable Infrastructure has delivered three consecutive quarterly earnings beats with 64% net margins that rank at the top of its peer group, but these positives face a significant headwind from a 28% year-over-year revenue decline, deteriorating price momentum, and an extremely elevated put-to-call ratio of 6.5 that signals defensive options positioning — indicating the turnaround thesis is not yet confirmed by fundamental or technical trends.

Thesis pillars

  • Options Market Defensive PositioningStable
  • Earnings Recovery Three Straight BeatsStable
  • Best In Class Margin ProfileStable
  • +1 more pillar — see the Why tab for full reasoning

Full reasoning →

Open full analysis

HA Sustainable Infrastructure C (HASI) Stock Analysis

Range Bound setup

SellVALUE-TRAP 3/5High Confidence

Financial Services · Asset Management

Sell if holding. Multiple concerning factors at $38.28: Leverage penalty (D/E 2.1): -1.5; Concentration risk — Product: BTM assets (52.0%).

HASI deploys capital in sustainable infrastructure across three segments—Behind the Meter (52% of portfolio), Grid-Connected (34%), and Fuels, Transport, and Nature (14%). With $16.1 billion in managed assets and a retained portfolio of $7.6 billion, the company earns interest... Read more

$38.28+16.1% A.UpsideScore 4.3/10#231 of 240 Asset Management
QualityF-score6 / 9FCF yield
IncomeYield4.42%(5y avg 4.96%)Payout421.25%at-risk
Stop $36.22Target $44.46(analyst − 10%)A.R:R 2.5:1
Analyst target$49.40+29.0%15 analysts
$44.46our TP
$38.28price
$49.40mean
$57

Sell if holding. Multiple concerning factors at $38.28: Leverage penalty (D/E 2.1): -1.5; Concentration risk — Product: BTM assets (52.0%). Chart setup: RSI 54 mid-range, Bollinger mid-band. Score 4.3/10, high confidence.

Passes 7/8 gates (positive momentum, favorable risk/reward ratio, clean insider activity, news events none recent, earnings proximity 32d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Suitability: aggressive.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated 2026-07-07
TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Thu, Aug 6, 202632d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
Strong earnings beat streak (3/4)
Risks
Concentration risk — Product: BTM assets (52.0%)
Leverage penalty (D/E 2.1): -1.5
Weak overall score: 4.3/10

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)95.6
P/E (Fwd)11.5
Mkt Cap$4.9B
EV/EBITDA
Profit Mgn63.7%
ROE2.3%
Rev Growth-28.3%
Beta1.42
Dividend4.42%
Rating analysts22

Quality Signals

Piotroski F6/9

Options Flow

P/C2.13bearish
IV61%elevated

Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)

  • HIGHProductBTM assets52%
    10-K Item 1: 'Approximately 52% of our Portfolio is invested in BTM assets'

Material Events(8-K, last 90d)

  • 2026-03-27Item 5.02LOW
    HA Sustainable Infrastructure Capital adopted the Executive Protection Plan on March 25, 2026, providing tiered severance benefits to CEO (Tier A), named executive officers (Tier B), and other designated management (Tier C) upon qualifying termination. Plan effective May 1, 2026. No officer departures disclosed.
    SEC filing →

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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Performance. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Performance figures reflect the published model only and do not reflect any individual subscriber's actual results.

Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

2 floor-breakers

Revenue shrinking — -28.3% YoY. Growth thesis broken unless recovery story develops.static

Revenue Growth
0.0
Declining revenue: -28%
Low model confidence on this dimension (33%).

Ranks in the bottom of its industry peers on the composite signal. Better names in the same sector exist.static

Growth Rank
0.4
Value Rank
0.5
Quality Rank
5.0
Best-in-class margins
GatesExecutive change: officer departure/appointmentMomentum 6.0>=5.5A.R:R 2.5 ≥ 1.5Insider activity: OKNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY 32d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARRange BoundSuitability: Aggressive
RSI
54 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $35.85Resistance $39.57

Price Targets

$36
$44
A.Upside+16.1%
A.R:R2.5:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeSteady

Analyst Consensus

Analysts22
Consensus4.2/5
Avg Target$49

Earnings

B
B
B
M
3/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-08-06 (32d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is HASI stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Multiple concerning factors at $38.28: Leverage penalty (D/E 2.1): -1.5; Concentration risk — Product: BTM assets (52.0%). Chart setup: RSI 54 mid-range, Bollinger mid-band. Prior stop was $36.22. Score 4.3/10, high confidence.

What is the HASI stock price target?

Take-profit target: $44.46 (+16.1% upside). Prior stop was $36.22. Stop-loss: $36.22.

What are the risks of investing in HASI?

Concentration risk — Product: BTM assets (52.0%); Leverage penalty (D/E 2.1): -1.5; Weak overall score: 4.3/10.

Is HASI overvalued or undervalued?

HA Sustainable Infrastructure C trades at a P/E of 95.6 (forward 11.5). TrendMatrix value score: 4.6/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about HASI?

22 analysts cover HASI with a consensus score of 4.2/5. Average price target: $49.

What does HA Sustainable Infrastructure C do?HASI deploys capital in sustainable infrastructure across three segments—Behind the Meter (52% of portfolio),...

HASI deploys capital in sustainable infrastructure across three segments—Behind the Meter (52% of portfolio), Grid-Connected (34%), and Fuels, Transport, and Nature (14%). With $16.1 billion in managed assets and a retained portfolio of $7.6 billion, the company earns interest income, equity returns, securitization gains, and management fees from income-generating clean energy assets.

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