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GSBCGreat Southern Bancorp, Inc.Sell5.2·$78.83-2.87%
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Great Southern Bancorp, Inc. (GSBC) Stock Analysis

Breakout setup · Catalyst-Driven edge

SellVALUE-TRAP 1/5Moderate Confidence

Financial Services · Banks - Regional

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $78.83 — A.R:R is negative (-2.9) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Near 52-week high (4.3% away).

Great Southern Bancorp, Inc. operates as a bank holding company for Great Southern Bank that provides a range of financial services in Missouri, Iowa, Kansas, Minnesota, Nebraska and Arkansas. The company's deposit products include regular savings accounts, checking accounts,... Read more

$78.83+2.4% A.UpsideScore 5.2/10#193 of 225 Banks - Regional
QualityF-score6 / 9FCF yield
IncomeYield2.18%(5y avg 2.73%)Payout26.83%sustainable
Stop $74.65Target $80.75(resistance)A.R:R -2.9:1
Analyst target$67.50-14.4%2 analysts
$80.75our TP
$78.83price
$67.50mean
$65
$81

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $78.83 — A.R:R is negative (-2.9) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Near 52-week high (4.3% away). Chart setup: Golden cross, above all MAs, RSI 64, MACD bullish. Score 5.2/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 5/8 gates (positive momentum, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: aggressive.

TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Wed, Jul 15, 202611d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
Strong earnings beat streak (3/4)
Attractive valuation
Positive momentum
Risks
Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining
Near 52-week high (4.3% away)
Weak growth

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)12.5
P/E (Fwd)13.9
Mkt Cap$859M
EV/EBITDA
Profit Mgn31.1%
ROE11.4%
Rev Growth0.0%
Beta0.51
Dividend2.18%
Rating analysts7

Quality Signals

Piotroski F6/9

Options Flow

IV65%elevated

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

1 floor-breaker

Growth below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Revenue Growth
2.5
Earnings Growth
3.5
GatesA.R:R -2.9=NEGATIVEINSIDER 0.22%=MODERATEEARNINGS PROXIMITY 11d<=14d (soft)Momentum 7.4>=5.5No SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARBreakoutSuitability: Aggressive
RSI
64 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $71.31Resistance $82.40

Price Targets

$75
$81
A.Upside+2.4%
A.R:R-2.9:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! Target reached (-27.2% upside)
! Negative risk/reward — downside exceeds upside

Earnings

B
B
B
M
3/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-07-15 (11d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is GSBC stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $78.83 — A.R:R is negative (-2.9) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Near 52-week high (4.3% away). Chart setup: Golden cross, above all MAs, RSI 64, MACD bullish. Prior stop was $74.65. Score 5.2/10, moderate confidence.

What is the GSBC stock price target?

Take-profit target: $80.75 (+2.4% upside). Prior stop was $74.65. Stop-loss: $74.65.

What are the risks of investing in GSBC?

Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Near 52-week high (4.3% away); Weak growth.

Is GSBC overvalued or undervalued?

Great Southern Bancorp, Inc. trades at a P/E of 12.5 (forward 13.9). TrendMatrix value score: 7.2/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about GSBC?

7 analysts cover GSBC with a consensus score of 2.3/5. Average price target: $68.

What does Great Southern Bancorp, Inc. do?Great Southern Bancorp, Inc. operates as a bank holding company for Great Southern Bank that provides a range of...

Great Southern Bancorp, Inc. operates as a bank holding company for Great Southern Bank that provides a range of financial services in Missouri, Iowa, Kansas, Minnesota, Nebraska and Arkansas. The company's deposit products include regular savings accounts, checking accounts, money market accounts, fixed interest rate certificates with varying maturities, certificates of deposit, brokered certificates, and individual retirement accounts. Its loan portfolio comprises residential and commercial real estate loans, commercial business loans, construction loans, home improvement loans, and unsecured consumer loans, as well as secured consumer loans, such as automobile loans, boat loans, home equity loans, and loans secured by savings deposits. It also provides insurance and merchant banking services. Great Southern Bancorp, Inc. was founded in 1923 and is headquartered in Springfield, Missouri.

Related stocks: NBN (Northeast Bank) · BWFG (Bankwell Financial Group, Inc.) · NPB (Northpointe Bancshares, Inc.) · CUBI (Customers Bancorp, Inc) · COFS (ChoiceOne Financial Services, I)
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