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GBCIGlacier Bancorp, Inc.Hold6.5·$49.64
HoldModerate Confidence
Investment thesis

Glacier Bancorp is among the regional banking industry's top growth names at 40% year-over-year with a golden cross technical setup and broad-based momentum; however, the stock has essentially reached its near-term target with only 1.3% upside remaining, carries a high yield flagged as potentially unsafe, and has shown uneven earnings execution, making the current setup a hold rather than a fresh entry.

Thesis pillars

  • Broad Based Technical Momentum↓Deteriorating
  • Top Quartile Revenue Growth→Stable
  • Yield Trap Dividend Risk↓Deteriorating
  • +2 more pillars — see the Why tab for full reasoning

Pillars as of Jul 3, 2026, based on the 10-K filed Feb 25, 2026· older than 90 days

Full reasoning →

Open full analysis

Glacier Bancorp, Inc. (GBCI) Stock Analysis

HoldValueGrowthModerate Confidence

Financial Services · Banks - Regional

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $49.64, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=5.3).

Glacier Bancorp provides banking services through 281 locations across nine states via 18 separately branded bank divisions of its wholly-owned Glacier Bank subsidiary. Revenue comes primarily from net interest income on real estate, commercial, and consumer loans. The company... Read more

$49.64-1.6% A.UpsideScore 6.5/10#37 of 222 Banks - Regional
QualityF-score7 / 9FCF yield—
IncomeYield2.82%(5y avg 2.92%)Payout67.90%
Stop $46.92Analyst target $48.87(reached)A.R:R -0.1:1
Analyst consensus$56.17+13.1%6 analysts with price targets
$49.64price
$56.17mean
$63

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $49.64, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=5.3). Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Maintain position. Not compelling to add more. Score 6.5/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 7/8 gates (positive momentum, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, earnings proximity 77d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: moderate.

10-K grounded · weekly refresh

About Glacier Bancorp, Inc.

About Glacier Bancorp, Inc.

Glacier Bancorp delivers banking services through 281 locations in nine states — Montana, Idaho, Utah, Washington, Wyoming, Colorado, Arizona, Nevada, and Texas — via 18 separately branded bank divisions of its wholly-owned Glacier Bank subsidiary. The company holds a 26.9% market share of FDIC-tracked deposits in the Montana counties it serves. Regulated by the Federal Reserve, the Montana Division of Banking, the FDIC, and the CFPB, Glacier completed two acquisitions in 2025 adding over $4.7 billion in combined total assets.

Glacier Bancorp generates revenue primarily through net interest income on a loan portfolio spanning real estate, commercial, agricultural, and consumer credits, supplemented by fee income from mortgage origination and servicing. The loan portfolio carries a high percentage of commercial and commercial real estate loans — a category the FDIC has specifically highlighted as more vulnerable to elevated interest rates and stressed conditions in large metropolitan markets. Montana anchors the footprint with 70 locations and the highest deposit-market share across the nine-state territory. The Federal Reserve reduced the federal funds target rate three times in 2025, and the trajectory of net interest margin depends on the relative pace of deposit repricing versus loan yields. Goodwill stood at $1.4 billion at year-end 2025, representing 33% of shareholders' equity — a figure that amplifies the sensitivity of earnings and regulatory capital to any future impairment charge.

Show full overview

The loan portfolio held 0.33% of loans classified as non-performing at December 31, 2025 — an unusually low base that means deterioration in even a few of the portfolio's larger commercial or commercial real estate credits could drive a significant step-change in provisions. The 10-K flags that commercial real estate and construction loans historically carry more default risk than residential credits, and Glacier's Mountain West and Texas footprints span markets exposed to tourism, energy, and construction cycles that may amplify credit losses beyond what the current near-zero non-performing ratio suggests.

See also: Financial Services · Banks - Regional

From Glacier Bancorp, Inc.'s most recent 10-K filing, extracted June 10, 2026.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated Oct 22, 2026

Recent Developments — Glacier Bancorp, Inc.

Latest item Oct 22, 2026 · Generated 2026-11-05T11:34:07Z.

TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Thu, Jan 21, 202777d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
Sector modifier (Financial Services): +1.0
Attractive valuation
Strong growth profile
Risks
Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining
V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=5.3)
Overbought (RSI 77)

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)18.9
P/E (Fwd)13.8
Mkt Cap$6.5B
EV/EBITDA—
Profit Mgn29.0%
ROE8.8%
Rev Growth29.1%
Beta0.77
Dividend2.82%
Analysts with ratings12

Quality Signals

Piotroski F7/9

Options Flow

P/C0.40bullish
IV59%elevated

Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)

  • MEDIUMloan_portfoliocommercial and commercial real estate loans
    10-K Item 1A: 'The loan portfolio contains a high percentage of commercial, commercial real estate, real estate acquisition and development loans in relation to the total loans'
  • MEDIUMloan_portfolioreal estate secured loans
    10-K Item 1A: 'A significant percent of the Bank's loans are secured by real estate, resulting in a high concentration of real estate secured loans'

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. How we score · Editorial policy

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About TrendMatrix. TrendMatrix is a publisher of general securities research and market commentary. We publish on a regular schedule. All content is the same for every subscriber in a tier — we do not provide personalized investment advice and we do not take into account any individual subscriber's financial situation, investment objectives, risk tolerance, tax situation, or holdings.

Not investment advice. TrendMatrix is not a registered investment adviser. Our content is for informational and educational purposes only. Consult your own licensed investment adviser, broker, or tax professional before making any investment decision.

Conflicts and positions. People who build TrendMatrix, or entities they control, may hold positions, long or short, in securities it covers, and may trade them at any time. Positions are not disclosed individually. Verdicts are generated by an automated model applied by the same rules to every covered stock, and are not adjusted for any position held by the people who build TrendMatrix. We do not accept payment from issuers for coverage.

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No fiduciary duty. No fiduciary, advisory, or agency relationship is created between you and TrendMatrix by reading our content or subscribing to our service.

Performance. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Performance figures reflect the published model only and do not reflect any individual subscriber's actual results.

Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

1 ceiling hit

GatesA.R:R -0.1=NEGATIVEMomentum 7.0>=5.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY 77d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARSuitability: Moderate
RSI
77 · Overbought
↑ 20D MA↑ 50D MA↑ 200D MADEATH CROSSSupport $42.23Resistance $51.21

Price Targets

A.Upside-1.6%
A.R:R-0.1:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0%
Max %0%
RegimeRisk-Off

Risk Alerts

! Target reached (-1.6% upside)
! Negative risk/reward — downside exceeds upside

Earnings

B
B
M
M
2/4 beats
Next Earnings2027-01-21 (77d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is GBCI stock a buy right now?

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $49.64, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=5.3). Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Maintain position. Not compelling to add more. Analyst target $48.87 reached (−1.6%), stop $46.92 (−5.8%), A.R:R -0.1:1. Score 6.5/10, moderate confidence.

What is the GBCI stock price target?

Analyst target $48.87 reached (−1.6% from $49.64); no take-profit level is published. Analyst target $48.87 reached (−1.6%), stop $46.92 (−5.8%), A.R:R -0.1:1. Stop-loss: $46.92.

What are the risks of investing in GBCI?

Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=5.3); Overbought (RSI 77).

Is GBCI overvalued or undervalued?

Glacier Bancorp, Inc. trades at a P/E of 18.9 (forward 13.8). TrendMatrix value score: 7.2/10. Verdict: Hold.

What do analysts say about GBCI?

12 analysts rate GBCI, with a consensus score of 4.1/5. 6 analysts publish price targets averaging $56.

What does Glacier Bancorp, Inc. do?Glacier Bancorp provides banking services through 281 locations across nine states via 18 separately branded bank...

Glacier Bancorp provides banking services through 281 locations across nine states via 18 separately branded bank divisions of its wholly-owned Glacier Bank subsidiary. Revenue comes primarily from net interest income on real estate, commercial, and consumer loans. The company completed two acquisitions in 2025 — Bank of Idaho ($1.36 billion in assets, April 30) and Guaranty Bancshares ($3.36 billion, October 1) — expanding into Texas.

Related stocks: MBIN (Merchants Bancorp) · FMNB (Farmers National Banc Corp.) · MCBS (MetroCity Bankshares, Inc.) · BHRB (Burke & Herbert Financial Servi) · COLB (Columbia Banking System, Inc.)
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