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FNBF.N.B. CorporationHold5.8·$16.93
HoldModerate Confidence
Investment thesis

Strong momentum, three prior earnings beats, and an attractive 9.3 times forward earnings multiple are offset by near-zero remaining upside to the price target, an extremely elevated put/call ratio, and 11% short interest — making this a hold rather than a new entry at current prices.

Thesis pillars

  • Attractive Valuation Low Peg→Stable
  • Technical Breakout Momentum→Stable
  • Earnings Beat Track Record→Stable
  • +1 more pillar — see the Why tab for full reasoning

Full reasoning →

Open full analysis

F.N.B. Corporation (FNB) Stock Analysis

HoldValueModerate Confidence

Financial Services · Banks - Regional

Earnings in 5 days (2026-10-19). Expect elevated volatility around the report — consider waiting for post-earnings price action before new entries.

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $16.93, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Thin upside margin: 5.6%; V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=5.4).

F.N.B. Corporation operates 355 Community Banking branches across seven states and the District of Columbia with $50 billion in total assets, $35 billion in loans, and $39 billion in deposits at December 31, 2025. Revenue comes from net interest income and fee income across... Read more

$16.93+5.6% A.UpsideScore 5.8/10#140 of 223 Banks - Regional
QualityF-score8 / 9FCF yield—
IncomeYield3.05%(5y avg 3.41%)Payout29.17%sustainable
Stop $16.29Target $17.88(analyst − 13%)A.R:R 1.1:1
Analyst target$20.56+21.4%9 analysts
$17.88our TP
$16.93price
$20.56mean
$22

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $16.93, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Thin upside margin: 5.6%; V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=5.4). Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Maintain position. Not compelling to add more. Score 5.8/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 3/7 gates (clean insider activity, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum and favorable risk/reward ratio and earnings proximity 5d<=7d. Suitability: moderate.

10-K grounded · weekly refresh

About F.N.B. Corporation

About F.N.B. Corporation

F.N.B. Corporation reported $50 billion in total assets, $35 billion in loans, and $39 billion in deposits at December 31, 2025, operating 355 Community Banking branches across seven states and the District of Columbia through its primary subsidiary, FNBPA. The Wealth Management segment administered $14.9 billion in trust assets under administration, and the Insurance segment provides brokerage through FNIA. FNB was established in 1864, is headquartered in Pittsburgh, Pennsylvania, and is regulated by the FRB, OCC, and FDIC as a bank holding company and financial holding company.

F.N.B. Corporation earns the majority of revenue through net interest income from the Community Banking segment, which offers commercial banking (corporate banking, treasury management, small business banking, investment real estate financing, equipment financing), consumer banking (mortgage lending, consumer lending), and a suite of digital banking services including the proprietary eStore platform. Fee income comes from wealth management at FNTC, which provides trust administration and fiduciary services, from broker-dealer services through a third-party networking arrangement, and from insurance brokerage at FNIA. The loan portfolio is underwritten with explicit geographic, industry, product, and borrower diversification as policy objectives; no material portion of loans or deposits is concentrated in a single customer. FNB's geographic footprint spans major metropolitan markets including Pittsburgh, Baltimore, Cleveland, Washington D.C., Charlotte, Raleigh-Durham, and Charleston — a mid-Atlantic through Southeast corridor. The company competes for deposits and loans with commercial banks, savings banks, credit unions, mortgage companies, and fintech lenders across all its markets.

Show full overview

F.N.B. Corporation is subject to concurrent oversight from the FRB as a bank holding company, the OCC as FNBPA's primary banking regulator, and the FDIC. The OCC limits dividends from FNBPA to FNB, and the FRB must be consulted before the company increases dividends or repurchases capital instruments. The 10-K notes that the OCC, FRB, and FDIC have signaled a desire to remove excessive regulatory, supervisory and examination burdens — a policy posture whose content and timing remain uncertain. Separately, a July 2023 interagency policy statement requires the company to maintain a contingency funding plan covering scenarios where uninsured deposit balances above FDIC insurance limits create elevated withdrawal risk during periods of market stress.

See also: Financial Services · Banks - Regional

From F.N.B. Corporation's most recent 10-K filing, extracted June 10, 2026.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated 2026-10-15
TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Mon, Oct 19, 20265d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
Sector modifier (Financial Services): +1.0
Attractive valuation
Risks
Thin upside margin: 5.6%
V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=5.4)
Earnings in 5 days (event risk)

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)10.1
P/E (Fwd)9.1
Mkt Cap$6.0B
EV/EBITDA—
Profit Mgn34.6%
ROE9.0%
Rev Growth6.8%
Beta0.89
Dividend3.05%
Rating analysts12

Quality Signals

Piotroski F8/9

Options Flow

P/C12.50bearish
IV62%elevated

Material Events(8-K, last 90d)

  • 2026-05-19Item 5.02MEDIUM
    David B. Mitchell, II, Chief Wholesale Banking Officer of F.N.B. Corporation, announced retirement effective July 2, 2026. No successor named in the filing; no reason cited other than retirement.
    SEC filing →
  • 2026-05-08Item 5.02LOW
    Independent lead director William B. Campbell, a board member since 1975, retired from the F.N.B. Corporation Board effective May 6, 2026 after not standing for re-election at the Annual Meeting. No successor as lead director named.
    SEC filing →

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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About TrendMatrix. TrendMatrix is a publisher of general securities research and market commentary. We publish on a regular schedule. All content is the same for every subscriber in a tier — we do not provide personalized investment advice and we do not take into account any individual subscriber's financial situation, investment objectives, risk tolerance, tax situation, or holdings.

Not investment advice. TrendMatrix is not a registered investment adviser. Our content is for informational and educational purposes only. Consult your own licensed investment adviser, broker, or tax professional before making any investment decision.

Conflicts and positions. The TrendMatrix editorial team frequently holds personal long-term positions in securities discussed. We disclose positions held at the time of publication on each piece. We maintain a trading-window policy: we do not initiate or close positions in the same direction as a TrendMatrix publication within 24 hours before or 72 hours after publication.

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Performance. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Performance figures reflect the published model only and do not reflect any individual subscriber's actual results.

Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

1 floor-breaker

Price action weak — below key moving averages, no momentum carry. Needs a base before trend-continuation setups apply.static

Obv
1.0
Ma Position
2.2
Rsi
3.5
Macd
3.9
Volume
5.5
Volume distribution (falling OBV)Below 200-MA but MA still rising (+1.1%/30d) — pullback in uptrend, not confirmed weakness
GatesMomentum 3.2<4.5A.R:R 1.1 < 1.5@spotEARNINGS PROXIMITY 5d<=7dExecutive change: officer departure/appointmentInsider activity: OKSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARSuitability: Moderate
RSI
38 · Neutral
↓ 20D MA↓ 50D MA↓ 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $16.75Resistance $18.18

Price Targets

$16
$18
A.Upside+5.6%
A.R:R1.1:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0%
Max %0%
RegimeRisk-Off

Risk Alerts

! momentum at 3.2 (below the engine's 4.5 threshold)
! asymmetry at 1.1 (below the engine's 1.5 threshold)@spot
! EARNINGS_PROXIMITY:5d<=7d

Earnings

B
B
M
M
2/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-10-19 (5d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is FNB stock a buy right now?

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $16.93, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Thin upside margin: 5.6%; V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=5.4). Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Maintain position. Not compelling to add more. Target $17.88 (+5.6%), stop $16.29 (−3.9%), A.R:R 1.1:1. Score 5.8/10, moderate confidence.

What is the FNB stock price target?

Take-profit target: $17.88 (+5.6% upside). Target $17.88 (+5.6%), stop $16.29 (−3.9%), A.R:R 1.1:1. Stop-loss: $16.29.

What are the risks of investing in FNB?

Thin upside margin: 5.6%; V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=5.4); Earnings in 5 days (event risk).

Is FNB overvalued or undervalued?

F.N.B. Corporation trades at a P/E of 10.1 (forward 9.1). TrendMatrix value score: 8.4/10. Verdict: Hold.

What do analysts say about FNB?

12 analysts cover FNB with a consensus score of 4.0/5. Average price target: $21.

What does F.N.B. Corporation do?F.N.B. Corporation operates 355 Community Banking branches across seven states and the District of Columbia with $50...

F.N.B. Corporation operates 355 Community Banking branches across seven states and the District of Columbia with $50 billion in total assets, $35 billion in loans, and $39 billion in deposits at December 31, 2025. Revenue comes from net interest income and fee income across Community Banking, Wealth Management ($14.9 billion in trust AUA), and Insurance segments through subsidiary FNBPA.

Related stocks: BHB (Bar Harbor Bankshares, Inc.) · CCNE (CNB Financial Corporation) · FBK (FB Financial Corporation) · CARE (Carter Bankshares, Inc.) · FSBC (Five Star Bancorp)
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