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FHIFederated Hermes, Inc.Buy Wait6.5·$57.81
Buy WaitHigh Confidence
Investment thesis

Federated Hermes is a high-quality asset manager with a wide economic moat, 34% return on equity, and four consecutive earnings beats averaging 13% above consensus, but more than half its assets reside in money market products—making earnings acutely sensitive to rate movements—and the stock has already exceeded its near-term price target with volume beginning to distribute, reducing the appeal for new buyers.

Thesis pillars

  • Money Market Asset Concentration↑Improving
  • Wide Moat High Return Quality→Stable
  • Consistent Earnings Over Delivery→Stable
  • +1 more pillar — see the Why tab for full reasoning

Full reasoning →

Open full analysis

Federated Hermes, Inc. (FHI) Stock Analysis

Temporary headwind edge

Buy WaitGrowthQualityHigh Confidence

Financial Services · Asset Management

Wait for pullback to $56.48. Weak momentum — blocks BUY_NOW at $57.81. Engine's entry $56.48 (support + ATR (held)) is the shallowest technical level that clears the 2:1 A.R:R minimum. Key risks: Concentration risk — Product: money market assets (53.0%); Concentration risk — Customer: U.S. financial intermediary market (68.0%).

Federated Hermes manages $902.6 billion in assets at December 31, 2025, spanning 22 money market funds ($682.6 billion AUM), equity ($97.9 billion), fixed income ($100.1 billion), and alternatives ($22.0 billion). Total 2025 revenue was $1.80 billion; approximately 53% was... Read more

$57.81-8.2% A.UpsideScore 6.5/10#18 of 236 Asset Management
QualityF-score8 / 9FCF yield8.67%
IncomeYield2.50%(5y avg 2.99%)Payout26.02%sustainable
Entry $56.48(support + ATR (held))Stop $53.35Target $64.51(resistance)A.R:R -1.5:1
Analyst target$61.00+5.5%7 analysts
$64.51our TP
$57.81price
$61.00mean
$55
$65

Wait for pullback to $56.48. Weak momentum — blocks BUY_NOW at $57.81. Engine's entry $56.48 (support + ATR (held)) is the shallowest technical level that clears the 2:1 A.R:R minimum. Key risks: Concentration risk — Product: money market assets (53.0%); Concentration risk — Customer: U.S. financial intermediary market (68.0%). Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Fundamentals strong but target reached (-8.2% upside). Wait for pullback. Score 6.5/10, high confidence.

Passes 6/8 gates (clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, earnings proximity 34d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum and favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: aggressive.

10-K grounded · weekly refresh

About Federated Hermes, Inc.

About Federated Hermes, Inc.

Federated Hermes managed $902.6 billion in assets at December 31, 2025 — up 9% from $829.6 billion a year earlier — across money market ($682.6 billion), fixed income ($100.1 billion), equity ($97.9 billion), and alternative/private markets ($22.0 billion). Total 2025 revenue reached $1.80 billion composed of $1.20 billion in investment advisory fees, $420 million in administrative service fees, and $182 million in other service fees. Distribution runs through more than 11,000 institutional and intermediary clients, with 68% of AUM in the U.S. financial intermediary channel, 25% in U.S. institutional accounts, and 7% in international markets.

Advisory fees are calculated daily as a percentage of AUM, with multi-asset and equity offerings at higher fee rates than fixed income and money market strategies. Money market assets dominate at $682.6 billion — spanning government ($420.5 billion), prime ($242.7 billion), and municipal ($19.4 billion) categories — and approximately 53% of total 2025 revenue was attributable to these money market assets. Distribution costs as a percentage of fund revenue rose to 29% in 2025 from 28% in 2024, reflecting ongoing pressure to share economics with intermediary partners. The company offered 176 mutual funds across five strategies as of December 31, 2025; U.S.-registered fund advisory agreements are terminable on 60 days' notice and require annual board renewal, creating periodic retention exposure. A 2005 SEC settlement mandates that at least 75% of each registered fund's directors be independent of Federated Hermes and that each fund chair also be independent.

Show full overview

Approximately 53% of Federated Hermes' 2025 revenue was attributable to money market assets — a structural concentration in a segment acutely sensitive to short-term interest rates. In near-zero rate environments, the company has historically incurred voluntary yield-related fee waivers to keep money market fund yields from turning negative; no such waivers arose in 2025, 2024, or 2023, given the federal funds rate of 3.50–3.75% as of December 31, 2025. If the FOMC were to return rates toward the zero lower bound, fee waivers could resume and weigh materially on the revenue base. Prime and government money market funds carry different waiver profiles — prime funds typically waive less due to higher underlying yields — so the mix of assets between them also shapes the magnitude of any fee compression.

See also: Financial Services · Asset Management

From Federated Hermes, Inc.'s most recent 10-K filing, extracted June 10, 2026.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated 2026-09-25
TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Thu, Oct 29, 202634d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
V7 flight-to-quality bonus: +0.5 (Q=8.8 in RISK_OFF)
Sector modifier (Financial Services): +1.0
Strong earnings beat streak (4/4)
Risks
Concentration risk — Product: money market assets (53.0%)
Concentration risk — Customer: U.S. financial intermediary market (68.0%)
Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)10.7
P/E (Fwd)9.8
Mkt Cap$4.3B
EV/EBITDA7.6
Profit Mgn21.3%
ROE31.1%
Rev Growth18.3%
Beta0.63
Dividend2.50%
Rating analysts15

Quality Signals

Piotroski F8/9MoatWideCompounder✓

Options Flow

P/C0.33bullish
IV48%normal

Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)

  • HIGHProductmoney market assets53%
    10-K Item 1A: 'Approximately 53% of Federated Hermes' total 2025 revenue was attributable to money market assets'
  • HIGHCustomerU.S. financial intermediary market68%
    10-K Item 1: 'U.S. financial intermediary (68%); U.S. institutional (25%); and international (7%)'

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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About TrendMatrix. TrendMatrix is a publisher of general securities research and market commentary. We publish on a regular schedule. All content is the same for every subscriber in a tier — we do not provide personalized investment advice and we do not take into account any individual subscriber's financial situation, investment objectives, risk tolerance, tax situation, or holdings.

Not investment advice. TrendMatrix is not a registered investment adviser. Our content is for informational and educational purposes only. Consult your own licensed investment adviser, broker, or tax professional before making any investment decision.

Conflicts and positions. The TrendMatrix editorial team frequently holds personal long-term positions in securities discussed. We disclose positions held at the time of publication on each piece. We maintain a trading-window policy: we do not initiate or close positions in the same direction as a TrendMatrix publication within 24 hours before or 72 hours after publication.

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Performance. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Performance figures reflect the published model only and do not reflect any individual subscriber's actual results.

Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

1 floor-breaker·1 ceiling hit

Momentum below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Macd
0.0
Volume
0.0
Obv
1.0
Ma Position
4.0
Rsi
8.1
Oversold in uptrend (RSI 28)Volume distribution (falling OBV)Above 200-day MA
GatesMomentum 2.6<4.5A.R:R -1.5=NEGATIVEInsider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY 34d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARSuitability: Aggressive
RSI
28 · Oversold
↓ 20D MA↓ 50D MA↑ 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $55.69Resistance $65.83

Price Targets

$53
$56
$65
A.Upside-8.2%
A.R:R-1.5:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionHigh conviction
Suggested %0.8%
Max %1.5%
RegimeRisk-Off

Risk Alerts

! Target reached (-8.2% upside)
! momentum at 2.6 (below the engine's 4.5 threshold)
! Negative risk/reward — downside exceeds upside

Earnings

B
B
B
B
4/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-10-29 (34d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is FHI stock a buy right now?

Wait for pullback to $56.48. Weak momentum — blocks BUY_NOW at $57.81. Engine's entry $56.48 (support + ATR (held)) is the shallowest technical level that clears the 2:1 A.R:R minimum. Key risks: Concentration risk — Product: money market assets (53.0%); Concentration risk — Customer: U.S. financial intermediary market (68.0%). Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Fundamentals strong but target reached (-8.2% upside). Wait for pullback. Target $64.51 (+11.6%), stop $53.35 (−8.4%), A.R:R -1.5:1. Score 6.5/10, high confidence.

What is the FHI stock price target?

Take-profit target: $64.51 (-8.2% upside). Target $64.51 (+11.6%), stop $53.35 (−8.4%), A.R:R -1.5:1. Stop-loss: $53.35.

What are the risks of investing in FHI?

Concentration risk — Product: money market assets (53.0%); Concentration risk — Customer: U.S. financial intermediary market (68.0%); Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining.

Is FHI overvalued or undervalued?

Federated Hermes, Inc. trades at a P/E of 10.7 (forward 9.8). TrendMatrix value score: 7.1/10. Verdict: Buy (Wait for Entry).

What do analysts say about FHI?

15 analysts cover FHI with a consensus score of 2.6/5. Average price target: $61.

What does Federated Hermes, Inc. do?Federated Hermes manages $902.6 billion in assets at December 31, 2025, spanning 22 money market funds ($682.6 billion...

Federated Hermes manages $902.6 billion in assets at December 31, 2025, spanning 22 money market funds ($682.6 billion AUM), equity ($97.9 billion), fixed income ($100.1 billion), and alternatives ($22.0 billion). Total 2025 revenue was $1.80 billion; approximately 53% was attributable to money market assets. Distribution reaches over 11,000 intermediary and institutional clients through U.S. financial intermediary (68% of AUM), U.S. institutional (25%), and international (7%) channels.

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