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EPACEnerpac Tool Group Corp.Buy Wait6.1·$35.38-2.29%
EPAC · Why this verdict

Why Enerpac Tool Group (EPAC) is rated BUY WAIT

Updated

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

VerdictBUY WAIT
Overall score6.1/10
ConfidenceMEDIUM
MacroNEUTRAL

Per-dimension breakdown

Value

7.7/10data confidence 83%
ComponentSub-score
P/E5.8
P/S8.3
EV/EBITDA4.3
Fwd P/E7.6
PEG10.0
  • Forward P/E: 16.2x
  • PEG: 0.44
  • Attractively valued

Quality

7.5/10data confidence 100%
ComponentSub-score
ROE7.0
ROA7.1
Gross margin5.9
Op margin7.3
Net margin6.8
Current ratio8.7
FCF quality7.7
Moat6.9
Piotroski F10.0
  • Strong Piotroski F-Score: 9/9

Growth

6.8/10data confidence 67%
ComponentSub-score
Rev growth4.1
EPS growth9.4

Momentum

4.4/10data confidence 100%
ComponentSub-score
RSI3.5
MACD10.0
OBV1.0
MA position6.0
Volume1.6
  • Volume distribution (falling OBV)
  • Below 200-MA, MA slope -2.5%/30d — confirmed downtrend

Sentiment

6.4/10data confidence 100%
ComponentSub-score
Analyst rating5.0
Price target9.3
erm sentiment5.0
  • Analyst upside: 43%

Insider

5.0/10data confidence 50%
ComponentSub-score
materiality5.0
holder change5.0
  • No net insider activity — $0 (0.000% of mkt cap)

Peer rank

4.4/10data confidence 80%
ComponentSub-score
value rank7.0
quality rank7.2
growth rank3.4
  • Attractive P/E vs peers

Technical

4.5/10data confidence 100%
ComponentSub-score
bollinger3.1
support resistance3.2
52w position5.6
gap6.0

Risk (lower is worse)

6.9/10data confidence 100%
ComponentSub-score
short interest8.7
days to cover8.0
volatility6.2
put call6.7
implied vol2.4
beta7.8
debt equity8.2
  • High IV: 66%
  • Concentration risks: 1 HIGH, 3 MED (10-K Item 1A — sized via position_sizing, validated via buy_confidence)

Catalyst

4.9/10data confidence 100%
ComponentSub-score
erm5.0
earnings history5.6
earnings timing5.0
surprise avg3.8
dividend safety5.2
  • Earnings in 1 days
  • Dividend: 11.0%

How the verdict was assembled

Engine trigger

Earnings in 1 day. Wait until post-earnings.

Engine technical detail
verdict_path: L3:NEWS_BLOCK|ENTRY_STICKY:PRIOR_STILL_VIABLE
Passed (6)
  • ASYMMETRY:2.5>=1.5
  • INSIDER:OK
  • 8K:CLEAN
  • NEWS_EVENTS:NONE_RECENT
  • SEMI_CYCLE_PEAK:CLEAR
  • MATERIALS_CYCLE_PEAK:CLEAR
Failed (3)
  • MOMENTUM:4.4<4.5
  • DEATH_CROSS:HARD_BLOCK
  • EARNINGS_PROXIMITY:1d<=7d
Warning (0)

none

Reward-to-Risk
2.49
Upside
+21.3%
Downside
8.6%
Sizing output
STARTER

SetupRECOVERY Death cross but MACD improving, RSI 65

EdgeNO_EDGE No clear edge identified

SuitabilityAGGRESSIVE MCap $1.9B<$5B

Investment implication

A recent news event triggered an L3 news-block on the verdict path. Trigger: Earnings in 1 day. Wait until post-earnings. The 10-dimension scores remain Value at 7.7 (strongest), but MOMENTUM:4.4<4.5 also fails — the news block is the proximate trigger, not the sole driver.

The strongest dimensions are Value at 7.7, Quality at 7.5, and Risk (lower is worse) at 6.9; the weakest are Peer rank at 4.4, Momentum at 4.4, and Technical at 4.5. The V9 engine flagged 3 failed gates, producing an asymmetric reward-to-risk of 2.49 and an engine sizing output of STARTER.

Engine reasoning is mechanically derived from pipeline gate outputs. See decision view.

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