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CTGOContango Silver & Gold Inc.Sell5.6·$19.48-0.61%
SellModerate Confidence
Investment thesis

Contango screens as deeply undervalued with steep analyst-implied upside and modest insider buying, but a quality score far below the engine's floor, volatile earnings surprises, and a confirmed technical downtrend drive the engine's exit recommendation.

Thesis pillars

  • Deep Value Analyst UpsideStable
  • Quality Floor Exit SignalDeteriorating
  • Earnings Surprise VolatilityDeteriorating
  • +2 more pillars — see the Why tab for full reasoning

Full reasoning →

Open full analysis

Contango Silver & Gold Inc. (CTGO) Stock Analysis

Recovery setup · Inst Constrain edge

SellGrowthQualityModerate Confidence

Basic Materials · Gold

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $19.48: Quality below floor (1.4 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 5.6/10 and A.R:R 3.2:1 is above the 1.5:1 BUY gate. Specifically: Below-average business quality; Below long-term trend.

Contango ORE, Inc. ("CORE" or the "Company") was formed on September 1, 2010 as a Delaware corporation for the purpose of engaging in the exploration for and development of gold ore and associated minerals in the State of Alaska. On January 8, 2015, CORE Alaska, LLC, a... Read more

$19.48+48.1% A.UpsideScore 5.6/10#31 of 40 Gold
QualityF-score3 / 9FCF yield-0.14%
Stop $18.12Target $28.86(analyst − 13%)A.R:R 3.2:1
Analyst target$33.17+70.3%6 analysts
$28.86our TP
$19.48price
$33.17mean
$35

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $19.48: Quality below floor (1.4 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 5.6/10 and A.R:R 3.2:1 is above the 1.5:1 BUY gate. Specifically: Below-average business quality; Below long-term trend. Chart setup: Death cross but MACD improving, RSI 73. Score 5.6/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 7/9 gates (positive momentum, favorable risk/reward ratio, clean insider activity, news events none recent, earnings proximity no date, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on SEC filing concern. Suitability: speculative.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated 2026-08-14

Recent Developments — Contango Silver & Gold Inc.

Generated 2026-08-14T11:47:20Z.

TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Thu, Aug 13, 2026· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
No bull case signals
Risks
Quality below floor (1.4 < 4.0)

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)
P/E (Fwd)3.6
Mkt Cap$657M
EV/EBITDA-175.4
Profit Mgn0.0%
ROE-18.5%
Rev Growth
Beta0.01
DividendNone
Rating analysts12

Quality Signals

Piotroski F3/9

Options Flow

P/C0.42bullish
IV83%elevated

Material Events(8-K, last 90d)

  • 2026-06-26Item 4.01HIGH
    Changes in Registrant's Certifying Accountant. (a) Dismissal of Independent Registered Public Accounting Firm On June 24, 2026, the Audit Committee of the Board of Directors (the "Audit Committee") of Contango Silver & Gold Inc.
    SEC filing →

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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About TrendMatrix. TrendMatrix is a publisher of general securities research and market commentary. We publish on a regular schedule. All content is the same for every subscriber in a tier — we do not provide personalized investment advice and we do not take into account any individual subscriber's financial situation, investment objectives, risk tolerance, tax situation, or holdings.

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Performance. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Performance figures reflect the published model only and do not reflect any individual subscriber's actual results.

Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

2 floor-breakers·1 ceiling hit

Quality below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Roe
0.0
Roa
0.0
Gross Margin
0.0
Operating Margin
0.0
Net Margin
0.0
Fcf Quality
0.0
Piotroski F
3.3
Current Ratio
4.8
Moat
4.8
Cash-burning (FCF negative)No competitive moatWeak Piotroski F-Score: 3/9Quality concerns

Technicals below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

52w Position
1.3
Bollinger
1.4
Support Resistance
1.7
Gap
6.0
GatesSEC critical: Death cross (50MA < 200MA)Momentum 5.9>=5.5A.R:R 3.2 ≥ 1.5Insider activity: OKNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY NO DATESEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARRecoverySuitability: Speculative
RSI
73 · Overbought
20D MA 50D MA 200D MADEATH CROSSSupport $15.12Resistance $20.37

Price Targets

$18
$29
A.Upside+48.1%
A.R:R3.2:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! Quality below floor (1.4 < 4.0)
! Critical SEC filing

Earnings

B
M
M
M
1/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-08-13 (nulld)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is CTGO stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $19.48: Quality below floor (1.4 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 5.6/10 and A.R:R 3.2:1 is above the 1.5:1 BUY gate. Specifically: Below-average business quality; Below long-term trend. Chart setup: Death cross but MACD improving, RSI 73. Prior stop was $18.12. Score 5.6/10, moderate confidence.

What is the CTGO stock price target?

Take-profit target: $28.86 (+48.1% upside). Prior stop was $18.12. Stop-loss: $18.12.

What are the risks of investing in CTGO?

Quality below floor (1.4 < 4.0).

Is CTGO overvalued or undervalued?

Contango Silver & Gold Inc. trades at a P/E of N/A (forward 3.6). TrendMatrix value score: 9.7/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about CTGO?

12 analysts cover CTGO with a consensus score of 4.1/5. Average price target: $33.

What does Contango Silver & Gold Inc. do?Contango ORE, Inc. ("CORE" or the "Company") was formed on September 1, 2010 as a Delaware corporation for the purpose...

Contango ORE, Inc. ("CORE" or the "Company") was formed on September 1, 2010 as a Delaware corporation for the purpose of engaging in the exploration for and development of gold ore and associated minerals in the State of Alaska. On January 8, 2015, CORE Alaska, LLC, a wholly-owned subsidiary of the Company ("CORE Alaska"), and a subsidiary of Royal Gold, Inc. ("Royal Gold") formed Peak Gold, LLC (the "Peak Gold JV").

Related stocks: FSM (Fortuna Mining Corp.) · OGC (OceanaGold Corporation) · MAKO (Mako Mining Corp) · ARIS (Aris Mining Corporation) · CGAU (Centerra Gold Inc.)
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