Value
7.9/10data confidence 100%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| P/E | 8.9 |
| P/S | 9.9 |
| EV/EBITDA | 7.2 |
| Fwd P/E | 9.2 |
| PEG | 8.8 |
| Analyst target | 4.0 |
- ▸Forward P/E: 10.7x
- ▸PEG: 0.70
- ▸Attractively valued
CPB · Why this verdict
Why The Campbell's (CPB) is rated HOLD
Updated
Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.
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VerdictHOLD
Overall score5.4/10
ConfidenceMEDIUM
MacroNEUTRAL
Per-dimension breakdown
Quality
4.1/10data confidence 100%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| ROE | 5.1 |
| ROA | 3.6 |
| Gross margin | 1.8 |
| Op margin | 5.2 |
| Net margin | 3.1 |
| Current ratio | 3.5 |
| FCF quality | 7.0 |
| Moat | 3.6 |
| Piotroski F | 4.4 |
- ▸No competitive moat
Growth
5.7/10data confidence 67%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| Rev growth | 1.4 |
| EPS growth | 10.0 |
- ▸Declining revenue: -4%
Momentum
6.0/10data confidence 100%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| RSI | 4.5 |
| MACD | 3.2 |
| OBV | 10.0 |
| MA position | 3.0 |
| Volume | 10.0 |
| vol acceleration | 5.5 |
- ▸Volume accumulation (rising OBV)
- ▸Below 200-MA, MA slope -5.4%/30d — confirmed downtrend
Sentiment
5.6/10data confidence 100%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| LLM sentiment | 6.8 |
| Analyst rating | 5.0 |
| Price target | 5.2 |
- ▸LLM news sentiment: +0.35 (n=5)
Insider
5.0/10data confidence 50%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| materiality | 5.0 |
| holder change | 5.1 |
- ▸Negligible insider buying — $6,435 (0.000% of mkt cap)
Peer rank
2.9/10data confidence 80%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| value rank | 5.3 |
| quality rank | 5.6 |
| growth rank | 0.8 |
Technical
4.6/10data confidence 100%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| bollinger | 5.7 |
| support resistance | 5.7 |
| 52w position | 2.4 |
Risk (lower is worse)
4.6/10data confidence 100%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| short interest | 0.0 |
| days to cover | 3.5 |
| volatility | 3.2 |
| put call | 10.0 |
| implied vol | 2.4 |
| beta | 10.0 |
| debt equity | 3.4 |
- ▸High short interest: 32%
- ▸High IV: 66%
- ▸Concentration risks: 1 HIGH, 1 MED (10-K Item 1A — sized via position_sizing, validated via buy_confidence)
Catalyst
5.7/10data confidence 100%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| erm | 5.0 |
| earnings history | 6.7 |
| earnings timing | 5.0 |
| surprise avg | 3.5 |
| dividend safety | 6.0 |
| news activity | 8.0 |
- ▸Strong earnings: 3B/1M
- ▸Dividend: 738.0%
How the verdict was assembled
Engine trigger
Multiple concerning factors. Consider reducing position. | News modifier +2 (SELL_IF_HOLDING → HOLD_IF_HOLDING).
Engine technical detail
verdict_path:
L4:PATH_F_SELL|L3:NEWS_MOD=+2Passed (7)
- MOMENTUM:6.0>=5.5
- INSIDER:OK
- 8K:CLEAN
- NEWS_EVENTS:NONE_RECENT
- EARNINGS_PROXIMITY:80d clear
- SEMI_CYCLE_PEAK:CLEAR
- MATERIALS_CYCLE_PEAK:CLEAR
Failed (1)
- ASYMMETRY:-1.2=NEGATIVE
Warning (1)
- DEATH_CROSS:momentum=6.0>=5.0 recovering
Reward-to-Risk
-1.16
Upside
-8.7%
Downside
7.6%
Sizing output
AVOID
SetupRANGE_BOUND — RSI 50 mid-range, Bollinger mid-band
EdgeNO_EDGE — No clear edge identified
SuitabilityMODERATE — Balanced profile
Investment implication
The F-path SELL output reflects an overall score of 4.4 below the 5.4 soft trigger — multiple weakening dimensions accumulated rather than a single hard-floor breach. The strongest dimension ( Value at 7.9) was not enough to lift the adjusted overall above the threshold. Co-occurring failed gates ( ASYMMETRY:-1.2=NEGATIVE) reinforce the read. Current asymmetry R:R is -1.16 — supplementary context, not the trigger for this path.
The strongest dimensions are Value at 7.9, Momentum at 6.0, and Growth at 5.7; the weakest are Peer rank at 2.9, Quality at 4.1, and Risk (lower is worse) at 4.6. The V9 engine flagged 1 failed gate with 1 warning, producing an asymmetric reward-to-risk of -1.16 and an engine sizing output of AVOID.